Humble-Front — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

210

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$965

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

65% 10% -$47

Politics

28% 26% +$43

Crypto

4% 6% -$32

Sports

2% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+23	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	05-12 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$101	107	107	+0	Yes	+$95	01-26 08:50
gc hit 4900 high jan 2026 789 841 274 624	2	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	+$38	01-21 09:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$43	43	43	+0	Yes	+$39	02-28 20:23
aws service disrupted by march 31	2	$32	27	27	+0	Yes	+$22	03-01 21:13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$31	28	28	+0	Yes	+$21	02-28 16:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$29	61	30	+31	No	+$9	01-26 09:23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	2	$28	463	463	+0	No	+$8	03-26 17:42
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$26	48	48	+0	Yes	+$22	01-21 09:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$25	83	83	+0	No	+$5	03-24 22:05
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	2	$22	72	72	+0	Yes	+$12	01-12 15:57
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$20	0	24	-24	Yes	-$4	03-10 09:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$17	23	23	+0	No	+$13	03-08 22:12
will meta dip to 620 in february	2	$16	22	22	+0	No	+$12	02-14 11:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	04-05 12:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$14	13	13	+0	No	+$10	03-08 22:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$12	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	03-06 08:43
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	06-08 08:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$9	62	24	+38	No	-$1	03-23 15:07
will tsla dip to 353 in march	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	+$5	03-30 19:23
will nvda dip to 164 in march	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$4	03-30 22:22
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$7	102	0	+102	No	-$7	02-17 14:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$7	40	0	+40	No	-$7	03-24 22:05
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	2	$6	8	8	+0	No	+$2	03-30 18:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$6	62	0	+62	No	-$6	04-15 11:01
si settle 82 5 85 jan 2026	1	$6	0	60	-60	No	+$6	01-13 08:29
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	03-09 11:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	1	$5	200	0	+200	No	-$5	05-12 08:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	03-09 11:15
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	63	0	+63	No	-$5	04-12 08:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	01-06 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:28:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb983a…
05-29 08:41:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08d6be…
05-29 08:41:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x631fa6…
05-12 08:49:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x5eb7ec…
05-12 08:49:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x98af76…
05-12 08:49:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x5131b7…
05-12 08:49:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x9d60fc…
05-12 08:49:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x63fb98…
05-12 08:49:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x462451…
05-12 08:48:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x281bef…
05-12 08:48:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xedfaf9…
05-12 08:47:35	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe67922…
05-12 08:47:31	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x6b7875…
05-12 08:47:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xafd280…
05-12 08:46:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x25adaa…
05-12 08:46:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x47e227…
05-12 08:46:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa606b0…
05-12 08:46:39	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9650dc…
05-12 08:46:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3bc6b8…
05-12 08:46:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6367f9…
05-12 08:45:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xed71dc…
05-12 08:44:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7c6e6b…
05-12 08:44:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf5dc66…
05-12 08:43:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe7b59d…
05-12 08:43:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x174d3b…
05-12 08:42:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x888fad…
05-12 08:42:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x96cccf…
05-12 08:41:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xaea25b…
04-23 14:40:08	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xbf6751…
04-23 14:39:54	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x036c57…
04-23 14:39:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xce8b6f…
04-23 14:39:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9c69e3…
04-23 14:39:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x236d8b…
04-19 20:11:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x66231a…
04-19 20:11:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xc7ab64…
04-19 20:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x0994d3…
04-19 20:11:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xb814f8…
04-19 20:10:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xafbf7d…
04-19 20:10:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x091dd1…
04-19 20:10:16	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xa8410f…
04-15 11:01:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x12cd03…
04-15 11:01:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xea6a14…
04-15 11:00:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3fcdda…
04-15 11:00:30	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf06bb1…
04-15 10:45:50	Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xac900c…
04-15 10:45:46	Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe85bc7…
04-15 10:45:32	Will Meta dip to $540 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf2b56c…
04-15 10:45:28	Will Google dip to $280 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x77a550…
04-15 10:45:22	Will Amazon dip to $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd537b0…
04-12 12:58:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2c7c41…
04-12 08:42:11	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x0f27a6…
04-12 08:42:01	Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc72d1c…
04-12 08:41:51	Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x570cf3…
04-12 08:41:43	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3b3bd7…
04-12 08:40:59	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x2e9292…
04-12 08:40:39	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x8766d8…
04-10 20:48:43	Will Google dip to $255 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x48c63e…
04-10 20:48:41	Will Google dip to $270 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe750d6…
04-10 20:48:03	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of April?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa6ed2c…
04-10 20:47:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc4e152…
04-10 20:47:41	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of April?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x02c817…
04-10 20:47:19	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x434044…
04-10 20:46:19	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x59f49b…
04-10 20:46:17	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of April?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf459f3…
04-08 20:09:33	Will Amazon dip to $192 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0fcaf7…
04-08 20:09:31	Will Amazon dip to $180 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x59b38c…
04-08 20:09:05	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of April?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8488a4…
04-07 08:35:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xc93bd6…
04-07 08:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x6198b0…
04-07 08:35:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x8d5791…
04-07 08:35:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6d2952…
04-06 16:10:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xca2c58…
04-05 12:13:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc9c7af…
04-02 11:49:05	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2855a6…
04-02 11:49:01	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5563ca…
04-02 11:48:53	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x395a21…
04-02 11:48:51	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x85569f…
03-31 08:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x9be8b0…
03-31 08:50:53	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9d3ae1…
03-31 08:50:49	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22e3cc…
03-31 08:50:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf6c5e0…
03-31 08:50:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x3c0cbd…
03-30 22:22:31	will nvda dip to 164 in march	Yes	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x0edcaf…
03-30 19:23:49	will tsla dip to 353 in march	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb12675…
03-30 18:50:01	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x2e0640…
03-26 17:42:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	463	4¢	$18	0x94e643…
03-25 16:08:45	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5494ce…
03-25 16:08:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6c7e0c…
03-25 16:08:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xc54d19…
03-24 22:05:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x262472…
03-24 22:05:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcc9586…
03-24 22:05:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7b1e0c…
03-24 22:05:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbbf545…
03-24 22:05:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x87640b…
03-23 15:07:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xdf215e…
03-23 12:29:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x39281d…
03-22 18:47:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb3b8dc…
03-22 18:46:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	2¢	$10	0xf3a30c…
03-22 18:46:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbf8d00…
03-22 11:21:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x99edaf…