Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-22 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Sports

26% 100% +$10

Politics

24% 100% +$2

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	6	$64	62	62	+0	open	—	02-02 15:23
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	4	$54	102	102	+0	open	—	01-31 22:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$51	53	53	+0	open	—	04-24 20:52
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$47	34	23	+11	open	—	02-27 15:26
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$44	67	67	+0	open	—	03-01 20:27
cbb miaoh toledo 2026 01 09	2	$44	31	31	+0	open	—	01-09 23:44
nba lac den 2026 01 30	3	$39	53	27	+27	open	—	01-30 22:37
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	3	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 06:40
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	2	$38	25	24	+0	open	—	04-24 08:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	4	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-22 15:53
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	4	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$33	24	11	+13	open	—	02-19 05:41
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	02-11 06:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$29	64	30	+33	open	—	04-18 13:10
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	02-26 21:11
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$28	22	21	+0	open	—	04-24 14:50
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 115 139	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	02-10 18:14
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	2	$27	38	37	+1	open	—	04-15 12:53
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	06-08 16:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 18:34
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	02-05 20:13
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	02-22 03:48
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	4	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	02-28 11:46
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	2	$26	76	76	+0	open	—	03-14 18:36
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-01 08:19
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 19:05
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	02-16 16:47
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-10 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 15:27:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xef512f…
06-22 03:20:49	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x928939…
06-22 03:20:49	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	35	13¢	$4	0x258c24…
06-21 09:10:28	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x9437e8…
06-21 03:04:08	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x20d842…
06-20 08:55:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x789d69…
06-20 02:51:52	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x84cc8d…
06-19 14:46:31	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x972376…
06-19 08:43:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x31f631…
06-19 02:40:44	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5e5e0b…
06-18 20:37:58	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0xe9c36b…
06-18 20:37:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4a3a36…
06-18 08:32:04	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xad200e…
06-18 02:27:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x48ad91…
06-17 12:20:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x75f71e…
06-17 12:20:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x44cffb…
06-17 06:17:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x338be2…
06-16 18:11:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9388eb…
06-16 18:11:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0x48bc75…
06-16 12:08:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb06c17…
06-16 06:04:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdec497…
06-16 06:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc70d6d…
06-16 00:00:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0xbdf1bf…
06-15 17:56:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8c247e…
06-15 11:52:49	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xfa08a1…
06-14 11:39:58	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xf03857…
06-14 11:39:58	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xee3515…
06-14 11:39:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x5f239a…
06-13 11:27:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6d5a37…
06-13 05:24:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe34cb2…
06-12 23:21:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xb01b8c…
06-12 23:21:00	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x444f22…
06-11 23:05:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2b6103…
06-11 17:01:18	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x66e400…
06-11 04:52:34	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x3878ad…
06-10 10:42:00	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf6cc46…
06-09 04:22:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x5a5f85…
06-08 22:18:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd87fd0…
06-08 16:14:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xe28462…
06-08 10:11:09	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x1a57df…
06-08 04:06:37	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xf0d6de…
06-07 16:03:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3a824c…
06-04 21:36:15	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x7ff7f7…
06-04 09:33:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x43a9a7…
06-01 15:06:08	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x763ccd…
06-01 15:06:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x04cc3e…
06-01 03:02:39	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdf6b3b…
05-31 08:55:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x7ec7f7…
05-31 08:55:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x745303…
05-31 08:55:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x157122…
05-31 08:55:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0de8bd…
05-31 02:51:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0x7ef72c…
05-30 14:46:11	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x485f92…
05-29 20:37:55	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x55a591…
05-29 14:34:07	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x67e8c1…
05-29 14:34:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x29ba21…
05-29 08:30:05	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xf62ec0…
05-29 08:30:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd6ab76…
05-29 08:30:05	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9a1971…
05-29 02:26:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x998c9d…
05-28 20:23:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x811fda…
05-28 08:15:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xea2fea…
05-28 08:15:45	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xb32c4a…
05-21 06:56:59	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x67a5e1…
05-20 18:49:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xa053ac…
05-20 18:49:53	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x92f6c8…
05-20 12:46:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1b5ccc…
05-20 06:42:27	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x019ed7…
05-20 00:38:39	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe3d4af…
05-19 12:33:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xe72975…
05-18 06:20:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1142be…
05-17 18:13:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x6746f2…
05-14 16:32:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x214859…
05-13 22:23:18	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x87d276…
05-13 16:20:16	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4d9975…
05-12 16:12:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x7aec6b…
05-12 10:08:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x9b1b79…
05-11 22:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9d662a…
05-11 22:02:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7c0b3e…
05-10 15:45:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa0372c…
05-10 15:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x877b41…
05-10 03:40:13	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x807182…
05-09 21:37:37	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xa9deec…
05-06 20:58:12	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x1f6ecf…
05-06 15:53:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x5e215c…
05-05 08:36:56	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe479eb…
05-03 02:50:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9622c8…
05-02 20:46:40	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2639b2…
04-29 08:12:56	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xf36fdc…
04-29 08:12:56	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6fa201…
04-29 02:08:56	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x27fe29…
04-29 02:08:56	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0acb06…
04-28 06:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x4db2f8…
04-27 18:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xc4b0d1…
04-27 18:34:40	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x42a7d3…
04-27 18:34:40	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x20ee96…
04-26 21:04:02	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xc12027…
04-26 09:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xf4b5c2…
04-25 20:58:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x74704b…
04-25 14:57:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xd1928b…