Weak-Enclave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-24 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-145

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

8% 40% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$5.0K	2,578	2,578	+0	open	—	03-05 02:50
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$3.9K	2,105	2,105	+0	open	—	02-12 16:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$2.9K	2,306	2,306	+0	open	—	03-15 05:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	11	$2.8K	1,869	1,869	+0	open	—	05-24 18:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$2.7K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	05-15 06:31
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$2.2K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	03-21 07:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.3K	1,728	1,728	+0	open	—	03-11 08:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$666	364	364	+0	Up	$-12	05-06 13:09
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	8	$665	406	406	+0	open	—	02-12 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$527	865	842	+23	open	—	04-06 13:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$470	511	511	+0	open	—	05-08 06:04
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$467	667	667	+0	open	—	03-21 03:17
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	5	$280	196	196	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-21	05-10 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$230	281	281	+0	open	—	05-23 11:54
btc updown 5m 1773552000	2	$201	403	0	+403	open	—	03-15 05:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$159	103	103	+0	open	—	05-10 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$135	134	134	+0	open	—	05-23 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$129	81	81	+0	Down	+$29	05-05 16:29
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	2	$105	205	205	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	$-55	05-07 18:16
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$99	95	95	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	3	$73	157	0	+157	open	—	05-01 18:45
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$73	255	255	+0	Chennai Super Kings	$-57	05-05 16:58
bitcoin up or down february 7 1am et	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	02-07 06:55
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	2	$67	311	311	+0	open	—	03-05 17:06
btc updown 15m 1770826500	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	02-11 16:32
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$63	123	123	+0	open	—	02-11 15:43
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$53	347	347	+0	No	$-7	05-05 11:52
btc updown 15m 1770449400	1	$49	75	0	+75	open	—	02-07 07:39
btc updown 15m 1770827400	2	$36	66	0	+66	open	—	02-11 16:35
crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	1	$29	419	0	+419	open	—	03-11 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 18:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xb4db64…
05-24 18:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xea434c…
05-24 18:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe25cff…
05-24 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xa72042…
05-24 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x510bcc…
05-24 18:28:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	627	96¢	$605	0x5c6245…
05-23 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xaa06a0…
05-23 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5cf88e…
05-23 12:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	116	57¢	$66	0x3926d1…
05-23 12:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xdf3d8d…
05-23 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	240	39¢	$94	0x98b4a4…
05-23 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0xce7cb7…
05-23 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0x9f9872…
05-23 11:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x8bc7ff…
05-23 11:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x989f39…
05-22 18:48:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	48	57¢	$28	0x4a5cf6…
05-16 09:10:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	627	79¢	$495	0x900656…
05-15 06:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	400	80¢	$320	0x897353…
05-15 06:31:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	446	69¢	$307	0xd2d5cc…
05-15 06:08:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	446	96¢	$426	0x969292…
05-15 06:02:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,023	95¢	$974	0x4ee25c…
05-15 05:03:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x1da28c…
05-13 11:02:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x57b10c…
05-13 02:21:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xb351c1…
05-12 18:50:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xafc184…
05-10 16:33:34	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	102	56¢	$57	0xb99de0…
05-10 16:25:49	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	102	70¢	$71	0x62ef25…
05-10 16:18:54	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	94	77¢	$73	0xd9d51c…
05-10 16:12:06	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	37	79¢	$29	0x63ad67…
05-10 16:06:36	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x4defce…
05-10 14:18:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	103	77¢	$79	0x21d3b0…
05-10 01:34:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	103	77¢	$79	0xcbef5d…
05-08 06:04:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	511	45¢	$231	0xbe7149…
05-08 05:56:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	47¢	$239	0xdd9c5d…
05-07 18:16:54	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	205	12¢	$25	0xa62c7c…
05-07 17:04:38	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x3a44b6…
05-06 13:40:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	726	74¢	$540	0xe2e94c…
05-06 13:09:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	364	90¢	$327	0xf68896…
05-06 10:58:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0x205be7…
05-06 10:57:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x261cf1…
05-05 17:01:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	564	62¢	$350	0x6ea526…
05-05 17:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf2c31e…
05-05 16:58:38	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	SELL	255	3¢	$8	0x185945…
05-05 16:41:40	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xf2d25a…
05-05 16:40:22	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x847cf5…
05-05 16:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3757a8…
05-05 16:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9091d6…
05-05 16:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x1886f6…
05-05 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf301b2…
05-05 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x87a203…
05-05 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x67d3e6…
05-05 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x9a3f86…
05-05 11:52:32	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	347	7¢	$23	0x043fe9…
05-05 11:44:24	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	347	9¢	$30	0xf1062d…
05-01 23:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc8ce05…
05-01 18:45:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	129	47¢	$60	0xbca63e…
05-01 18:44:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	117	56¢	$65	0xf23cc6…
05-01 16:14:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9327e2…
05-01 16:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0x77520c…
05-01 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x9a6b0b…
05-01 16:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe06328…
05-01 16:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x604d1c…
05-01 16:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xf08c53…
05-01 16:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xca0353…
05-01 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaa5d67…
05-01 16:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8a591f…
05-01 16:07:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x55280c…
05-01 16:06:42	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x451dcc…
04-29 17:10:14	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	95	53¢	$50	0x3fe803…
04-29 16:36:18	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0xc97d91…
04-06 13:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	842	27¢	$228	0x0c2ecf…
04-06 08:21:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	865	35¢	$299	0x47c23d…
03-21 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1774077600	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4fc788…
03-21 07:19:25	btc updown 5m 1774077300	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x6a02c3…
03-21 07:16:17	btc updown 5m 1774077300	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xf57188…
03-21 07:14:21	btc updown 5m 1774077000	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x03439d…
03-21 07:11:09	btc updown 5m 1774077000	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4b7b86…
03-21 07:10:37	btc updown 5m 1774076700	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe5dd4f…
03-21 07:09:27	btc updown 5m 1774076700	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf60586…
03-21 07:08:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	303	85¢	$258	0x246e02…
03-21 03:18:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	303	88¢	$267	0x86ada5…
03-21 03:17:53	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	667	40¢	$267	0x31ff9d…
03-19 07:43:45	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0xfb2e10…
03-19 07:43:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	757	73¢	$553	0xd72886…
03-16 10:33:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	757	66¢	$500	0x21caf2…
03-15 05:24:33	btc updown 5m 1773552000	Down	BUY	269	38¢	$101	0xe0269d…
03-15 05:23:03	btc updown 5m 1773552000	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x82f30a…
03-15 05:21:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	517	39¢	$201	0x9e0506…
03-15 02:15:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	517	39¢	$200	0x803704…
03-14 04:46:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	600	34¢	$203	0x04935c…
03-11 10:39:05	crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	Pakistan	BUY	419	7¢	$29	0x6812f2…
03-11 10:38:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	52	55¢	$29	0x5d027e…
03-11 10:18:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	652	57¢	$370	0x9cdba2…
03-11 08:15:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	1,204	34¢	$405	0xcf6ae6…
03-11 02:10:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	1,204	42¢	$500	0x4738aa…
03-10 03:19:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	525	35¢	$186	0x3ed506…
03-10 02:04:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	525	38¢	$200	0x6019ed…
03-10 00:26:51	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	449	72¢	$324	0x16eb06…
03-09 18:53:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	449	56¢	$250	0xdfcaf0…
03-08 14:45:25	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	224	9¢	$20	0xb52a01…