Plastic-Hobbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-15 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 43% $-35

Other

19% — —

Sports

12% 38% $-4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$269	170	170	+0	open	—	05-15 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	7	$145	221	178	+43	Down	+$25	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$106	67	67	+0	Up	+$26	05-09 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$96	99	0	+99	open	—	05-15 02:12
btc updown 5m 1774759500	2	$92	55	55	+1	open	—	03-29 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$92	223	59	+164	Down	$-35	05-09 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$91	208	208	+0	Down	$-19	05-09 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	9	$81	181	151	+29	Down	+$20	05-09 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$80	106	77	+29	Down	$-0	05-09 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$75	93	32	+61	Down	+$36	05-09 05:44
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$73	98	98	+0	Timberwolves	+$11	05-11 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	5	$63	237	237	+0	open	—	05-15 02:19
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$63	41	41	+0	open	—	05-07 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$55	277	27	+250	Up	$-5	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$55	109	0	+109	Up	$-55	05-09 18:14
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	5	$54	194	17	+176	Cavaliers	$-25	05-12 01:41
btc updown 5m 1774758300	2	$53	83	82	+1	open	—	03-29 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$52	42	42	+0	Up	+$22	05-09 18:24
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	4	$48	54	54	+0	Roman Kopylov	+$16	05-09 22:55
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$45	461	0	+461	open	—	04-29 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$45	129	56	+73	open	—	05-15 02:28
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$42	112	112	+0	Sean Strickland	$-2	05-09 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$42	287	287	+0	open	—	05-15 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$38	138	138	+0	open	—	05-15 03:22
will clavicular be unbanned from kick by march 31	3	$38	381	100	+281	open	—	03-28 04:47
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$36	102	102	+0	Thunder	$-1	05-12 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$34	310	0	+310	open	—	05-15 03:49
btc updown 5m 1774759200	2	$34	79	79	+0	open	—	03-29 04:43
ethereum above 1900 on march 27	2	$31	363	363	+0	open	—	03-27 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$31	36	0	+36	Up	+$5	05-09 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x8330ff…
05-15 04:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	243	7¢	$17	0x8a8776…
05-15 03:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	19¢	$16	0xe097f2…
05-15 03:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	233	7¢	$17	0xde7d2f…
05-15 03:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	22¢	$17	0x947b07…
05-15 03:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xaed67d…
05-15 03:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	190	9¢	$17	0xd8fe88…
05-15 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	138	20¢	$28	0x81f31c…
05-15 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0x579523…
05-15 03:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	65	22¢	$14	0x52f821…
05-15 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0xc3f00c…
05-15 03:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	287	7¢	$20	0x61b907…
05-15 03:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x142353…
05-15 03:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	8¢	$11	0x449344…
05-15 02:32:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x145eb1…
05-15 02:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x6560f9…
05-15 02:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0xfe7116…
05-15 02:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x550dbf…
05-15 02:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	46	25¢	$12	0xfde8d7…
05-15 02:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xba389c…
05-15 02:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	122	11¢	$13	0xc9cc02…
05-15 02:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0xe3c11c…
05-15 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	115	23¢	$26	0xd3e906…
05-15 02:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0x0fbd85…
05-15 02:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x78ac24…
05-15 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xccc6fe…
05-15 02:11:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x2ff7bd…
05-14 23:58:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x579f5e…
05-12 01:41:08	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0xef9979…
05-12 01:40:51	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	17	83¢	$15	0x37dbbb…
05-12 01:40:14	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	94	17¢	$16	0xb77299…
05-12 00:49:57	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	102	17¢	$17	0xedfb9f…
05-12 00:42:31	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8690b1…
05-12 00:41:49	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0b3b46…
05-12 00:38:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x7e4f23…
05-12 00:38:29	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x9dee39…
05-12 00:38:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x0e40e5…
05-12 00:36:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0x6680a5…
05-12 00:35:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xf19a1b…
05-11 23:04:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7e501e…
05-11 23:02:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xe86250…
05-11 23:01:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xba7ed5…
05-11 00:49:56	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0xa06046…
05-11 00:35:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x1ca26a…
05-11 00:34:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0x2e6e63…
05-11 00:20:23	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x4ad637…
05-10 00:20:26	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x1bbfaa…
05-09 23:54:02	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf5703b…
05-09 23:43:04	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x12e75c…
05-09 23:19:53	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jim Miller	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xec3c23…
05-09 23:08:16	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0x7a16b9…
05-09 23:05:02	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jim Miller	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x034341…
05-09 22:55:52	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0x6041c8…
05-09 22:52:15	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x82448f…
05-09 22:51:51	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x7f4039…
05-09 22:50:09	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x42d856…
05-09 22:49:29	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xd31209…
05-09 20:47:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	112	20¢	$22	0xe6bf02…
05-09 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xb88d2b…
05-09 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xb6a23d…
05-09 18:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x024850…
05-09 18:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	87¢	$31	0x648645…
05-09 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc4bc3f…
05-09 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x696c88…
05-09 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x4140ed…
05-09 18:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xdfbf8c…
05-09 18:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3e4b15…
05-09 18:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83	29¢	$24	0x03a1ac…
05-09 18:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x2fc4eb…
05-09 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	51	42¢	$21	0x4da82f…
05-09 18:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x953da7…
05-09 18:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	96	14¢	$13	0xd8d1ef…
05-09 18:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x21335d…
05-09 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x796bd2…
05-09 18:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	59	48¢	$28	0x20a4c4…
05-09 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x99bfb2…
05-09 18:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1a29c8…
05-09 18:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd1af0c…
05-09 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1264a5…
05-09 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	77	51¢	$40	0x2efc4f…
05-09 18:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x46214b…
05-09 18:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x88afe1…
05-09 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa7b85f…
05-09 18:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x89fd99…
05-09 18:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x6e9e8f…
05-09 18:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x86683e…
05-09 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x3ec9f5…
05-09 18:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x304618…
05-09 18:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xec32de…
05-09 18:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x66b5de…
05-09 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x679bd2…
05-09 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf1b361…
05-09 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x34bd57…
05-09 18:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x4e6690…
05-09 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xef0c74…
05-09 18:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xcce946…
05-09 16:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x0c80ae…
05-09 16:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3cd6e4…
05-09 06:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xb6dd44…
05-09 06:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0x7ad378…