Gleeful-Headlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$189

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

763

Trades

23,552

lifetime

Volume

$1.69M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$2.03K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-29 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

91% 59% -$19,957

Sports

6% 50% -$7,093

Politics

2% 36% -$9,606

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No		+2,060	$2,217	98¢	$2.0K	-$189	10-28 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	68	$52.6K	27,780	27,780	+0	No	+$2,317	06-28 03:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	95	$46.3K	30,132	24,715	+5,417	Yes	+$5,072	07-28 22:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	74	$38.0K	20,884	20,884	+0	No	+$2,642	06-16 10:21
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	21	$31.1K	21,630	21,630	+0	No	-$6,904	07-31 09:49
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	64	$30.7K	16,968	16,968	+0	No	+$1,344	06-18 07:36
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	83	$28.7K	16,105	16,105	+0	No	+$1,781	08-24 17:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	35	$26.0K	20,514	6,896	+13,617	Yes	+$801	10-28 16:55
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	55	$25.6K	17,139	17,139	+0	Yes	-$3,674	07-14 00:25
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	100	$25.6K	13,883	13,883	+0	No	+$1,381	06-22 07:56
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	105	$22.5K	13,796	13,796	+0	No	-$120	08-25 09:42
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	13	$18.5K	10,331	10,331	+0	No	+$1,012	06-12 15:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$18.0K	9,279	9,266	+12	No	+$71	04-25 16:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	107	$17.7K	11,921	11,978	-58	Yes	+$6,152	02-04 16:59
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	28	$17.7K	9,543	9,543	+0	Yes	+$1,400	10-23 12:04
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	51	$17.5K	14,495	14,495	+0	No	-$155	08-30 12:24
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	138	$17.3K	31,421	22,914	+8,507	Yes	+$4,939	02-06 15:41
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	9	$16.5K	9,240	7,631	+1,608	Yes	+$388	08-02 21:55
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	46	$16.4K	10,902	10,902	+0	Yes	-$1,866	07-08 05:12
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	71	$15.9K	16,930	12,127	+4,802	Yes	+$10,063	02-07 18:27
will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	78	$15.9K	15,169	2,269	+12,900	No	+$1,492	06-30 08:13
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	43	$15.9K	15,628	990	+14,638	No	+$717	06-30 04:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	33	$15.8K	8,941	8,941	+0	No	+$506	06-13 00:08
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	258	$14.8K	35,441	35,755	-314	No	-$4,229	02-05 16:58
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	30	$14.1K	7,820	7,820	+0	Yes	+$487	07-10 15:52
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	60	$14.1K	7,898	7,898	+0	No	+$1,334	06-18 07:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	57	$13.4K	7,361	7,361	+0	No	+$394	06-14 07:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	50	$13.4K	7,824	7,961	-138	No	+$358	05-25 15:14
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	79	$12.7K	28,265	28,265	-0	No	+$3,443	02-05 17:28
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	374	$12.6K	21,086	21,717	-631	No	-$2,273	02-07 07:15
will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	11	$11.7K	6,273	6,273	-0	No	+$459	07-31 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:53:02	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x70d74e…
10-29 14:52:17	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0xce95f1…
10-29 14:19:31	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0x12f6c6…
10-29 14:17:47	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	270	10¢	$27	0xda030b…
10-29 13:31:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x82d2fe…
10-29 13:29:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x4d1619…
10-29 13:28:58	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	320	11¢	$35	0x13aba7…
10-29 08:34:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in October?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x46e467…
10-29 07:50:07	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcaf315…
10-29 06:09:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	No	BUY	89	89¢	$80	0x1b4518…
10-29 05:45:07	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x537402…
10-29 05:45:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfff999…
10-29 05:45:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc945e0…
10-29 05:45:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x48fba4…
10-29 05:37:10	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x61bc22…
10-29 05:01:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in October?	No	BUY	350	93¢	$325	0x754213…
10-29 04:59:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in October?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$76	0xda8d9a…
10-29 04:58:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xba147b…
10-29 04:58:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xf69375…
10-29 04:58:35	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$68	0x515ff7…
10-29 04:58:29	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	329	97¢	$319	0x6c5e14…
10-29 04:57:56	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0699e6…
10-29 04:57:50	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9c3e29…
10-29 04:57:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2c0d47…
10-29 04:57:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd80c00…
10-29 04:57:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x672a1c…
10-29 04:57:26	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x22de29…
10-29 04:57:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1e9d5f…
10-29 04:57:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in October?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x7a3642…
10-29 04:56:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 in October?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x39b82c…
10-29 04:56:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $192 in October?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xa25c90…
10-29 04:56:11	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $196 in October?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x9e4c6f…
10-29 04:54:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x90eeaa…
10-29 04:51:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf5f107…
10-29 04:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x94eded…
10-29 04:46:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xf262aa…
10-29 04:46:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x81a8a8…
10-29 04:10:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 in October?	No	BUY	570	98¢	$559	0x2c8577…
10-29 04:02:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x29bee8…
10-29 03:22:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfd7032…
10-29 02:11:40	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?	No	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x1d12d4…
10-29 02:11:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in October?	No	BUY	285	98¢	$279	0x4a7dc1…
10-29 02:09:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x90c7ad…
10-29 02:05:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x630618…
10-29 02:05:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xcef573…
10-29 02:05:31	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbf20a9…
10-29 02:05:25	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x37c07d…
10-29 02:05:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7dc417…
10-29 02:04:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd9b70d…
10-29 02:00:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $178 in October?	No	BUY	388	97¢	$376	0xc61d59…
10-29 01:58:22	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd5505f…
10-29 01:58:16	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x22b1cd…
10-29 01:58:05	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 in October?	No	BUY	264	98¢	$258	0xc80bcc…
10-29 01:57:55	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in October?	No	BUY	384	98¢	$374	0x718994…
10-29 01:54:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x159065…
10-29 01:54:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x75bfdf…
10-29 01:50:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x1a194d…
10-29 01:49:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	668	93¢	$623	0x8d5b89…
10-29 01:46:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x9da41e…
10-29 01:45:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xa15289…
10-29 01:45:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x1978e6…
10-29 01:44:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2d43c6…
10-29 01:03:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0ff7ec…
10-29 01:02:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xcf1c77…
10-29 01:01:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x026d8d…
10-29 00:06:07	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x94854e…
10-28 23:52:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x600c78…
10-28 21:39:32	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,640	93¢	$1,527	0x4dc7b3…
10-28 21:38:17	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	92¢	$170	0xdd9cbb…
10-28 21:36:56	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,793	93¢	$1,671	0xf01b9e…
10-28 21:34:59	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0xefd05c…
10-28 21:22:17	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	616	90¢	$556	0xf33c05…
10-28 21:04:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x0fd2c7…
10-28 21:03:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x1537fc…
10-28 21:02:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xfc4810…
10-28 21:02:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xca73df…
10-28 21:02:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x03e8cb…
10-28 21:02:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x08f5da…
10-28 21:02:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2b37ec…
10-28 21:02:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x32c691…
10-28 21:02:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x628765…
10-28 21:02:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	737	97¢	$715	0xd7ed28…
10-28 20:57:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	2,060	97¢	$1,998	0x7773af…
10-28 20:55:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x03b09d…
10-28 20:55:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xf433b7…
10-28 20:55:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	284	97¢	$275	0x05d5d0…
10-28 20:54:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x19d292…
10-28 20:53:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x095997…
10-28 20:53:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x789068…
10-28 20:53:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x877a15…
10-28 20:53:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xc590da…
10-28 20:53:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x38c3da…
10-28 20:52:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xf59e99…
10-28 20:52:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1c60c9…
10-28 20:52:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe7dfcd…
10-28 20:52:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xeeb54c…
10-28 20:51:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	BUY	546	97¢	$529	0xea1170…
10-28 20:00:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x86a7fa…
10-28 19:38:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x3e6c6d…
10-28 18:36:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$978	0x06ac71…