Excitable-Cravat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$612

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-20 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% +$13

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,078	0	+2,078	No	+$4	05-07 02:24
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	No	+$4	05-06 08:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,072	0	+2,072	No	+$4	05-06 02:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	Yes	+$4	05-05 07:39
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$2.0K	1,967	0	+1,967	No	+$4	05-05 02:17
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	01-22 02:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-21 01:55
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-20 02:56
ethereum above 3500 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-19 02:33
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-18 01:13
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-17 05:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-16 06:51
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-15 06:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-14 07:54
ethereum above 2800 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-13 08:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-12 04:16
ethereum above 3300 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-11 07:17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 4?	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	05-05 02:18
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-30 07:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$12	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	02-03 06:06
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-29 00:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	1	$10	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	02-09 01:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	1	$6	2,152	0	+2,152	open	—	03-10 07:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$6	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	02-24 03:20
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$4	2,179	0	+2,179	open	—	03-05 02:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	1	$4	1,827	0	+1,827	No	$-4	05-12 22:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$4	1,813	0	+1,813	No	$-4	05-08 01:52
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-13 09:37
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 07:35
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$2	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	03-06 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:35:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4d7407…
05-12 22:17:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,827	0¢	$4	0xf5a370…
05-08 01:52:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,813	0¢	$4	0x559c3a…
05-07 02:24:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,078	100¢	$2,074	0x93e8e0…
05-06 08:15:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,070	0x6cf1e5…
05-06 02:53:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,068	0x3e1419…
05-05 07:39:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0xca8d4c…
05-05 02:18:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 4?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf3febe…
05-05 02:17:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,967	100¢	$1,963	0xe5df31…
04-13 09:37:21	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x290210…
03-30 07:20:38	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x50eace…
03-10 07:25:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	Yes	BUY	2,152	0¢	$6	0xa57df8…
03-06 02:01:17	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,142	0¢	$2	0x083e54…
03-05 02:02:47	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	Yes	BUY	2,179	0¢	$4	0x07174b…
03-02 01:09:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,135	0¢	$2	0xc77e7f…
02-24 03:20:58	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,113	1¢	$6	0x516080…
02-09 01:48:33	bitcoin above 76k on february 9	Yes	BUY	1,004	1¢	$10	0x58fc8c…
02-03 06:06:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	Yes	BUY	1,095	1¢	$12	0x986c23…
02-02 10:43:28	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98c1cb…
01-31 08:45:36	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaaca95…
01-29 07:41:06	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05f1c7…
01-29 00:33:44	ethereum above 2500 on january 29	No	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0xecbe6d…
01-29 00:33:18	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95ffe3…
01-28 12:09:11	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3daa6…
01-26 11:27:13	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54c20a…
01-25 02:14:36	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0x361953…
01-22 02:19:46	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,080	0x521e82…
01-21 01:55:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x41bba1…
01-20 02:56:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,076	0x4f01ed…
01-19 02:33:44	ethereum above 3500 on january 19	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0x5fe307…
01-18 01:13:24	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0xdc5868…
01-17 05:00:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 17	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x1a7c06…
01-16 06:51:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x1d76f5…
01-15 06:55:52	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x53d3e9…
01-14 07:54:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xec00db…
01-13 08:50:59	ethereum above 2800 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x84aa14…
01-12 04:16:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0xe0839b…
01-11 07:17:42	ethereum above 3300 on january 11	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,059	0x3a8525…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Flustered-Wording 0xfcca…9ee1	35	$23.3K	37	05-20 07:35
Noted-Glory 0xf43a…7da8	32	$23.3K	33	05-20 07:35
Internal-Eveningwear 0x0b97…4cc2	32	$21.2K	34	05-20 07:35
(anonymous) 0xecb6…8564	31	$21.1K	33	05-20 07:36
That-Coordinator 0x8949…fbef	31	$20.4K	32	05-20 07:35
Boiling-Deck 0xbae6…63d7	29	$22.2K	33	05-20 07:35
Immense-Terminology 0x92f9…93a1	27	$22.1K	30	05-20 07:35
Genuine-Picnic 0xd3de…5cb7	27	$12.8K	28	05-20 07:10