Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$792

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$60

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

94% 50% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+50	$20	38¢	$19	$-0	06-06 19:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+21	$17	82¢	$17	+$0	06-06 20:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+15	$15	96¢	$14	$-0	06-06 19:42
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	+10	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-06 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$336	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	01-01 12:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$112	1,397	0	+1,397	open	—	02-13 05:10
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	03-16 14:50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	05-05 03:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$42	44	0	+44	Yes	+$2	03-16 14:55
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	02-13 05:07
jerome powell arrested by march 31	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-16 14:52
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	01-01 12:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	06-06 19:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	06-06 20:09
tim walz charged by march 31	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	01-01 12:30
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-01 12:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-06 19:42
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-06 20:09
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$3	0	30	-30	open	—	01-01 12:31
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$2	150	0	+150	No	$-2	05-07 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 20:09:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x7834d7…
06-06 20:09:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0acb55…
06-06 19:44:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x0935e3…
06-06 19:42:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc64b9c…
05-07 20:08:49	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xa00826…
05-05 03:58:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x12c8d6…
05-05 02:53:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa4e999…
03-16 14:55:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xd09a8a…
03-16 14:52:09	jerome powell arrested by march 31	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x0acaaf…
03-16 14:50:39	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x12b5a5…
02-13 05:10:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,397	8¢	$112	0xf5fa07…
02-13 05:08:15	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x2a4182…
02-13 05:07:21	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xec8d8d…
01-01 12:34:01	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe617a6…
01-01 12:33:21	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,800	12¢	$336	0x5b8300…
01-01 12:31:55	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x1c0057…
01-01 12:31:37	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd5f91e…
01-01 12:31:13	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x682092…
01-01 12:30:59	tim walz charged by march 31	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xe7d48e…