Slight-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

296

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$6

Politics

2% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-15 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 06:58
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 11:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-08 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 09:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 08:46
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62be39…
11-03 17:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabe166…
11-02 06:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8e1a0…
10-31 15:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66e89d…
10-30 14:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7928b…
10-29 17:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ceb30…
10-29 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x549a01…
10-28 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b1ae…
10-27 10:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe02ef3…
10-26 09:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0a15d…
10-24 11:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85fbdf…
10-22 10:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff2d2…
10-20 08:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x214c93…
10-19 09:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1da02…
10-18 10:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa719a…
10-17 15:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a6227…
10-16 14:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe7889…
10-15 14:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61807c…
10-14 10:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a4ce…
10-13 10:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe04344…
10-12 10:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaf3fa…
10-11 09:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x518554…
10-08 12:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb07792…
10-07 15:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0154f…
10-06 15:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4327d7…
10-05 06:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f4918…
10-03 09:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bca1c…
10-02 14:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x819725…
10-01 09:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f98aa…
09-30 14:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1391c…
09-30 03:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29605a…
09-28 10:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d3b85…
09-27 09:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43570b…
09-25 16:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec9a3…
09-24 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd95a23…
09-23 10:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e71fb…
09-22 08:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeae6f5…
09-21 09:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdc9ac…
09-20 05:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc8895…
09-19 09:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35bc19…
09-18 07:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c2693…
09-17 04:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x971ca6…
09-16 08:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74f4e5…
09-15 10:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x840afc…
09-14 09:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa448f9…
09-13 03:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d08c8…
09-11 09:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2a0ee…
09-10 09:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x514d73…
09-09 02:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x352de3…
09-08 06:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05a7c5…
09-07 08:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05f0b6…
09-06 11:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11e869…
09-05 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21793a…
09-04 01:03:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe2854…
09-02 07:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d7275…
08-30 14:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20e17e…
08-29 09:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf75811…
08-28 09:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa84ce6…
08-27 09:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c3d51…
08-26 08:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f6a24…
08-25 09:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x327465…
08-24 15:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08a2ab…
08-24 01:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3274ce…
08-22 09:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x282447…
08-21 08:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8748b0…
08-20 09:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09dc2e…
08-18 08:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5c9ec…
08-17 08:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b2013…
08-16 14:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc648b2…
08-15 16:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d7da6…
08-14 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x597f02…
08-13 09:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f01a…
08-12 09:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f23e6…
08-11 07:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9af99…
08-10 08:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56eea0…
08-09 07:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22e74b…
08-08 07:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa47fe6…
08-07 08:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20dfe4…
08-06 08:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b93b2…
08-05 08:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x328753…
08-04 08:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8a5f2…
08-03 07:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99a663…
08-02 06:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37c8f9…
08-01 07:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3862a3…
07-31 14:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x276ff1…
07-30 07:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cbc39…
07-29 07:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x803fc3…
07-28 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62669f…
07-27 09:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b9f6c…
07-26 08:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd65345…
07-25 09:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ccbf…
07-24 13:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90203e…
07-23 08:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cc830…
07-22 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x900387…
07-21 09:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7388e…
07-21 00:26:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3727bf…
07-20 08:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cb09f…
07-18 23:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69653c…
07-18 07:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa9696…
07-17 07:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633ef5…