Insignificant-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$385

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up		-9	$-3	28¢	$-3	+$0	05-13 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$9	9	8	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	Up	$-4	05-13 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-13 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-13 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-12 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-13 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-13 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-12 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-13 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-13 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-12 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-12 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-13 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x91847f…
05-13 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x4ee0c8…
05-13 10:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xa1ef85…
05-13 08:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x8d1d1a…
05-13 08:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x690882…
05-13 07:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x065dac…
05-13 07:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe4dd36…
05-13 07:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x77b185…
05-13 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9b0f62…
05-13 06:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xdb5a7b…
05-13 06:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x516f1c…
05-13 06:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xa8df38…
05-13 06:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x272b13…
05-13 06:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8eac61…
05-13 06:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa446a1…
05-13 05:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0xcfa509…
05-13 05:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x0bea6c…
05-13 05:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xd044d6…
05-13 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfa9483…
05-13 04:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x2ec9b2…
05-13 04:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xfbffb2…
05-13 04:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xca9930…
05-13 04:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x4b938d…
05-13 04:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x892d7e…
05-13 04:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0eb221…
05-13 04:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x160abe…
05-13 03:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$4	0xfe1917…
05-13 03:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x30cd81…
05-13 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	42¢	$4	0xbed00f…
05-13 03:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xec5063…
05-13 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3f48c9…
05-13 03:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31f262…
05-13 03:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x57e786…
05-13 03:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x6e6a3b…
05-13 03:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x56f043…
05-13 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x2518a9…
05-13 02:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x27e107…
05-13 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7805b1…
05-13 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xea1c21…
05-13 02:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xdd77a2…
05-13 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xc17bbc…
05-13 01:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfaeeef…
05-13 01:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x53b79a…
05-13 01:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x127d41…
05-13 01:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xfa9c2c…
05-13 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x025f57…
05-13 01:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb11118…
05-13 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xd3074f…
05-13 00:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf24715…
05-13 00:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x8cfdb4…
05-13 00:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x64d58c…
05-13 00:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xea8234…
05-13 00:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x765d10…
05-13 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x1553ab…
05-13 00:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x21799a…
05-12 23:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9589ef…
05-12 23:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xc4c265…
05-12 23:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x37a695…
05-12 23:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7b943f…
05-12 23:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdd37b9…
05-12 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8c622e…
05-12 23:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xeb5dd6…
05-12 22:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6b0cbf…
05-12 22:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x6e1304…
05-12 22:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0x061493…
05-12 22:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9c0116…
05-12 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x772c4f…
05-12 22:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x0df587…
05-12 22:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xac6d9c…
05-12 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0c7a7c…
05-12 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x64c305…
05-12 21:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x65b667…
05-12 21:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xebcd82…
05-12 21:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x5958c3…
05-12 21:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xda5726…
05-12 21:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x468d2b…
05-12 21:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd03f4d…
05-12 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x324de3…
05-12 21:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x34a632…
05-12 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3e1943…
05-12 20:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x8714ec…
05-12 20:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x923643…
05-12 20:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf86eef…
05-12 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x25b042…
05-12 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x0eff95…
05-12 20:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x935d1a…
05-12 20:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x373cd1…
05-12 20:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0bb9dd…
05-12 19:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xdeb399…
05-12 19:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x038a13…
05-12 19:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xfcacaf…
05-12 18:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xb9073e…
05-12 17:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xe70446…
05-12 16:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x82106e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	82	$14.1K	589	05-13 12:18
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	76	$17.2K	605	05-13 11:23
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	76	$2.27K	261	05-13 10:23
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	75	$6.62K	578	05-13 11:23
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	75	$2.68K	303	05-13 10:23
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	74	$2.73K	516	05-13 11:23
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	74	$1.62K	421	05-13 11:23
Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e	74	$1.23K	327	05-13 11:23