Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-04

last 08-01 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

51% 29% -$85

Politics

40% 36% -$91

Sports

8% 71% +$52

Crypto

1% 100% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$508	347	347	+0	Yes	-$32	07-27 08:17
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	27	$488	1,779	1,779	+0	No	-$52	07-27 08:17
israel closes its airspace by july 24	21	$307	810	656	+154	No	-$33	07-23 20:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	20	$283	609	609	+0	Yes	+$3	07-26 21:08
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	18	$263	449	449	+0	No	+$3	07-26 11:46
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	6	$218	214	214	+0	No	+$48	07-05 22:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	7	$187	606	606	+0	No	-$13	07-27 08:18
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	3	$158	98	98	+0	Yes	+$38	07-12 21:19
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	10	$150	98	98	+0	No	-$10	07-26 03:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	7	$110	765	765	+0	No	-$20	07-06 15:10
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	8	$106	116	98	+18	Yes	-$14	07-20 15:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	7	$93	130	130	+0	Yes	-$7	07-27 08:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	5	$79	310	310	+0	No	+$9	07-06 14:42
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	5	$71	61	61	+0	No	+$11	07-27 08:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$2	07-27 08:18
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	2	$53	62	62	+0	No	+$13	07-20 18:38
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	4	$43	342	342	+0	No	-$17	07-27 08:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	07-27 08:18
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	2	$40	174	0	+174	No	-$7	07-09 12:27
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	07-06 19:18
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	-$1	07-25 14:56
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	2	$36	200	200	+0	No	+$16	07-06 01:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	3	$35	110	110	+0	No	-$5	07-27 08:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$33	56	56	+0	No	+$13	07-19 20:29
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-08-01?	2	$30	120	120	+0	No	-$2	08-01 14:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$22	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	07-27 08:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	07-27 08:18
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	3	$21	112	112	+0	No	-$19	07-27 08:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	07-06 00:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-25 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:50:32	Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0xf44b66…
08-01 14:43:03	Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	120	13¢	$16	0x5c07f4…
07-27 08:18:33	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6f9188…
07-27 08:18:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x00e104…
07-27 08:18:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xa9eb78…
07-27 08:18:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xbf0976…
07-27 08:18:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xb60c6c…
07-27 08:18:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x166860…
07-27 08:18:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	33	94¢	$32	0x98517a…
07-27 08:18:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0x673df6…
07-27 08:17:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x48822f…
07-27 08:17:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xf934f8…
07-27 08:17:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	67	11¢	$7	0x8eed8a…
07-27 08:17:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x5b0b5d…
07-27 08:17:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	14¢	$15	0xbb375b…
07-27 08:17:36	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0x35c09c…
07-27 08:17:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	130	33¢	$43	0x504235…
07-27 08:17:27	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	159	3¢	$5	0xf87e70…
07-27 08:17:22	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	342	4¢	$13	0x629a06…
07-27 08:17:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,451	7¢	$102	0xeb57db…
07-27 00:59:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd332ce…
07-27 00:59:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf6adbe…
07-27 00:59:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5b1fcf…
07-27 00:58:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3e9860…
07-27 00:58:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3e3849…
07-27 00:58:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa6fbef…
07-27 00:58:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x43cc28…
07-27 00:58:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc6849a…
07-27 00:57:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa36e7b…
07-27 00:57:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb95392…
07-27 00:57:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xe495c4…
07-27 00:52:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xee35f9…
07-27 00:51:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x648061…
07-27 00:50:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3907b0…
07-27 00:50:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb04872…
07-27 00:50:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x116760…
07-26 21:08:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	89	58¢	$52	0xb97e77…
07-26 18:01:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa4d6a7…
07-26 15:27:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0xcd5493…
07-26 15:25:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x2ae477…
07-26 11:46:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	96	56¢	$54	0x5f6b52…
07-26 10:10:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa61c3c…
07-26 03:58:28	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	33	93¢	$30	0x72015a…
07-26 02:23:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbf1bf6…
07-26 02:12:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb80127…
07-26 02:07:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa3e5ef…
07-26 00:57:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xade99c…
07-25 23:21:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0533ad…
07-25 23:21:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2600cf…
07-25 23:20:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa869ee…
07-25 23:20:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x77c19e…
07-25 22:34:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa941f4…
07-25 22:27:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x75ba6e…
07-25 22:26:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x384069…
07-25 22:25:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2dc349…
07-25 22:25:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6ea35b…
07-25 21:47:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8082d4…
07-25 21:44:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xba1410…
07-25 21:43:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x183bd6…
07-25 21:26:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	71	30¢	$21	0x86a6f1…
07-25 18:38:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x2a2c33…
07-25 18:04:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc8cfb1…
07-25 17:52:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	170	12¢	$20	0x549cbf…
07-25 17:52:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2904c6…
07-25 17:52:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x993cf9…
07-25 17:51:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$9	0xd4d8c0…
07-25 17:51:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8ac27a…
07-25 17:51:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5900fd…
07-25 17:51:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x58407b…
07-25 17:51:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xeabc6b…
07-25 17:50:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd8e245…
07-25 15:21:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$41	0x4b241c…
07-25 15:13:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x617e50…
07-25 14:56:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	17	56¢	$9	0x0c6270…
07-25 14:56:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xd34676…
07-25 14:56:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xbf0106…
07-25 14:47:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9bc789…
07-25 14:44:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2d83e1…
07-25 10:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x0baf31…
07-24 16:48:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x6077d9…
07-24 16:39:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x052c18…
07-24 02:43:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe2ff8a…
07-24 02:21:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0xa12243…
07-24 02:15:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0xc41dad…
07-24 02:15:52	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa6ee98…
07-24 02:14:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	547	1¢	$5	0x43320b…
07-24 02:13:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7a73d4…
07-24 02:13:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x37de8d…
07-24 02:13:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5481b1…
07-24 02:13:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x5e5f85…
07-24 02:12:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x08cc82…
07-24 02:11:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x1272ec…
07-24 02:11:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x252b2a…
07-23 20:40:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	65	61¢	$39	0x24013c…
07-23 20:40:12	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7ce5e4…
07-23 20:14:15	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xe3eac2…
07-23 20:14:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x601692…
07-23 15:35:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3fa123…
07-23 02:26:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	307	75¢	$231	0x700672…
07-23 02:25:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x48cbaf…