Buoyant-Gravitas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

333

Trades

722

lifetime

Volume

$9.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-28 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

73% 75% +$1

Crypto

20% 76% +$0

Politics

4% 69% $0

Sports

2% 64% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	10-28 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	5	$79	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-20 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 25?	3	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-02 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-17 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 4?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-04 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 4?	7	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-04 02:37
bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 6?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-06 12:24
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 17?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-16 04:29
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-28 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on July 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 18:06
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-14 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 29?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-29 05:44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 12?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-22 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?	6	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 13:32
will ethereum dip to 1500 on july 1	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 27?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-27 09:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 6?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 02:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 16?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-16 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or higher on July 11?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-10 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 4?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-04 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 29?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 12?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-11 20:07
Will "BROWN - Chris Brown" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 30?	5	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-24 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 13?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-13 22:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on July 2?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-02 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:27:11	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ffb7c…
10-15 12:59:28	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x32dd16…
10-15 12:58:37	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb96781…
10-15 12:57:46	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa09f14…
10-15 12:56:55	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1a60ed…
09-23 09:00:49	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1e39fd…
08-31 19:13:24	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eaca8…
08-24 04:17:45	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc2f88b…
08-08 03:37:00	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96731b…
07-22 09:11:28	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5c5752…
07-22 07:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9e1004…
07-22 04:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8337b…
07-22 04:07:34	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf6b148…
07-22 04:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x00454f…
07-22 03:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x06e0bb…
07-21 22:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd19f44…
07-21 21:16:57	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x979f3b…
07-21 21:15:28	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x0aa924…
07-21 20:02:57	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x24e0ae…
07-21 19:25:24	NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x1faa1c…
07-21 14:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x810623…
07-21 13:41:25	bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0xb3255b…
07-21 12:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd7bdcd…
07-21 11:11:45	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0abe0f…
07-21 09:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b5050…
07-21 07:43:54	bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x111686…
07-21 07:14:30	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7a9293…
07-21 07:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 21?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8f1580…
07-21 03:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x36a9e6…
07-21 01:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f9bff…
07-21 00:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb388de…
07-21 00:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2a655a…
07-21 00:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5ceeea…
07-21 00:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xcbce65…
07-20 23:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x3a3398…
07-20 21:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0f9d8e…
07-20 17:33:54	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xce56ee…
07-20 14:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x017480…
07-20 14:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x551016…
07-20 14:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x786e15…
07-20 13:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x43a7f1…
07-20 12:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x976c93…
07-20 08:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd40f28…
07-20 06:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfbf664…
07-20 05:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc02b11…
07-20 02:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa61119…
07-20 01:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe94770…
07-20 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1fd71…
07-20 00:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2ae657…
07-19 22:45:37	Will Pedri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x961fb0…
07-19 20:53:06	Will Pedri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80d783…
07-19 20:24:06	ethereum above 2100 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa7bc6f…
07-19 17:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x18905f…
07-19 12:02:28	ethereum above 2100 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf0a96b…
07-19 11:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x996e7d…
07-19 09:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x36810a…
07-19 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f83b0…
07-19 04:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x096653…
07-19 02:17:31	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x260436…
07-19 01:01:39	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36b2d4…
07-18 14:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 18?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbf44eb…
07-17 23:16:27	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc98bb5…
07-17 19:41:30	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4afa8d…
07-17 19:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0b0580…
07-17 16:26:00	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc1686e…
07-17 15:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfca5f1…
07-17 14:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x06d074…
07-17 14:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x793b6d…
07-17 13:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x19627f…
07-17 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbf7bf6…
07-17 09:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcc1375…
07-17 09:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 17?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x40c2ba…
07-17 04:27:33	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1db3ea…
07-17 04:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe8717d…
07-17 02:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xb4d553…
07-17 02:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x28f7d9…
07-16 23:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x70d2c4…
07-16 23:20:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 17?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x47d3d6…
07-16 23:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x219e6d…
07-16 20:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc236c6…
07-16 20:12:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcc1367…
07-16 19:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77d3c3…
07-16 18:48:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1863a0…
07-16 16:29:47	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xcdecd2…
07-16 16:19:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x471fbe…
07-16 16:17:41	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x106146…
07-16 14:56:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x225397…
07-16 12:21:44	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdad26c…
07-16 11:29:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 16?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0a0466…
07-16 10:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7b7a9c…
07-16 10:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77b0d9…
07-16 07:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1091d…
07-16 06:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9da40…
07-16 04:55:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd876c3…
07-16 04:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xfe6bbb…
07-16 02:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbfb62e…
07-16 01:42:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x896e8a…
07-15 23:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x684952…
07-15 20:58:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb7d76b…
07-15 20:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x402002…