Ill-Informed-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$167

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

136

Trades

15,164

lifetime

Volume

$2.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-20 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$250

Other

16% 98% $-421

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	2	$5.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	05-22 12:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	3	$5.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-25 00:40
btc updown 5m 1775708700	43	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	04-09 04:31
ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	2	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
xrp up or down march 8 2am et	2	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
btc updown 5m 1783791300	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-11 17:41
btc updown 5m 1783518900	13	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-08 14:01
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 12pm et	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-12 17:00
btc updown 5m 1784248200	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-17 00:35
btc updown 5m 1783862400	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-12 13:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24?	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-24 20:33
btc updown 5m 1782957000	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-02 01:55
btc updown 5m 1783810800	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-11 23:05
btc updown 5m 1783403700	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-07 06:01
btc updown 5m 1784179200	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-16 05:26
btc updown 5m 1783233300	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-05 06:41
eth updown 5m 1784107200	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-15 09:25
btc updown 5m 1783461000	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-07 21:56
btc updown 5m 1783203300	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-04 22:20
sol updown 5m 1783759800	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-11 08:56
btc updown 5m 1783329900	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-06 09:30
btc updown 5m 1783426500	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-07 12:20
btc updown 5m 1783037100	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 00:11
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 4am et	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-07 09:00
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12am et	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 05:00
btc updown 5m 1782850500	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 20:20
eth updown 5m 1784148900	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-15 21:01
btc updown 5m 1784182800	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-16 06:25
eth updown 5m 1782834600	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 15:56
xrp updown 15m 1783037700	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-03 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:20:12	will ethereum dip to 1900 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52771f…
07-20 15:56:15	btc updown 5m 1784562600	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53a532…
07-20 15:56:12	btc updown 5m 1784562600	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc61a1e…
07-20 15:56:12	btc updown 5m 1784562600	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b984b…
07-20 15:56:09	btc updown 5m 1784562600	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xddc849…
07-20 15:30:04	eth updown 15m 1784560500	Down	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x0c8372…
07-20 13:25:54	btc updown 5m 1784553600	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3579fd…
07-20 13:01:27	btc updown 5m 1784552100	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c668e…
07-20 12:45:43	xrp updown 5m 1784551200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6b7ca…
07-20 12:03:18	hype up or down july 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xafb8e4…
07-20 06:31:37	xrp updown 5m 1784528700	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac494b…
07-20 06:30:31	xrp updown 5m 1784528700	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5d577…
07-20 05:50:19	bnb updown 5m 1784526300	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe330bc…
07-20 05:00:03	ethereum above 1870 on july 20 2026 1am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe970aa…
07-20 04:05:18	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d8e82…
07-20 04:05:16	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x67c435…
07-20 04:04:06	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xae69df…
07-20 04:00:03	ethereum above 1880 on july 20 2026 12am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad1945…
07-20 03:36:04	btc updown 5m 1784518200	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa868a3…
07-20 03:35:58	btc updown 5m 1784518200	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x98317a…
07-20 03:35:48	btc updown 5m 1784518200	Up	BUY	2,001	100¢	$1,999	0x6ea0c8…
07-20 03:16:01	btc updown 5m 1784517000	Up	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xad325f…
07-20 03:15:46	btc updown 5m 1784517000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42f0d8…
07-20 03:15:34	btc updown 5m 1784517000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3027b…
07-20 03:11:06	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf23c19…
07-20 03:11:03	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf654e8…
07-20 03:11:01	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x281c08…
07-20 03:10:43	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x148789…
07-20 03:10:34	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x38ac11…
07-20 03:10:27	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8facf0…
07-20 03:10:21	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f6c74…
07-20 03:10:16	btc updown 5m 1784516700	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93d93f…
07-20 02:11:04	eth updown 5m 1784513100	Down	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x58e4cd…
07-20 01:30:09	bnb updown 5m 1784510700	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7e0da…
07-20 00:22:22	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 19	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2c4e46…
07-20 00:22:09	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 19	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa95ad3…
07-20 00:00:12	bnb up or down july 19 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb4115…
07-20 00:00:03	bnb up or down july 19 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x1650cb…
07-19 23:32:19	btc updown 15m 1784502900	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x22cabb…
07-19 21:00:03	ethereum above 1870 on july 19 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a0cf7…
07-19 20:36:21	btc updown 5m 1784493000	Up	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x905887…
07-19 18:09:51	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5bfdc4…
07-19 18:04:28	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x7695c1…
07-19 18:02:10	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7a32d8…
07-19 18:00:19	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x1d069b…
07-19 18:00:03	hype updown 15m 1784483100	Down	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xe72c10…
07-19 16:13:31	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf92879…
07-19 16:09:13	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd2ebe2…
07-19 16:06:33	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x460a98…
07-19 16:06:28	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce7a17…
07-19 16:06:16	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Up	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xba1271…
07-19 16:06:16	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x497938…
07-19 16:06:09	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdb3722…
07-19 16:02:01	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x4a69dd…
07-19 16:01:04	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x7d7ce6…
07-19 16:01:03	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3296f4…
07-19 15:16:37	sol updown 5m 1784473800	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d362c…
07-19 13:11:58	btc updown 5m 1784466300	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a758c…
07-19 13:02:39	solana up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xd787ba…
07-19 12:26:39	xrp updown 5m 1784463600	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f2f30…
07-19 09:16:25	btc updown 5m 1784452200	Down	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xe1f445…
07-19 09:10:25	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x329b23…
07-19 07:20:57	bnb updown 5m 1784445300	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdd54ac…
07-19 05:00:27	xrp updown 5m 1784436900	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4713d0…
07-19 04:29:27	will xrp reach 1pt1 on july 18	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xde9908…
07-19 04:28:16	will xrp reach 1pt1 on july 18	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x42cf41…
07-19 02:55:21	sol updown 5m 1784429400	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x086dd2…
07-19 01:45:04	bnb updown 5m 1784425200	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xead723…
07-19 00:36:25	xrp updown 5m 1784421000	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x801baf…
07-18 23:33:33	btc updown 5m 1784417100	Up	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xd19e75…
07-18 23:33:30	btc updown 5m 1784417100	Up	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x933f7b…
07-18 23:33:25	btc updown 5m 1784417100	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb16e7b…
07-18 23:33:12	btc updown 5m 1784417100	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x068ce6…
07-18 23:32:39	btc updown 5m 1784417100	Up	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xfd3b05…
07-18 20:04:10	bnb up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd4359…
07-18 19:36:13	xrp updown 5m 1784403000	Up	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0304ff…
07-18 19:00:03	ethereum above 1860 on july 18 2026 3pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d7b7…
07-18 18:00:07	eth updown 5m 1784397300	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4147fb…
07-18 18:00:03	ethereum above 1850 on july 18 2026 2pm et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bba4a…
07-18 17:21:33	btc updown 5m 1784394900	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc0489d…
07-18 17:21:19	btc updown 5m 1784394900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x629ae1…
07-18 17:20:16	btc updown 5m 1784394900	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8cc8b2…
07-18 17:00:03	bitcoin above 64200 on july 18 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84e38e…
07-18 16:30:03	hype updown 5m 1784391900	Down	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb5d171…
07-18 16:11:39	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x41ba9b…
07-18 16:08:30	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	474	100¢	$473	0x06b59c…
07-18 16:05:54	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfcc8e5…
07-18 16:05:19	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfa7b40…
07-18 16:04:04	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb50b1…
07-18 16:03:40	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0x9cad1c…
07-18 16:03:34	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b7615…
07-18 16:03:06	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x9bdb3f…
07-18 15:46:12	btc updown 15m 1784388600	Down	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xee1194…
07-18 11:36:16	eth updown 5m 1784374200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x266db3…
07-18 10:36:24	sol updown 5m 1784370600	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x996fba…
07-18 09:08:09	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe1f578…
07-18 09:06:04	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x099bc2…
07-18 09:05:58	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f3481…
07-18 09:05:36	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x92d2fb…
07-18 09:05:00	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x34d0b9…