Wary-Premise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

229

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-29 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Sports

96% 37% +$2

Other

4% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	3	$42	40	16	+24	76ers	-$21	10-23 00:51
Wizards vs. Bulls	4	$38	80	0	+80	Wizards	+$42	10-25 02:00
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	6	$36	50	27	+23	Bulls	+$12	10-23 22:05
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	5	$35	64	20	+44	Grizzlies	+$0	10-24 04:48
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	2	$34	20	20	+0	Pelicans	$0	10-25 03:39
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	5	$31	33	33	+0	open	—	10-08 06:21
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	2	$27	20	20	+0	Bulls	-$1	10-29 02:21
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	2	$21	40	0	+40	Rockets	+$19	10-24 02:41
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	2	$20	20	20	+0	Pistons	$0	10-24 00:28
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	2	$20	40	0	+40	Under	+$20	10-23 23:13
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5	2	$20	40	0	+40	Under	-$20	10-23 23:13
Spread: 76ers (-16.5)	2	$19	20	20	+0	Bucks	-$1	10-25 01:36
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5	2	$19	20	20	+0	Under	-$1	10-23 23:18
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5	2	$19	20	18	+2	Under	+$1	10-24 01:16
Rockets vs. Spurs	2	$18	40	0	+40	Rockets	-$18	10-24 02:41
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)	2	$18	26	0	+26	Grizzlies	+$2	10-24 04:47
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5	2	$17	20	20	+0	Over	$0	10-23 17:37
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5	2	$16	18	18	+0	Under	$0	10-24 03:50
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5	2	$16	20	20	+0	Under	-$1	10-24 01:23
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	2	$16	20	15	+5	Under	+$3	10-24 02:00
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5	2	$15	18	18	+0	Under	-$1	10-24 03:53
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	5	$14	33	9	+24	Grizzlies	-$8	10-24 04:48
Bulls vs. Bucks	3	$12	23	0	+23	Bulls	-$12	10-23 22:05
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?	2	$10	40	0	+40	Yes	+$30	10-07 01:22
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5	1	$9	11	0	+11	Under	+$2	10-24 04:49
Spread: Wizards (-11.5)	1	$9	20	0	+20	Bulls	+$11	10-25 02:00
Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	10-08 06:24
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	3	$7	5	5	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$3	05-03 21:01
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	2	$7	5	5	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$3	05-03 20:45
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$7	5	5	+0	Rockets	+$2	04-27 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:21:44	Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8bfeec…
10-29 14:21:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8e0041…
10-29 02:21:08	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	Bulls	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1e3638…
10-29 02:21:07	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	Bulls	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe07adb…
10-28 01:30:29	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5	Under	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe36785…
10-28 01:30:27	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x859d44…
10-25 03:39:14	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Pelicans	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x62d701…
10-25 03:39:11	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Pelicans	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x896d77…
10-25 02:00:15	Spread: Wizards (-3.5)	Bulls	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xeece01…
10-25 02:00:15	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xddbd65…
10-25 02:00:06	Spread: Wizards (-9.5)	Bulls	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe4fd81…
10-25 02:00:06	Spread: Wizards (-9.5)	Bulls	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xa5f916…
10-25 02:00:06	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa3d19c…
10-25 02:00:05	Spread: Wizards (-11.5)	Bulls	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd6a75a…
10-25 02:00:05	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x06f4fb…
10-25 02:00:03	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa6f580…
10-25 02:00:03	Spread: Wizards (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x3dbdd0…
10-25 02:00:03	Spread: Wizards (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x3859c9…
10-25 01:36:39	Spread: 76ers (-16.5)	Bucks	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x7c8e7e…
10-25 01:36:36	Spread: 76ers (-16.5)	Bucks	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0dc8ba…
10-24 04:49:00	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xa3b8b3…
10-24 04:49:00	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x0a9e02…
10-24 04:48:02	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Warriors	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x94d86a…
10-24 04:48:02	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x3e980b…
10-24 04:48:02	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x0b0be4…
10-24 04:47:42	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xa5b94d…
10-24 04:47:39	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd5e84f…
10-24 04:47:39	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa93063…
10-24 04:47:39	Spread: Warriors (-1.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x347be0…
10-24 04:22:11	Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x237517…
10-24 04:22:09	Spread: Warriors (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x71e742…
10-24 04:08:27	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5	Under	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x53011d…
10-24 04:08:24	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x25c10b…
10-24 04:03:36	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Warriors	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x1258e6…
10-24 04:01:35	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf1e4b5…
10-24 03:59:18	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x74294a…
10-24 03:59:18	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38279c…
10-24 03:53:08	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5	Under	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x694dc8…
10-24 03:53:02	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xacbb26…
10-24 03:50:36	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x86b4e3…
10-24 03:50:33	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x2a070a…
10-24 03:50:12	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 249.5	Under	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2bf04d…
10-24 03:50:09	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 249.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x234214…
10-24 02:41:57	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x59024b…
10-24 02:41:57	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Rockets	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2bbfc4…
10-24 02:41:54	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Rockets	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1268e2…
10-24 02:41:54	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x091767…
10-24 02:00:36	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xcfe2e8…
10-24 02:00:35	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd13935…
10-24 02:00:33	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa96c8e…
10-24 01:53:53	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5	Under	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xea9fc2…
10-24 01:53:51	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4ee1dc…
10-24 01:46:39	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5	Under	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe84211…
10-24 01:46:35	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdbdf8f…
10-24 01:45:26	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x54e8a7…
10-24 01:45:23	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xa84d85…
10-24 01:23:26	Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5	Under	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xa97e3e…
10-24 01:21:24	Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x70e784…
10-24 01:16:57	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5	Under	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xe23cbc…
10-24 01:16:56	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf69eee…
10-24 01:16:56	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x25b835…
10-24 00:28:09	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xcbff2c…
10-24 00:28:08	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x99f1b9…
10-23 23:18:41	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5	Under	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x9f6f34…
10-23 23:18:39	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf67d0…
10-23 23:13:21	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xab8633…
10-23 23:13:21	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x47b0aa…
10-23 23:13:12	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x64aa58…
10-23 23:13:12	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x186a9d…
10-23 22:05:36	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xb6f8b1…
10-23 22:05:36	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xa247ed…
10-23 22:05:35	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf94641…
10-23 22:05:35	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe41195…
10-23 22:05:35	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x559322…
10-23 22:05:35	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2cd2ed…
10-23 22:05:35	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x18090a…
10-23 22:05:33	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x7e6fbf…
10-23 22:05:32	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x306f38…
10-23 17:37:48	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf9d35e…
10-23 17:37:47	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x3e2356…
10-23 00:51:08	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xe88520…
10-23 00:51:08	Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x6558dd…
10-23 00:51:08	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1f36a6…
10-23 00:34:56	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x32051d…
10-23 00:05:50	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x566904…
10-22 23:43:47	nba cle phi 2026 10 22 total 229pt5	Under	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa26b0f…
10-22 23:43:47	nba cle phi 2026 10 22 total 228pt5	Over	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x5af53b…
10-22 23:14:30	1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x42c515…
10-22 23:14:30	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x0dbb39…
10-22 01:07:24	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x657836…
10-22 01:07:24	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0333b0…
10-22 01:04:38	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe9f8e9…
10-22 01:04:38	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xca3216…
10-21 02:53:06	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf2143f…
10-21 02:53:06	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5	Over	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x23774f…
10-21 02:08:41	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfc342b…
10-21 02:08:41	nba okc sas 2026 10 20 1h total 117pt5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2840a8…
10-08 06:24:43	Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x17f3a6…
10-08 06:21:10	Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x4adae9…
10-08 06:21:05	Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x5c6cd1…