Aching-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

168

Trades

5,862

lifetime

Volume

$42.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-06 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774943400	3	$62	55	26	+29	open	—	03-31 07:55
btc updown 5m 1774980900	5	$61	55	25	+30	open	—	03-31 18:19
btc updown 5m 1774954800	4	$59	61	27	+34	open	—	03-31 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774972200	4	$55	52	10	+42	open	—	03-31 15:55
btc updown 5m 1775002500	2	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	04-01 00:18
btc updown 5m 1774922400	2	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 02:04
btc updown 5m 1775001900	2	$49	52	0	+52	open	—	04-01 00:09
btc updown 5m 1774919100	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	03-31 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$44	55	50	+5	open	—	05-03 07:49
btc updown 5m 1774577100	2	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	03-27 02:09
btc updown 5m 1774559400	2	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	03-26 21:14
btc updown 5m 1774539300	2	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	03-26 15:40
btc updown 5m 1774589700	2	$29	49	0	+49	open	—	03-27 05:40
btc updown 5m 1774521600	2	$29	55	0	+55	open	—	03-26 10:44
btc updown 5m 1774541400	2	$29	40	0	+40	open	—	03-26 16:14
btc updown 5m 1774624800	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774551900	2	$29	33	0	+33	open	—	03-26 19:09
btc updown 5m 1774578600	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 02:34
btc updown 5m 1774525500	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-26 11:49
btc updown 5m 1774562100	4	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	03-26 21:59
btc updown 5m 1774638600	2	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	03-27 19:15
btc updown 5m 1774620600	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 14:14
btc updown 5m 1774512300	3	$29	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 08:09
btc updown 5m 1774611300	2	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	03-27 11:39
btc updown 5m 1774501200	2	$29	45	0	+45	open	—	03-26 05:04
btc updown 5m 1774624200	2	$29	36	0	+36	open	—	03-27 15:14
btc updown 5m 1774658400	2	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	03-28 00:44
btc updown 5m 1774632600	3	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	03-27 17:34
btc updown 5m 1774605600	2	$29	39	0	+39	open	—	03-27 10:04
btc updown 5m 1774600200	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	03-27 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6a6c43…
05-06 06:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc73ac6…
05-06 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x71a627…
05-06 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x076401…
05-06 05:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x13b8e1…
05-06 05:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1dc8dd…
05-06 05:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e12a1…
05-06 04:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x17e826…
05-06 04:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7bd298…
05-06 04:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8e6cf8…
05-06 04:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9f53bf…
05-06 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec5907…
05-06 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x55321a…
05-06 03:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdd398b…
05-06 03:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc8175…
05-06 03:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcd26a4…
05-06 03:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x6f30f1…
05-06 03:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x555129…
05-06 03:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee19f9…
05-06 03:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8488a8…
05-06 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x5ee67c…
05-06 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2eb0d9…
05-06 03:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e0e80…
05-06 03:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x938892…
05-06 02:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe4819d…
05-06 02:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x68c44e…
05-06 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c869b…
05-06 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6d0e8…
05-06 02:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfaa9a4…
05-06 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xed99ac…
05-06 02:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d4aaf…
05-06 02:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a6156…
05-06 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbac0b4…
05-06 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x999986…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3bfb47…
05-06 01:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x08f117…
05-06 01:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x234eb4…
05-06 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc79e39…
05-06 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x500357…
05-06 01:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x40a74a…
05-06 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8e69a8…
05-06 00:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd14b57…
05-06 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8dbd49…
05-06 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb3d1ac…
05-06 00:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x15ca58…
05-06 00:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b7402…
05-06 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2c27d6…
05-05 23:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x308649…
05-05 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9b2e21…
05-05 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7e921b…
05-05 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x0fb096…
05-05 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9cd830…
05-05 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd834ee…
05-05 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xcecc28…
05-05 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6f9fc5…
05-05 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x587628…
05-05 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x34bb45…
05-05 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfdb7ca…
05-05 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xbae311…
05-05 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x97edfc…
05-05 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x5c322d…
05-05 22:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6ef49c…
05-05 22:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x104f17…
05-05 22:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b4e6b…
05-05 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd2a49e…
05-05 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x90348d…
05-05 22:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4f54d7…
05-05 21:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb95a75…
05-05 21:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88c126…
05-05 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x78f130…
05-05 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x63100a…
05-05 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4e995a…
05-05 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2dd733…
05-05 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11da6a…
05-05 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc5769f…
05-05 21:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb58510…
05-05 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0ddca3…
05-05 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5d0a66…
05-05 21:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcc1e70…
05-05 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa03272…
05-05 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x97410d…
05-05 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x30df5c…
05-05 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1a6320…
05-05 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1431f4…
05-05 20:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x352671…
05-05 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x864884…
05-05 20:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe089fc…
05-05 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb97b54…
05-05 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd72928…
05-05 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd47623…
05-05 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe547a5…
05-05 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd8b384…
05-05 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xce29ca…
05-05 20:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce37e0…
05-05 20:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c658f…
05-05 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa3845f…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xab0898…
05-05 19:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x08e952…
05-05 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xd6d2e3…
05-05 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x240486…