Orange-Lycra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

1,636

Trades

4,080

lifetime

Volume

$563.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Sports

63% 42% -$1,259

Other

36% 41% -$433

Crypto

0% 55% -$221

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$246

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+704	$50	6¢	$43	-$7	10-26 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cfb miss ga 2026 01 01	7	$2.6K	2,094	2,094	+0	Ole Miss	-$840	01-02 04:36
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	7	$2.4K	1,257	1,257	+0	Up	+$11	02-25 14:05
cfb wake mspst 2026 01 02	4	$2.1K	1,271	1,271	+0	Wake Forest	+$389	01-03 04:55
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	8	$2.1K	2,217	2,216	+1	Texas Longhorns	-$22	03-18 02:50
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,108	+3	Seattle Mariners	+$107	04-13 22:09
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	5	$2.0K	1,110	1,110	+0	Down	-$4	02-17 14:27
spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	3	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	Up	+$70	02-10 14:30
spx up or down on february 12 2026	13	$1.9K	1,027	1,027	+0	Down	+$14	02-12 20:29
spx up or down on february 6 2026	6	$1.9K	1,016	1,016	+0	Up	+$38	02-06 17:03
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	12	$1.8K	1,491	1,491	+0	San Francisco Giants	-$159	05-12 05:10
nfl det chi 2026 01 04	8	$1.7K	2,596	2,596	+0	Lions	-$872	01-05 00:01
nfl sea sf 2026 01 04	4	$1.6K	936	936	+0	Seahawks	+$227	01-04 03:36
nba phi lac 2026 02 02	3	$1.6K	860	860	+0	76ers	-$26	02-03 05:01
spx up or down on february 13 2026	2	$1.6K	833	833	+0	Up	-$49	02-13 19:54
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	3	$1.5K	772	772	+0	Up	+$64	02-13 14:32
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	3	$1.5K	1,010	1,010	+0	Over	+$565	06-14 18:30
cfb navy cin 2026 01 02	2	$1.4K	870	870	+0	Navy	+$201	01-02 23:45
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	2	$1.4K	789	789	+0	Patriots	+$189	01-18 23:08
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	7	$1.3K	1,327	952	+375	Athletics	-$49	05-22 04:22
cbb hawaii ucirv 2026 01 29	6	$1.3K	925	925	+0	UC Irvine Anteaters	+$229	01-30 06:21
cbb vir lou 2026 01 13	2	$1.3K	706	706	+0	Virginia Cavaliers	+$105	01-14 02:27
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	10	$1.3K	1,180	1,180	+0	Chicago White Sox	-$190	05-30 02:07
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$1.2K	645	645	+0	Yes	+$45	03-01 15:59
cbb mary usc 2026 01 13	4	$1.2K	696	696	+0	USC Trojans	+$164	01-14 05:56
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	3	$1.2K	724	724	+0	Texans	+$224	01-13 04:02
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	7	$1.2K	869	869	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$16	05-07 22:15
cbb flatl sfl 2026 01 25	10	$1.2K	705	705	+0	South Florida Bulls	+$204	01-25 20:13
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	2	$1.1K	1,010	1,010	+0	Under	+$10	06-13 22:05
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08	4	$1.1K	951	951	+0	Miami	-$109	01-09 04:24
mlb bos min 2026 04 13	3	$1.1K	610	606	+3	Minnesota Twins	+$109	04-14 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:59:00	Spread: Hornets (-2.5)	Wizards	SELL	200	16¢	$31	0xbe20d1…
10-26 17:19:11	Spread: Hornets (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xdb6792…
10-26 11:47:35	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	704	7¢	$50	0x2c065e…
10-26 01:56:41	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	159	83¢	$131	0x792a79…
10-26 01:56:30	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	463	9¢	$42	0x3b7931…
10-25 23:52:44	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xbdfdf4…
10-25 23:43:30	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x3ca860…
10-25 23:33:39	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	SELL	376	2¢	$8	0x793940…
10-25 21:27:14	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	220	50¢	$110	0x2b0d04…
10-25 20:51:54	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x5e8330…
10-25 19:10:53	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	233	15¢	$35	0x6a2013…
10-25 18:42:38	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x8e712c…
10-24 23:54:44	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Texas	BUY	304	69¢	$210	0x315bd2…
10-21 13:11:14	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x494867…
10-10 23:47:48	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x393d6a…
10-10 23:30:03	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Texas	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x91af69…
09-02 01:14:51	San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds	San Diego Padres	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x3d2af1…
09-02 01:13:22	San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds	San Diego Padres	SELL	65	21¢	$14	0x201c4f…
09-02 00:56:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	226	16¢	$36	0x615172…
09-02 00:31:48	San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds	San Diego Padres	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x3957c7…
09-02 00:31:10	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0x430c21…
09-01 01:31:15	mlb sd cin 2026 08 31	San Diego Padres	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3a7000…
09-01 01:19:45	San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x28e732…
08-31 22:24:43	San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0x98b9eb…
08-31 22:18:28	mlb sd cin 2026 08 31	San Diego Padres	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xd40c91…
08-28 23:32:22	mlb sea tor 2026 08 28 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	119	38¢	$45	0xdaeb02…
08-28 22:27:31	mlb sea tor 2026 08 28 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x0e74fe…
08-28 22:16:09	mlb lad det 2026 08 28 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x9e5822…
08-28 20:49:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x34d8d1…
08-28 19:43:22	mlb cin chc 2026 08 28 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xc2b86c…
08-27 16:43:01	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x4c9894…
08-26 23:51:06	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	238	11¢	$26	0x5bd237…
08-26 21:41:00	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xea6a80…
08-26 21:19:54	Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago Cubs	SELL	213	30¢	$64	0xdd25c2…
08-26 20:23:03	Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago Cubs	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x786447…
08-26 00:24:04	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xdf71f1…
08-26 00:23:54	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	236	16¢	$38	0x5c3dbe…
08-25 23:07:04	mlb lad atl 2026 08 25 total 8pt5	Over	SELL	113	53¢	$60	0x9d0a88…
08-25 22:42:00	mlb lad atl 2026 08 25 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xdd1f79…
08-25 22:41:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x381be6…
08-25 22:14:19	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	236	55¢	$130	0x1b6a9a…
08-24 23:10:12	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Boston Red Sox	SELL	231	38¢	$88	0xa0988d…
08-24 21:34:28	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Boston Red Sox	BUY	231	55¢	$127	0xf48a0e…
08-24 21:34:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	241	56¢	$135	0x007389…
08-24 00:41:31	Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	111	34¢	$38	0xa1fa67…
08-24 00:30:36	mlb atl mil 2026 08 23	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	221	32¢	$71	0xa9d6bb…
08-23 22:43:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x22f62d…
08-23 22:42:33	mlb atl mil 2026 08 23	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0x46e7f3…
08-23 22:41:27	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x863a74…
08-23 22:24:15	Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	254	10¢	$25	0xb29fbb…
08-23 20:52:00	Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0xf5d501…
08-23 20:29:39	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	172	20¢	$34	0x0d5b63…
08-23 20:27:13	Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago Cubs	SELL	231	34¢	$79	0xb955fc…
08-23 20:18:10	mlb tb bal 2026 08 23	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	204	91¢	$185	0x5d272d…
08-23 20:05:10	Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago Cubs	BUY	231	54¢	$125	0x1f54c2…
08-23 20:04:42	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0x95edb3…
08-23 20:04:16	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x796c91…
08-23 19:59:28	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	221	96¢	$212	0xf9d2b8…
08-23 19:31:13	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xece011…
08-23 18:24:06	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	158	42¢	$66	0xef9dca…
08-23 17:41:18	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0xb93cff…
08-23 17:21:54	mlb tb bal 2026 08 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x77467a…
08-23 04:07:37	mlb stl phi 2026 08 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0x913f19…
08-23 03:43:37	wnba atl phx 2026 08 22 total 176pt5	Under	SELL	214	4¢	$9	0x7dfe7d…
08-23 02:48:37	wnba atl phx 2026 08 22 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0xce7b0b…
08-23 02:25:57	mlb cle col 2026 08 22	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	46	94¢	$44	0xdb14a0…
08-23 02:25:55	mlb nym cws 2026 08 22	New York Mets	SELL	246	99¢	$244	0x47e3e4…
08-23 02:13:37	mlb sf bos 2026 08 22	Boston Red Sox	SELL	182	24¢	$43	0x7d0d5d…
08-23 02:12:52	mlb sf bos 2026 08 22	Boston Red Sox	BUY	182	33¢	$60	0xe770f9…
08-23 02:01:48	wnba atl phx 2026 08 22 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x4611ac…
08-23 01:54:49	mlb sf bos 2026 08 22	San Francisco Giants	SELL	221	91¢	$201	0xb06b91…
08-23 00:17:28	mlb cle col 2026 08 22	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x330912…
08-23 00:16:28	mlb oak hou 2026 08 22 total 7pt5	Over	SELL	108	27¢	$29	0x7f682b…
08-22 23:53:36	mlb oak hou 2026 08 22 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	108	55¢	$60	0x9d119d…
08-22 23:40:21	mlb nym cws 2026 08 22	New York Mets	BUY	246	57¢	$140	0x45b330…
08-22 23:34:28	mlb sf bos 2026 08 22	San Francisco Giants	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0xf8f609…
08-22 20:34:46	mlb atl mil 2026 08 22	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	267	98¢	$262	0x9bf984…
08-22 18:53:37	mlb atl mil 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Over	SELL	105	34¢	$36	0x6ce10b…
08-22 18:53:25	mlb atl mil 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Over	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x48c101…
08-22 18:33:04	mlb atl mil 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x5be490…
08-22 18:02:30	mlb atl mil 2026 08 22	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	267	60¢	$160	0xf218dc…
08-22 18:02:03	mlb tor nyy 2026 08 22 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9f740d…
08-21 00:36:51	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	329	31¢	$102	0x9d1a69…
08-20 23:38:39	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	71	34¢	$24	0xf21ac3…
08-20 23:16:13	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x01c48e…
08-20 23:09:39	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xc91d6a…
08-20 22:35:45	mlb wsh tex 2026 08 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0x5ed247…
08-20 22:18:07	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	245	53¢	$130	0xa8a186…
08-20 01:18:46	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 19 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	231	59¢	$137	0x970f1a…
08-20 01:18:24	mlb stl cin 2026 08 19 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	221	46¢	$102	0xd8a429…
08-19 23:46:27	mlb tor tb 2026 08 19 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	236	5¢	$12	0x163b2e…
08-19 23:07:22	mlb ari bos 2026 08 19	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	241	33¢	$80	0x90473c…
08-19 21:37:04	mlb tor tb 2026 08 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	236	55¢	$130	0xb7e0b4…
08-19 21:36:36	mlb stl cin 2026 08 19 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0x1fc79f…
08-19 21:35:39	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 19 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	231	54¢	$125	0xef3d89…
08-19 21:34:10	mlb ari bos 2026 08 19	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	241	56¢	$135	0x79e629…
08-19 02:19:39	mlb oak kc 2026 08 18	Athletics	SELL	225	23¢	$52	0x4bc840…
08-19 01:24:36	mlb nyy bal 2026 08 18	New York Yankees	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x1334a7…
08-19 01:06:40	mlb stl cin 2026 08 18	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x0a2fad…
08-19 00:39:42	mlb oak kc 2026 08 18	Athletics	BUY	225	53¢	$119	0x492c32…