Torn-Lift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

+$250

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$906

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-30 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

46% 62% -$1,091

Crypto

38% 85% +$808

Tech

7% 100% +$0

Politics

5% 100% +$97

Sports

5% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-5,911	-$355	4¢	$-263	+$92	09-24 10:58
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$148	92¢	$184	+$36	06-11 12:42
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-2,500	-$375	6¢	$-162	+$212	09-24 10:59
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	+500	$210	20¢	$103	-$107	06-29 07:51
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+100	$87	98¢	$98	+$10	09-22 18:25
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$90	97¢	$97	+$6	06-11 08:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$40	05-18 19:48
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	13	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 20:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	20	$2.1K	10,814	10,814	+0	No	+$125	03-22 12:37
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	9	$1.9K	1,700	729	+971	Gujarat Titans	-$1,042	04-08 18:01
nba lal det 2026 03 23	12	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Pistons	+$10	03-22 16:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$1.3K	711	711	+0	No	+$89	03-27 08:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	3	$1.1K	1,091	44	+1,048	Yes	-$8	04-05 15:36
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	1	$985	1,000	0	+1,000	Rajasthan Royals	+$15	05-19 17:42
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	4	$950	1,000	1,000	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$10	05-27 16:48
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$878	1,288	0	+1,288	Yes	+$410	02-06 06:12
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	3	$864	926	0	+926	Yes	+$62	03-29 21:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$832	970	970	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 08:27
will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	15	$769	900	500	+400	open	—	06-12 09:22
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	18	$720	1,000	500	+500	open	—	06-29 07:51
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	6	$719	700	466	+234	Yes	+$262	08-02 13:13
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	17	$595	3,000	3,000	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$5	03-21 17:31
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	4	$580	400	400	+0	open	—	06-16 13:57
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$566	300	300	+0	No	+$20	02-02 15:35
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	6	$533	552	0	+552	Rajasthan Royals	+$10	04-04 17:53
will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	3	$440	500	0	+500	open	—	06-16 01:34
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$440	500	0	+500	Yes	+$60	05-02 17:35
bitcoin above 70k on march 23	4	$436	677	677	+0	Yes	-$395	03-23 15:59
crint ind nzl 2026 01 21	9	$398	413	110	+303	India	+$1	01-21 16:33
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	6	$381	320	320	+0	open	—	06-15 06:00
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$375	0	2,500	-2,500	open	—	09-24 10:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 169	67	$370	38,658	2,522	+36,137	No	-$107	03-22 09:24
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$368	400	0	+400	No	+$32	05-29 15:47
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	16	$355	0	5,911	-5,911	open	—	09-24 10:58
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$310	360	0	+360	No	+$50	05-25 08:24
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$299	200	100	+100	Yes	+$0	01-15 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:18:30	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0xf25280…
10-30 02:18:22	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xba2765…
10-29 17:45:31	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	900	0¢	$2	0x77bbba…
10-18 01:37:05	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	204	12¢	$25	0x588b42…
10-17 14:10:17	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x57f8b2…
09-30 10:26:57	Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x100e23…
09-30 10:26:50	Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09e928…
09-29 15:43:18	over 15m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x157a98…
09-26 10:33:48	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1c5e82…
09-24 10:59:45	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,197	15¢	$180	0x63e8b9…
09-24 10:58:30	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	308	6¢	$18	0x900cdf…
09-24 10:39:11	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	76	12¢	$9	0x6416f5…
09-24 07:30:39	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x91d0bf…
09-22 23:06:11	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x3343c4…
09-22 18:25:52	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x760eec…
09-22 17:49:27	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x041413…
09-22 17:10:10	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd3670c…
09-22 08:39:27	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0xb61436…
09-21 10:04:59	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	160	61¢	$98	0x2cdbc9…
09-21 00:51:53	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xfda6ab…
09-20 20:44:59	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xaf8d37…
09-20 19:13:08	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x1541e6…
09-19 15:39:12	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,253	15¢	$188	0xff7bc9…
09-18 12:49:38	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb56e3c…
09-17 04:15:10	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0xbbd6ad…
09-17 04:14:45	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x15b6a7…
09-17 04:14:42	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa8d108…
09-17 04:14:40	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf9362e…
09-17 04:14:40	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xf4becf…
09-17 04:14:37	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfe26ab…
09-17 04:14:37	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xe128ce…
09-17 04:14:36	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xecb8b8…
09-17 04:14:36	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x57d5ee…
09-17 04:14:36	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4b0813…
09-17 04:14:34	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,473	6¢	$268	0xabf77d…
09-15 22:49:48	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xbe8e59…
09-15 12:12:16	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1953e2…
09-14 22:39:12	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x90d42b…
09-13 09:10:28	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	296	12¢	$36	0xbb6002…
09-12 07:50:48	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,023	6¢	$61	0xe97d8f…
08-20 11:56:04	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0x255a25…
08-20 08:48:03	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0566fb…
08-20 08:39:34	Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x7ed6d5…
08-20 08:33:37	Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	455	30¢	$136	0xd746db…
08-02 13:13:09	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	434	40¢	$174	0xe2d954…
07-27 05:18:45	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x34fb30…
07-16 08:58:41	Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x0e7083…
07-15 06:15:17	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	101	7¢	$7	0x16ee83…
07-15 06:05:35	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2905a5…
07-15 05:56:05	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb7ab93…
07-15 04:17:01	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb9dafa…
07-14 22:16:13	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x33f9a6…
07-14 22:02:22	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xc70307…
07-14 11:36:55	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xda4014…
07-14 05:40:19	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa63758…
07-14 05:35:05	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	195	11¢	$21	0xf67432…
07-12 12:25:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	68	60¢	$41	0xb6488e…
07-12 12:25:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	132	60¢	$79	0x0249e6…
07-12 09:04:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	197	56¢	$110	0x0f7d41…
07-12 08:58:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xd6012b…
07-12 08:55:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x65f315…
07-12 07:01:22	Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf0817e…
07-12 01:43:47	Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x921a32…
07-11 06:39:49	Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x131edd…
07-10 08:17:49	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x067e4d…
07-05 13:11:43	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xabd947…
07-04 13:29:34	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0xc52aef…
06-29 07:51:47	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xcf74be…
06-28 16:02:40	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x7b3278…
06-26 11:11:50	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	295	52¢	$153	0xbcb2f9…
06-26 05:03:41	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x73b374…
06-24 18:16:52	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x3bc28b…
06-24 12:24:29	Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd247d5…
06-24 08:19:44	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x6e60b8…
06-24 07:54:08	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x90e068…
06-24 06:34:40	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x5bab8b…
06-21 06:37:50	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x59ed67…
06-20 06:19:46	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x7b6e9f…
06-20 00:00:17	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	125	43¢	$54	0x7b553f…
06-18 13:02:41	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	64	43¢	$28	0xbde41e…
06-18 00:25:50	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x07996e…
06-17 14:04:07	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	154	43¢	$66	0xdda16a…
06-17 13:53:05	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	43¢	$17	0x122d19…
06-17 13:11:35	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbfd64a…
06-16 13:57:02	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x19c75e…
06-16 13:05:42	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	383	73¢	$280	0x08bc8e…
06-16 01:34:22	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	BUY	349	88¢	$307	0xec8576…
06-15 06:00:34	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x446b94…
06-15 06:00:24	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	284	66¢	$187	0xfedece…
06-15 06:00:21	Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x39a87e…
06-14 00:28:55	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x12164b…
06-12 22:20:30	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x7a6fa8…
06-12 09:22:04	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x1ba653…
06-12 06:42:00	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	400	54¢	$216	0xfb6399…
06-12 05:36:18	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x485c62…
06-12 02:46:57	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x2b446a…
06-11 20:52:45	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xc5e0d8…
06-11 20:46:30	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x9168bb…
06-11 20:38:28	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	52	42¢	$22	0xd3a8f9…
06-11 20:02:51	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xbee570…