Ill-Informed-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$167

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

136

Trades

15,735

lifetime

Volume

$2.85M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-09 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$250

Other

15% 98% $-421

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	2	$5.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	05-22 12:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	3	$5.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-25 00:40
btc updown 5m 1775708700	43	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	04-09 04:31
xrp up or down march 8 2am et	2	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	2	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
btc updown 5m 1783112400	10	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 21:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24?	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-24 20:33
sol updown 5m 1783759800	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-11 08:56
btc updown 5m 1783203300	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-04 22:20
xrp updown 15m 1783037700	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 00:30
eth updown 5m 1784750400	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-22 20:05
btc updown 5m 1782847800	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 19:36
btc updown 5m 1783233300	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-05 06:41
btc updown 5m 1783876800	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-12 17:25
btc updown 5m 1784182800	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-16 06:25
ethereum up or down july 2 2026 6pm et	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-02 23:04
btc updown 5m 1784646300	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-21 15:11
btc updown 5m 1783329900	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-06 09:30
btc updown 15m 1782832500	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 15:30
btc updown 5m 1784057400	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-14 19:36
btc updown 5m 1783426500	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-07 12:20
bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-19 16:01
btc updown 5m 1783037100	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 00:11
btc updown 5m 1782795900	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 05:10
bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11am et	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-07 16:06
btc updown 5m 1785546900	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-01 01:22
btc updown 5m 1783113000	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 21:16
btc updown 5m 1783518900	13	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-08 14:01
btc updown 5m 1783930500	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-13 08:20
eth updown 5m 1784107200	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-15 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 23:05:57	doge updown 5m 1786316400	Up	BUY	357	100¢	$357	0x95a60d…
08-09 22:10:22	bnb updown 5m 1786313100	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x6f1297…
08-09 22:00:48	eth updown 15m 1786311900	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xddb64c…
08-09 21:46:58	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa569e0…
08-09 21:46:55	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x543b47…
08-09 21:46:25	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2d8736…
08-09 21:46:21	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x66be06…
08-09 21:46:16	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	363	100¢	$362	0x18ae15…
08-09 21:41:57	bnb updown 5m 1786311300	Down	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x0e1ce6…
08-09 21:01:33	btc updown 15m 1786308300	Down	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xa44b4f…
08-09 21:00:36	btc updown 15m 1786308300	Down	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xac93fe…
08-09 21:00:34	btc updown 15m 1786308300	Down	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x7b9124…
08-09 21:00:09	btc updown 15m 1786308300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x282d74…
08-09 20:36:03	doge updown 5m 1786307400	Up	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0x295fa2…
08-09 20:30:06	sol updown 5m 1786307100	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe566ca…
08-09 19:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xbac18b…
08-09 19:16:24	btc updown 5m 1786302600	Down	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xbb1da4…
08-09 19:16:10	btc updown 5m 1786302600	Down	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x55e4f6…
08-09 19:12:31	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x73783e…
08-09 19:11:39	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27faa0…
08-09 19:06:39	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6b84ff…
08-09 19:06:21	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd77acf…
08-09 19:05:12	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbbd77a…
08-09 19:04:06	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xac3a5f…
08-09 19:01:48	xrp updown 15m 1786301100	Down	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x3eda66…
08-09 18:16:03	bnb updown 15m 1786298400	Down	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0x89ac84…
08-09 18:06:16	bnb updown 5m 1786298400	Down	BUY	331	100¢	$331	0x64152d…
08-09 18:01:55	eth updown 5m 1786298100	Up	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0xe094cc…
08-09 18:01:33	hype updown 15m 1786297500	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd098c8…
08-09 18:00:28	btc updown 15m 1786297500	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf6582c…
08-09 17:30:55	btc updown 15m 1786295700	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc18ea5…
08-09 17:06:39	xrp updown 5m 1786294800	Down	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x86aef1…
08-09 17:02:03	btc updown 15m 1786293900	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7a3610…
08-09 17:00:46	btc updown 15m 1786293900	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3c9250…
08-09 17:00:13	btc updown 15m 1786293900	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x689fe3…
08-09 16:56:12	bnb updown 5m 1786294200	Down	BUY	419	100¢	$419	0x54f409…
08-09 16:04:40	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x52d4d2…
08-09 14:20:37	btc updown 5m 1786284900	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb43240…
08-09 14:20:19	sol updown 5m 1786284900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e83ef…
08-09 14:06:24	hype updown 5m 1786284000	Down	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0x8ef3a0…
08-09 14:02:03	hype updown 15m 1786283100	Down	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0x79b2eb…
08-09 13:46:52	doge updown 5m 1786282800	Up	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0xd31b40…
08-09 13:40:07	doge updown 5m 1786282500	Down	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0xf2ead9…
08-09 13:06:55	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2fef8…
08-09 13:05:10	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfd6111…
08-09 12:56:49	hype updown 5m 1786279800	Up	BUY	432	100¢	$432	0xa6d1e3…
08-09 12:40:12	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Down	BUY	965	100¢	$964	0xc9dc1f…
08-09 12:40:09	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Down	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf78527…
08-09 12:31:54	eth updown 15m 1786277700	Down	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0x460dbb…
08-09 11:02:01	solana up or down august 9 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9b277…
08-09 10:26:22	xrp updown 5m 1786270800	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdd7518…
08-09 10:22:09	btc updown 5m 1786270500	Down	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0xf304a1…
08-09 10:21:57	btc updown 5m 1786270500	Down	BUY	438	100¢	$438	0x85e729…
08-09 10:09:00	solana up or down august 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x217ede…
08-09 10:07:19	solana up or down august 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8cc85b…
08-09 10:06:40	solana up or down august 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x42e05a…
08-09 09:46:09	sol updown 5m 1786268400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb68065…
08-09 09:46:09	doge updown 5m 1786268400	Down	BUY	433	100¢	$433	0xa64cb6…
08-09 09:16:52	hype updown 5m 1786266600	Up	BUY	440	100¢	$439	0xe85d66…
08-09 08:42:22	btc updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74c1ca…
08-09 08:42:10	btc updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd4d1b0…
08-09 08:41:51	btc updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x31b09f…
08-09 08:41:07	btc updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50f2aa…
08-09 08:40:37	btc updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0x856749…
08-09 08:16:19	xrp updown 5m 1786263000	Up	BUY	398	100¢	$398	0x71e58d…
08-09 08:11:43	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x751382…
08-09 08:11:21	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x21733b…
08-09 08:11:19	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x88c263…
08-09 08:11:10	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbe570…
08-09 08:10:52	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc3319…
08-09 08:10:24	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5668…
08-09 08:10:18	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x70aaa6…
08-09 08:10:06	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	398	100¢	$398	0xf78b0c…
08-09 08:10:06	btc updown 5m 1786262700	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6f7da…
08-09 08:02:28	btc updown 5m 1786262100	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdca7fa…
08-09 08:02:19	btc updown 5m 1786262100	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3ea62a…
08-09 07:20:12	sol updown 5m 1786259700	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x5e36db…
08-09 07:16:19	sol updown 5m 1786259400	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dd1d3…
08-09 07:07:03	xrp updown 5m 1786258800	Down	BUY	443	100¢	$443	0xbafec1…
08-09 06:46:42	btc updown 5m 1786257600	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x89534a…
08-09 06:46:37	sol updown 5m 1786257600	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd039de…
08-09 06:46:30	btc updown 5m 1786257600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe226c5…
08-09 06:46:27	btc updown 5m 1786257600	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x036ab3…
08-09 06:46:18	btc updown 5m 1786257600	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x459222…
08-09 06:46:06	sol updown 5m 1786257600	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2baf46…
08-09 06:45:57	sol updown 5m 1786257600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7df18e…
08-09 06:02:03	sol updown 5m 1786254900	Down	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0xbc2690…
08-09 05:16:01	btc updown 5m 1786252200	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc77f15…
08-09 05:16:00	btc updown 5m 1786252200	Up	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xfde8c5…
08-09 05:16:00	btc updown 5m 1786252200	Up	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xc1d427…
08-09 05:15:58	btc updown 5m 1786252200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x550088…
08-09 05:10:42	eth updown 5m 1786251900	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98e4c2…
08-09 05:10:39	sol updown 5m 1786251900	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9c656e…
08-09 05:02:28	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	497	100¢	$496	0x35ce49…
08-09 05:01:49	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2142e6…
08-09 04:36:36	bnb updown 5m 1786249800	Up	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x691d26…
08-09 04:30:15	bnb updown 5m 1786249500	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x514796…
08-09 03:07:16	eth updown 5m 1786244400	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ffb41…
08-09 02:52:03	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Down	BUY	414	100¢	$413	0x53d568…
08-09 02:31:15	sol updown 5m 1786242300	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa5f68e…