Ill-Informed-Housework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-17 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 58% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	4	$73	64	34	+30	open	—	05-14 21:00
btc updown 5m 1772007900	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 08:30
btc updown 5m 1772045400	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 18:55
btc updown 5m 1772040600	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-25 17:35
btc updown 5m 1772046900	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	02-25 19:18
btc updown 5m 1772046300	3	$16	15	6	+9	open	—	02-25 19:10
btc updown 5m 1772224200	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-27 20:35
btc updown 5m 1772223600	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-27 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$10	25	25	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 14:08
btc updown 5m 1772224500	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	02-27 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$8	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:58
btc updown 5m 1772031900	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$5	57	7	+50	Down	$-1	05-11 21:08
btc updown 5m 1772224800	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	02-27 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$5	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$3	7	7	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 13:08
btc updown 5m 1772025300	4	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-25 13:19
btc updown 5m 1771957500	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	02-24 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 22:32
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-25 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$3	20	3	+17	open	—	05-17 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:42
btc updown 5m 1772001900	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-25 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$3	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 16:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x83dd98…
05-17 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa4b595…
05-17 12:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xf1b0be…
05-17 12:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab6f80…
05-17 12:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe3874a…
05-17 12:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xdf4543…
05-17 12:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c1fb9…
05-17 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x7ce5e9…
05-17 08:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x03d8ae…
05-16 22:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5e2220…
05-16 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb02484…
05-16 22:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf4b955…
05-16 21:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x8bfd4f…
05-16 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xea14ba…
05-16 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8069a…
05-15 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7129bf…
05-15 17:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x1bd3aa…
05-15 17:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ef416…
05-14 21:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x864f4d…
05-14 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2b08e5…
05-14 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4d9880…
05-14 20:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0307ac…
05-14 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x86f5f1…
05-14 19:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6bad0c…
05-14 19:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x040792…
05-14 19:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbac1ae…
05-14 17:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeded13…
05-14 17:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0feff8…
05-13 19:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x87a387…
05-13 19:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0a6ad2…
05-13 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf79a60…
05-13 19:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x59aa6b…
05-13 19:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x840aba…
05-13 19:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x23e280…
05-13 19:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7663d6…
05-13 19:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x366d98…
05-13 13:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x184138…
05-13 13:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a76b9…
05-13 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x5e0373…
05-13 13:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5cc01c…
05-13 13:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x3f522b…
05-13 13:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x99a3f2…
05-13 13:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x3de793…
05-13 13:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd88ae0…
05-13 12:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x4b3166…
05-13 12:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x86da5b…
05-13 12:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xedeca5…
05-13 12:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd18a64…
05-13 12:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2f0781…
05-12 18:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdc5523…
05-12 18:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42a1cc…
05-12 17:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc09513…
05-12 17:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xad6019…
05-12 17:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcfffb4…
05-12 17:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x547a6d…
05-12 17:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xee5337…
05-12 17:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4e293a…
05-12 17:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x65e522…
05-12 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba7e31…
05-12 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x865d13…
05-12 17:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68fa43…
05-12 17:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5fac62…
05-12 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xabec27…
05-12 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x6b2506…
05-12 17:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbdb24b…
05-12 17:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59994d…
05-12 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xe97b68…
05-12 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1f51ea…
05-12 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x18f854…
05-12 16:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x7a570a…
05-12 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x57c63c…
05-12 16:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x35409b…
05-12 16:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf7820c…
05-12 16:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbed760…
05-12 16:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x8fd210…
05-12 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x828c13…
05-12 16:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xf28170…
05-12 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x03d0ab…
05-12 16:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xcb91d0…
05-12 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x603030…
05-12 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xba5074…
05-12 14:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35e389…
05-12 14:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x0d7e65…
05-12 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x39ea64…
05-12 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xc27799…
05-12 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5442ac…
05-12 14:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x91b41b…
05-12 14:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbd22fe…
05-12 13:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x94a606…
05-12 13:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4a631f…
05-12 13:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4cc3be…
05-12 13:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc8d266…
05-12 13:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x0a1ebb…
05-12 13:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3d5cf9…
05-12 13:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x73236c…
05-12 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc6a0d2…
05-12 13:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x862958…
05-12 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa8370b…
05-12 13:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x7f3f80…
05-12 13:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x57a1af…