Colorful-Thief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-10 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% +$1

Politics

20% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No		-5	$-3	53¢	$-3	+$1	06-07 07:44
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-22	$-2	11¢	$-2	$-1	06-11 13:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 07:26
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 07:24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:26
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 14:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 14:54
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreeva	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 15:47
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 14:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-10 06:34
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 16:00
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 07:41
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	3	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 10:42
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 07:43
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 13:58
will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	06-11 13:58
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-27 15:31
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 07:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 12:04
Will SoftBank HAWKS gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-08 02:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 12:16
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-11 12:16
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	3	$3	30	30	+0	open	—	05-06 17:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	06-07 07:44
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 14:47
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-02 06:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 06:16
will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-10 12:18
will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 06:17
wta bronzet grabher 2026 06 11	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-11 14:05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-27 18:16
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:05:55	wta bronzet grabher 2026 06 11	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ae51e…
06-11 13:58:45	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xe18f91…
06-11 13:58:34	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xdcad8e…
06-11 13:58:21	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x8966a7…
06-10 12:18:03	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1fe167…
06-10 12:17:37	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b77cf…
06-09 18:17:18	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2182d1…
06-09 03:40:06	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x021723…
06-08 12:17:15	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd55f43…
06-08 06:17:12	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x03a1f0…
06-07 07:44:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe7574c…
06-07 07:43:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7a828e…
06-06 18:16:36	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb9af04…
06-06 18:16:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaa12ea…
06-05 06:17:06	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfeafd8…
06-05 06:16:36	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe737f8…
06-04 07:38:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x11e8d5…
06-04 06:16:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xc13d84…
06-03 18:16:27	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbcf90a…
06-03 06:16:32	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage	Global Esports	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x78e028…
06-02 06:16:13	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Lulu Sun	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f4590…
06-02 00:19:25	Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xdf1a08…
06-01 18:24:23	Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc24f0…
06-01 15:57:31	Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a1cca…
05-31 18:16:27	UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	Gabriel Bonfim	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x32f923…
05-30 06:16:15	Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x97b384…
05-28 13:37:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x67e0b2…
05-27 18:16:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdd1a36…
05-27 15:31:29	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)	Rublev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x736235…
05-27 00:16:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1feb2d…
05-22 18:16:25	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee35f9…
05-22 06:16:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf4dd23…
05-21 12:16:46	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0cab91…
05-21 06:16:41	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b32e9…
05-21 00:16:19	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdf9271…
05-20 07:36:07	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xdc7b72…
05-19 18:16:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4b47bb…
05-19 18:16:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8ff91d…
05-19 13:26:35	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x62f657…
05-18 14:47:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5492c8…
05-18 14:13:41	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x94e2a3…
05-18 12:16:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0e5f04…
05-16 18:15:44	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xee7e5d…
05-15 05:44:49	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x316d00…
05-14 05:44:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xea0727…
05-11 12:16:31	Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x37823c…
05-11 06:14:42	Will Rodez AF achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xebb3f9…
05-10 18:11:36	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5fa51b…
05-10 06:34:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x159363…
05-10 00:06:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xca44cd…
05-09 12:04:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xdb4a84…
05-09 01:03:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa5fdea…
05-09 01:03:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x87823b…
05-08 02:39:18	Will SoftBank HAWKS gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8715a2…
05-07 16:42:15	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x45e451…
05-07 14:36:59	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6e482c…
05-07 02:33:23	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x40fa14…
05-06 17:17:48	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x098b7f…
05-05 18:01:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79a6d3…
05-05 12:15:00	Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x94e6d7…
05-05 10:42:40	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xef1e2e…
05-05 10:34:20	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6aebf1…
05-05 10:34:16	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcd1d0d…
05-05 10:33:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6d1d9e…
05-05 07:26:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xbce4df…
05-04 22:18:26	Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x02d415…
05-04 15:21:30	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x9df31f…
05-04 15:21:26	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xb35c9c…
05-04 14:55:40	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e9070…
05-04 14:54:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x987f8f…
05-04 14:52:50	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xf32d01…
05-04 14:52:02	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf2a85d…
05-04 14:50:44	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xaa0204…
05-04 10:27:18	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5ac795…
05-04 07:42:46	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7acc7d…
05-04 07:41:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7afb77…
05-04 07:41:22	Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x789d68…
05-04 07:40:24	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x0f906f…
05-04 07:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x001f31…
05-03 07:57:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1cdbdc…
05-03 07:56:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x519281…
05-02 07:52:24	Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x868ef9…
05-02 07:24:44	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x83ffc0…
04-30 16:00:56	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x23dc2f…
04-30 15:54:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe5e06a…
04-30 15:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfd7a73…
04-30 15:47:34	Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreeva	Andreeva	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe55812…
04-30 14:22:12	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x250df9…
04-30 14:21:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x279bc8…
04-30 14:21:26	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb7068d…
04-30 14:13:50	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb0911e…
04-30 14:12:26	Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreeva	Andreeva	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x097a64…