Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

124

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$48.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$221

Open exposure

$536

1 position

First seen

2026-08-15

last 10-28 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

96% 91% +$305

Crypto

3% 72% -$120

Politics

1% 50% -$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+537	$530	100¢	$536	+$6	10-28 16:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$999	549	549	+0	Yes	+$99	10-28 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?	2	$913	463	463	+0	No	+$13	09-22 04:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 24?	2	$911	461	461	+0	No	+$11	10-24 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	2	$910	461	461	+0	No	+$10	10-25 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$907	457	457	+0	No	+$7	10-23 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?	2	$878	444	444	+0	Yes	+$8	09-20 14:03
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	2	$868	450	450	+0	Yes	+$32	10-23 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 21?	2	$848	429	429	+0	No	+$8	09-21 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?	2	$847	428	428	+0	No	+$7	09-22 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?	2	$821	421	421	+0	No	+$21	09-20 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?	2	$800	412	412	+0	No	+$24	09-19 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19?	2	$774	389	389	+0	No	+$4	09-19 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	2	$764	395	395	+0	No	+$24	10-19 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	2	$754	385	385	+0	Yes	+$14	09-18 09:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	5	$742	438	438	+0	Yes	-$58	09-29 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?	2	$737	372	372	+0	No	+$7	10-18 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	2	$731	372	372	+0	Yes	+$11	09-17 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$711	361	361	+0	No	+$11	10-20 16:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	2	$711	365	365	+0	No	+$19	10-17 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	2	$705	360	360	+0	No	+$15	09-17 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 21?	2	$688	349	349	+0	No	+$8	10-21 00:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	2	$674	347	347	+0	Yes	+$20	09-16 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?	2	$653	331	331	+0	Yes	+$5	09-16 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?	2	$637	325	325	+0	No	+$11	09-16 04:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	2	$619	319	319	+0	No	+$19	09-26 15:36
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	2	$619	319	319	+0	No	+$19	10-14 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$617	314	314	+0	Yes	+$9	09-15 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	2	$617	317	317	+0	No	+$17	09-23 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	2	$612	313	313	+0	Yes	+$12	09-26 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?	2	$606	306	306	+0	Yes	+$6	09-24 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:01:38	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	537	99¢	$530	0x7c3b6a…
10-28 14:40:32	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	549	100¢	$549	0xd0bf09…
10-26 15:12:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x3332c7…
10-25 15:26:18	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	549	82¢	$450	0xea2802…
10-25 06:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$460	0x5832de…
10-25 04:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	461	98¢	$450	0xb14a1c…
10-24 23:33:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 25?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x6e5e4b…
10-24 15:05:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 25?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$180	0xce10bf…
10-24 05:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xb1325e…
10-24 00:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	220	95¢	$210	0x1f1184…
10-24 00:02:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 24?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$461	0xe9d606…
10-23 15:18:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 24?	No	BUY	461	98¢	$450	0x81f058…
10-23 15:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0x968aa1…
10-23 12:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	457	98¢	$450	0x011a27…
10-23 12:31:44	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0xfb80c2…
10-21 14:11:47	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0x24ca78…
10-21 00:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 21?	No	SELL	349	100¢	$348	0xfa0345…
10-20 17:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 21?	No	BUY	349	98¢	$340	0x1c6b4f…
10-20 16:59:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	361	100¢	$361	0x69a348…
10-20 10:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	361	97¢	$350	0xbd3b26…
10-19 08:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	395	99¢	$390	0x0b6253…
10-19 04:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	No	SELL	395	100¢	$394	0x8c436c…
10-19 00:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	No	BUY	395	94¢	$370	0x70a2bd…
10-18 04:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?	No	SELL	372	100¢	$372	0x4dfcda…
10-18 03:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?	No	BUY	372	98¢	$365	0x44ee42…
10-17 15:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	365	100¢	$365	0x176b41…
10-17 03:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	365	95¢	$346	0x7b0a5a…
10-15 10:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	345	93¢	$320	0x141269…
10-14 13:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x0fda90…
10-14 12:32:24	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	SELL	319	100¢	$319	0x636008…
10-14 12:05:30	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x6ca379…
10-14 06:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x3e4c80…
10-14 05:49:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	296	98¢	$290	0x4b2f2c…
10-13 14:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	98¢	$290	0x55a7c1…
10-13 14:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x8c6edf…
10-13 14:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf4b4f2…
10-13 14:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x9e4d05…
10-13 14:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7e2a2e…
10-13 13:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x7c52f1…
10-13 13:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa71bf7…
10-13 13:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x4d22e6…
10-13 13:47:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x012282…
10-13 13:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x98cbdd…
10-13 13:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xbd0842…
10-13 13:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xfdea53…
10-10 15:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$294	0xc28914…
10-10 02:49:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	295	95¢	$280	0x00e1bc…
10-08 15:53:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	295	93¢	$275	0x164fc3…
10-05 05:17:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	277	94¢	$260	0x88ce19…
09-30 16:34:45	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?	No	BUY	256	98¢	$250	0x92735f…
09-30 14:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0xe4bc08…
09-30 06:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0x26bfd5…
09-30 03:57:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$240	0x31504e…
09-30 02:37:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0x1d7aca…
09-30 01:45:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0xaa8161…
09-29 23:42:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0xc38b2e…
09-29 23:34:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0x3c5a16…
09-29 15:05:36	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	95	41¢	$39	0xf62eb5…
09-29 14:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xcdcc26…
09-29 14:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x29639d…
09-29 14:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb97bd1…
09-29 14:23:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xa80c00…
09-29 14:23:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x0cffe1…
09-29 14:21:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	No	SELL	105	11¢	$12	0xd8b7b4…
09-29 13:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x255f28…
09-29 12:58:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x46aabc…
09-29 02:54:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xdd98f8…
09-29 00:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0xaaf1f1…
09-28 17:41:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x6363f2…
09-28 15:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xeade33…
09-28 15:48:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x013ab5…
09-28 15:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0x2641aa…
09-28 02:13:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x3d1560…
09-27 17:20:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x4fc1f3…
09-27 17:01:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x5d5313…
09-27 08:09:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x3eac11…
09-27 00:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xcfd52b…
09-26 17:16:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x49018f…
09-26 16:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x060a69…
09-26 16:48:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x622e63…
09-26 16:02:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4ba66a…
09-26 15:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	SELL	319	100¢	$319	0x49e5eb…
09-26 12:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x47af82…
09-26 07:38:06	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	89	82¢	$73	0x095564…
09-26 07:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x00a62e…
09-26 02:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xea2ca9…
09-26 02:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	313	100¢	$312	0x5322e8…
09-25 15:47:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0xf4174b…
09-25 15:39:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0xdd120c…
09-25 14:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x9ae95d…
09-25 14:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	309	91¢	$280	0x2ce21e…
09-25 08:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x650978…
09-25 07:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	304	99¢	$302	0xf2d5b4…
09-25 06:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xccb2bc…
09-25 02:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	262	95¢	$250	0x755280…
09-24 15:57:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x4666c0…
09-24 14:46:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x57db1e…
09-24 11:41:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?	No	BUY	301	96¢	$290	0x8e2969…
09-24 10:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x6c23c2…
09-24 06:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x13a2f6…