Excitable-Spleen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

128

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-05 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% $-80

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1780666200	11	$193	153	153	+0	open	—	06-05 13:43
btc updown 15m 1780692300	6	$90	303	0	+303	open	—	06-05 20:50
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	6	$72	102	70	+32	open	—	04-14 11:25
btc updown 5m 1776863100	2	$67	61	58	+3	open	—	04-22 13:08
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$64	5,119	0	+5,119	open	—	06-03 14:49
eth updown 15m 1780678800	4	$64	65	62	+3	open	—	06-05 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776863700	2	$63	54	52	+2	open	—	04-22 13:16
btc updown 15m 1776862800	2	$61	54	52	+2	open	—	04-22 13:08
btc updown 5m 1776861600	2	$59	57	54	+3	open	—	04-22 12:41
btc updown 5m 1776861300	2	$57	56	53	+3	open	—	04-22 12:36
btc updown 5m 1776864600	2	$57	54	51	+3	open	—	04-22 13:30
btc updown 15m 1776861000	2	$56	57	55	+2	open	—	04-22 12:30
eth updown 5m 1780689000	4	$50	92	32	+60	open	—	06-05 19:51
btc updown 5m 1780692000	5	$36	41	28	+13	open	—	06-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	9	$33	118	0	+118	Down	$-33	05-11 12:08
btc updown 5m 1780692300	4	$31	491	7	+484	open	—	06-05 20:49
btc updown 5m 1780691700	2	$30	160	0	+160	open	—	06-05 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$30	269	0	+269	open	—	06-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	9	$29	65	0	+65	Up	+$36	05-11 11:53
btc updown 5m 1776858000	1	$28	56	0	+56	open	—	04-22 11:35
btc updown 5m 1776858900	1	$28	56	0	+56	open	—	04-22 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776860400	1	$28	54	0	+54	open	—	04-22 12:16
btc updown 5m 1776858300	1	$28	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 11:40
btc updown 5m 1776865200	1	$28	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 13:37
btc updown 5m 1776860700	1	$28	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 12:21
btc updown 15m 1776861900	1	$28	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 12:32
btc updown 5m 1776862500	1	$28	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$25	81	0	+81	open	—	06-03 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$22	45	0	+45	open	—	06-03 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$22	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	06-03 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:53:28	eth updown 5m 1780692900	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe06be0…
06-05 20:51:45	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xda5c2a…
06-05 20:50:34	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x0a8142…
06-05 20:50:24	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x2cf4ef…
06-05 20:50:21	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x23fb79…
06-05 20:50:04	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe7504d…
06-05 20:50:01	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x7c7a62…
06-05 20:49:40	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd369e0…
06-05 20:49:22	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb2245d…
06-05 20:49:21	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	461	3¢	$14	0x191ce5…
06-05 20:48:24	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4476aa…
06-05 20:46:19	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x65da87…
06-05 20:46:09	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xebd4ab…
06-05 20:45:19	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc4e1e5…
06-05 20:45:13	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xb83ca4…
06-05 20:43:40	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc215f8…
06-05 20:43:28	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x88a782…
06-05 20:43:16	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5ef3d8…
06-05 20:40:42	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x1839f8…
06-05 20:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x27c901…
06-05 20:37:46	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x0ad912…
06-05 20:37:36	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0xfe9bb1…
06-05 20:22:48	eth updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x245617…
06-05 20:17:18	eth updown 15m 1780690500	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xe1e511…
06-05 20:17:10	eth updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2c389b…
06-05 19:51:58	eth updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xdff386…
06-05 19:50:58	eth updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x553270…
06-05 19:50:36	eth updown 5m 1780689000	Down	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0x6cf476…
06-05 19:50:25	eth updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x5408e7…
06-05 17:09:52	eth updown 15m 1780678800	Down	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xaa4dd2…
06-05 17:09:33	eth updown 15m 1780678800	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x02f423…
06-05 17:02:07	eth updown 15m 1780678800	Down	SELL	31	69¢	$21	0x453817…
06-05 17:01:06	eth updown 15m 1780678800	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xe8b68a…
06-05 13:43:03	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	SELL	153	99¢	$150	0xb66af9…
06-05 13:34:06	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe0927f…
06-05 13:34:04	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xcfb3e5…
06-05 13:34:00	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x2f5958…
06-05 13:33:55	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd1cd75…
06-05 13:33:34	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x320c29…
06-05 13:33:28	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x377447…
06-05 13:33:21	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x77ff1c…
06-05 13:33:04	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x59756e…
06-05 13:32:28	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x651624…
06-05 13:32:24	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xced9cf…
06-05 13:21:55	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x6e822b…
06-05 13:21:39	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x411db1…
06-05 13:21:33	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xef9f77…
06-05 13:21:27	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x42c847…
06-05 13:21:22	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x80afdc…
06-05 13:21:09	sol updown 5m 1780665600	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xc982b4…
06-05 12:15:42	btc updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x027592…
06-05 12:15:33	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x60246b…
06-05 12:15:30	btc updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe99970…
06-05 12:15:28	btc updown 5m 1780661700	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x8d4f16…
06-05 12:14:39	btc updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb0a089…
06-05 12:14:24	eth updown 5m 1780661700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd519bc…
06-05 12:14:09	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x19435a…
06-05 12:13:48	sol updown 5m 1780661400	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xecfda6…
06-05 12:05:13	sol updown 5m 1780661100	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xcf965f…
06-05 11:57:21	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xa479ff…
06-05 11:57:07	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x059ebb…
06-05 11:56:43	eth updown 5m 1780660500	Down	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xa5413a…
06-05 11:44:31	eth updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf327ed…
06-05 11:12:54	eth updown 15m 1780657200	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xfa70a2…
06-05 11:12:48	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1f1b09…
06-05 11:03:22	eth updown 5m 1780657500	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xe5662f…
06-05 11:00:13	eth updown 15m 1780657200	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xaf220d…
06-05 11:00:13	sol updown 5m 1780657200	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa4f22c…
06-05 10:57:15	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x70fc0f…
06-05 10:25:22	btc updown 15m 1780654500	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xded069…
06-05 10:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780654500	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xabac39…
06-05 10:14:52	btc updown 5m 1780654500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x23e35a…
06-05 10:14:19	sol updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xcc65b6…
06-05 10:13:07	sol updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x37ac0d…
06-05 10:13:00	sol updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x6a3537…
06-05 10:12:12	btc updown 15m 1780654500	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x6b8e91…
06-05 10:11:13	sol updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b551f…
06-05 10:10:13	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4edd2c…
06-05 09:30:06	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	1,485	1¢	$15	0x01adcc…
06-05 09:15:12	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x6ad2c1…
06-05 09:14:43	sol updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4854d9…
06-05 09:05:24	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x792158…
06-03 14:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2aeb6b…
06-03 14:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,001	1¢	$15	0xf8fea4…
06-03 14:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x312699…
06-03 14:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xdee24d…
06-03 14:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	969	1¢	$10	0x3c63fb…
06-03 14:49:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	388	2¢	$7	0xc66f1b…
06-03 14:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,420	1¢	$15	0x794e7f…
06-03 14:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	29¢	$7	0x996315…
06-03 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe66e6d…
06-03 14:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	660	1¢	$7	0xf78072…
06-03 14:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,485	1¢	$15	0xb1aef7…
06-03 14:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x720ed9…
06-03 14:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0xa99cc1…
06-03 14:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0xa32433…
06-03 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e5d25…
06-03 14:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x02a6b8…
06-03 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	62	12¢	$8	0x7741c8…
06-03 14:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0309bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	173	$54.1K	7,750	06-05 20:56
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	160	$51.6K	4,610	06-05 20:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	160	$28.1K	4,432	06-05 20:56
Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a	159	$12.7K	4,060	06-05 20:57
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	157	$38.0K	11,318	06-05 20:57
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	156	$33.4K	9,961	06-05 20:57
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	156	$13.8K	2,321	06-05 20:57
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	155	$22.8K	3,508	06-05 20:57