Determined-Precedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$884

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

121

Trades

3,872

lifetime

Volume

$75.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-07 16:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-884

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$846	500	550	-50	open	—	03-29 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	45	$735	695	348	+348	open	—	04-29 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	19	$468	675	0	+675	open	—	05-01 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	30	$455	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	$-455	05-07 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$432	539	239	+300	open	—	04-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	36	$384	876	0	+876	open	—	04-28 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	18	$362	800	0	+800	open	—	04-26 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	29	$348	700	0	+700	open	—	06-02 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$342	600	0	+600	open	—	05-01 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	19	$326	392	0	+392	open	—	04-30 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$323	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$306	600	0	+600	open	—	04-30 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$302	600	0	+600	open	—	04-28 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$294	400	0	+400	Up	$-294	05-10 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	14	$292	600	0	+600	Up	$-292	05-10 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$285	900	0	+900	open	—	06-02 02:07
btc updown 5m 1776136500	18	$280	500	0	+500	open	—	04-14 03:15
btc updown 5m 1774851600	3	$278	600	0	+600	open	—	03-30 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	11	$273	464	0	+464	open	—	05-01 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$272	500	0	+500	open	—	05-01 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	15	$267	470	0	+470	Down	+$203	05-10 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	12	$265	500	0	+500	open	—	05-01 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	8	$256	400	0	+400	open	—	05-01 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	18	$250	410	0	+410	open	—	04-26 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	10	$250	481	0	+481	open	—	04-28 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$249	400	0	+400	open	—	05-01 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	15	$247	400	0	+400	Up	$-247	05-10 15:40
btc updown 5m 1776529200	15	$244	500	0	+500	open	—	04-18 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	11	$240	400	0	+400	open	—	04-30 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	21	$238	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780849800	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xff8110…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf65cb8…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xd6cf4e…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xbb0e8e…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb4a33f…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xb043f6…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x9c07cc…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x85cf8f…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x68232d…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x66ebab…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4c9803…
06-02 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x1ffd25…
06-02 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa06281…
06-02 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	195	54¢	$105	0x63b310…
06-02 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x285b97…
06-02 05:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x91e4e3…
06-02 05:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	300	9¢	$28	0x991dbb…
06-02 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xf2105d…
06-02 05:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb1346…
06-02 05:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcaeb0a…
06-02 05:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x2c87e8…
06-02 05:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8dbe43…
06-02 05:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7ac7f8…
06-02 05:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	77	51¢	$39	0x778e80…
06-02 05:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0x3bd382…
06-02 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x800745…
06-02 05:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb01576…
06-02 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x470903…
06-02 05:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xe311e1…
06-02 05:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x34b951…
06-02 05:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x602179…
06-02 05:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x36d160…
06-02 05:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	336	51¢	$171	0xb929ce…
06-02 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf02df…
06-02 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8432d0…
06-02 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x1c14d1…
06-02 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x764171…
06-02 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7c1da5…
06-02 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x354bd1…
06-02 05:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	137	49¢	$67	0xe48f98…
06-02 05:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xce340f…
06-02 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xda5443…
06-02 05:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4ad7ba…
06-02 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x6e5d56…
06-02 05:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0x1697ee…
06-02 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0x3d818b…
06-02 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	300	56¢	$167	0x0703eb…
06-02 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	300	16¢	$49	0x0308e5…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xf526ee…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xcfb8e1…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xaf2a8c…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8bc2a0…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x859a14…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d924e…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x38f556…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2d7794…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x272d8e…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x08b2fa…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x071177…
06-02 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x04e448…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xf9ef26…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xec9a79…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe4343b…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa5e20c…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x986372…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	360	50¢	$180	0x8579e4…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x762f5b…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x755a2c…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x6ee5e7…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x62a408…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5fe109…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f38a1…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2d4d3e…
06-02 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x135734…
06-02 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9192b4…
06-02 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x4cc935…
06-02 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1738b6…
06-02 02:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x51b1c7…
06-02 02:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc7159a…
06-02 02:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x521b86…
06-02 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd0b04a…
06-02 02:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x47ee65…
06-02 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x56d323…
06-02 02:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x34fe28…
06-02 02:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf7e731…
06-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xf07dd8…
06-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x42d7d5…
06-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x34b3ff…
06-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x2634cf…
06-02 02:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x7ac247…
06-02 02:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x4436cf…
06-02 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	103	57¢	$59	0xce85ff…
06-02 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x9913e9…
06-02 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x4d0258…
06-02 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x18ca17…
06-02 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x22ff05…
06-02 01:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x123690…
06-02 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf33b02…
06-02 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x59aa7d…
06-02 01:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdde3de…