Yellowish-Email — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved (30d)

161

Trades (30d)

245

3,254 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$7.42K

$24.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-30 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 62% -$150

Politics

25% 83% -$1,391

Other

1% 33% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$2.2K	141,702	0	+141,702	No	-$2,201	03-11 08:12
will iran strike israel on march 8	3	$1.3K	790	790	+0	Yes	+$185	03-08 09:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$1.2K	795	795	+0	Yes	+$45	03-08 13:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$664	1,030	0	+1,030	Yes	+$366	03-08 09:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	1	$500	658	0	+658	Yes	+$158	03-08 13:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 13 953	1	$225	280	0	+280	Yes	+$55	03-08 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	2	$207	112	112	+0	Up	+$7	06-05 21:37
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	2	$197	103	101	+2	Up	$0	06-05 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:30 UTC	2	$160	81	81	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 10:33
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	2	$146	176	176	+0	Yes	-$54	09-01 21:30
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$136	72	72	+0	Yes	+$6	09-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	8	$112	128	0	+128	Up	+$16	09-04 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-28 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:25 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-28 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-28 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:55 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:40 UTC	3	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 07:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	6	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-29 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	-$99	10-30 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-29 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-30 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-29 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-30 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-29 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-29 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-30 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-30 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-30 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x941ac6…
10-30 03:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35602d…
10-30 03:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8a463b…
10-30 02:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeb7fdd…
10-30 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c532e…
10-30 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7c6c1b…
10-30 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x62380f…
10-30 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x5f69e3…
10-30 02:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7701eb…
10-30 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xa0373b…
10-30 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9f3633…
10-30 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4f5a9e…
10-30 01:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x599861…
10-30 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xdd4668…
10-30 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6ac50e…
10-30 01:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc0c7a0…
10-30 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe4922e…
10-30 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62a079…
10-30 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xc452e2…
10-30 00:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf14f7c…
10-30 00:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fd69f…
10-29 23:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x22fd3e…
10-29 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xa39bf0…
10-29 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x4963ec…
10-29 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7e6917…
10-29 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3f121e…
10-29 23:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf60356…
10-29 23:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe332dd…
10-29 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xa57a2b…
10-29 23:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2be521…
10-29 23:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x9408a6…
10-29 23:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	98	99¢	$98	0xf4ce4a…
10-29 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x19b7c4…
10-29 22:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x4512a4…
10-29 22:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab62e9…
10-29 22:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x8b0bbf…
10-29 22:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x006db8…
10-29 22:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x28d2d2…
10-29 22:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1d3cb…
10-29 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x1cdb43…
10-29 21:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5d8f66…
10-29 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xe8a530…
10-29 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xc2d2c2…
10-29 20:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe61712…
10-29 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x9429ab…
10-29 20:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xd87172…
10-29 20:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x8ba369…
10-29 20:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x638116…
10-29 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf810ce…
10-29 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x73adfe…
10-29 20:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xee9d71…
10-29 20:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f2740…
10-29 19:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3b9ac6…
10-29 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89d6a7…
10-29 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x50ec2e…
10-29 04:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xed942e…
10-29 04:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6a048c…
10-29 04:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xdaf682…
10-29 04:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2e908e…
10-29 03:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x686c89…
10-29 02:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x2327b4…
10-29 01:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x3aa776…
10-29 01:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xfb3e56…
10-29 01:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x29e6e5…
10-29 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x74ffeb…
10-29 00:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x24c2b7…
10-29 00:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xb34a5f…
10-28 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x45f29e…
10-28 23:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xae351b…
10-28 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x612882…
10-28 21:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x819c69…
10-28 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x949cc6…
10-28 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb06e25…
10-28 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x24cd2a…
10-28 16:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x24b120…
10-28 16:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x3c0bad…
10-28 11:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x7df45b…
10-28 11:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x3c5952…
10-28 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xbfadfb…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb43fc9…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4118d2…
10-28 10:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3b6f9f…
10-28 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa71b6b…
10-28 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40acb3…
10-28 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3c4f69…
10-28 10:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc6c89…
10-28 10:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xec9651…
10-28 10:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xbadbfb…
10-28 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x77bd7d…
10-28 09:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xaebe55…
10-28 09:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xa23694…
10-28 08:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x7180e8…
10-28 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xbc22a8…
10-28 08:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbe3d9d…
10-28 08:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x6b4b22…
10-28 08:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xcd63dd…
10-28 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xef7bd6…
10-28 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xcb917d…
10-28 07:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x9f1d33…
10-28 07:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd26fae…