Flippant-Lieu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

129

Trades

2,932

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-26 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773770400	8	$125	80	80	+0	open	—	03-17 18:16
xrp updown 15m 1774021500	20	$67	64	79	-15	open	—	03-20 15:59
xrp up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	9	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	04-22 20:56
xrp up or down april 19 2026 6pm et	6	$66	41	41	+0	open	—	04-19 22:48
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 10am et	6	$62	39	38	+1	open	—	04-20 14:54
xrp up or down april 19 2026 7pm et	6	$61	37	37	+0	open	—	04-19 23:54
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 8am et	6	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	5	$57	102	0	+102	open	—	04-25 09:59
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 7pm et	7	$57	33	32	+0	open	—	04-23 23:59
xrp up or down april 19 2026 9pm et	6	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 01:56
xrp updown 15m 1773934200	6	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	03-19 15:45
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 9am et	5	$51	32	31	+1	open	—	04-23 13:54
xrp up or down april 20 2026 4am et	5	$50	31	31	+1	open	—	04-20 08:52
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 11am et	5	$50	33	32	+1	open	—	04-23 16:00
ethereum up or down april 24 2026 9am et	5	$50	32	31	+1	open	—	04-24 13:54
xrp up or down april 23 2026 12pm et	5	$50	32	31	+1	open	—	04-23 16:59
xrp up or down april 24 2026 9am et	6	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	04-24 14:00
xrp up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	5	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-24 03:44
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 12pm et	5	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-23 16:54
ethereum up or down april 22 2026 2am et	5	$49	30	30	+1	open	—	04-22 06:56
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 4am et	5	$49	30	29	+1	open	—	04-23 08:55
xrp updown 15m 1774074600	9	$48	36	31	+5	open	—	03-21 06:45
ethereum up or down april 22 2026 4am et	5	$48	29	29	+1	open	—	04-22 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	4	$48	27	27	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 20:00
xrp updown 15m 1773694800	2	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	03-16 21:14
xrp up or down april 22 2026 11am et	6	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	04-22 16:00
ethereum up or down april 22 2026 9am et	5	$48	28	28	+1	open	—	04-22 13:56
xrp up or down april 21 2026 5am et	5	$47	28	28	+1	open	—	04-21 09:57
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 10pm et	5	$47	28	28	+1	open	—	04-24 02:52
xrp up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	5	$47	28	27	+1	open	—	04-20 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e0281…
05-26 15:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x066efe…
05-26 14:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4965b5…
05-26 14:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x76426f…
05-26 14:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc640fc…
05-26 13:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x848c29…
05-26 13:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4f5336…
05-26 13:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6a5289…
05-26 12:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb1015e…
05-26 12:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd4afa1…
05-26 12:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfa335f…
05-26 11:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc66c09…
05-26 11:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x29cd72…
05-26 11:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe72e95…
05-25 08:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0afc4c…
05-25 08:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x191a5d…
05-25 08:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc991d8…
05-25 06:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x911d85…
05-25 06:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x228116…
05-25 06:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x51411d…
05-25 05:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x63718e…
05-25 05:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x64158e…
05-25 04:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdbb582…
05-25 04:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf921de…
05-25 03:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4d43ab…
05-25 02:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x63cd84…
05-25 02:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdd7b07…
05-25 00:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb7eeb0…
05-24 23:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ed95c…
05-24 23:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x036de2…
05-24 21:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe22366…
05-24 21:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6d4661…
05-24 21:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x76f9b4…
05-24 20:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd1a6bb…
05-24 19:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc8b5b0…
05-24 18:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf368c1…
05-24 18:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2911f8…
05-24 18:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1a8050…
05-24 16:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9968b…
05-24 16:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xd4f9ab…
05-24 16:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x15e2b3…
05-24 15:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7397b3…
05-24 14:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x710273…
05-24 13:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa1697e…
05-24 01:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x074502…
05-24 01:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x28f8dc…
05-24 01:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8c5783…
05-23 23:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xb8724e…
05-23 23:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1d9095…
05-23 22:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbc3fc7…
05-23 22:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaee21e…
05-23 22:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2d87d5…
05-23 20:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb6009c…
05-23 19:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1ae66b…
05-23 19:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xecbfa3…
05-23 17:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cc44b…
05-23 17:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x418a84…
05-23 16:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3ee1bb…
05-23 15:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x37c90d…
05-23 15:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4fac33…
05-23 14:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcba662…
05-23 11:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x076e43…
05-23 10:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1a6858…
05-23 10:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x658e8e…
05-23 08:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x90da6a…
05-23 08:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaf396b…
05-23 07:36:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xede109…
05-23 05:09:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x30204e…
05-23 03:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xae7e15…
05-23 01:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6639c4…
05-23 01:31:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x25d267…
05-22 23:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9f16a3…
05-22 22:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc55b4f…
05-22 21:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd90d63…
05-22 21:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa6a66c…
05-22 20:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb87e9d…
05-22 20:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb7a8db…
05-22 18:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x07ea7f…
05-22 15:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x21fa16…
05-22 14:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x32504f…
05-22 13:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0c6eef…
05-22 13:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x75a227…
05-22 13:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x30ebc6…
05-22 10:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd1dc89…
05-22 08:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x89a418…
05-22 08:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa6e1de…
05-22 08:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xd56ce9…
05-22 06:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x422f9d…
05-22 06:38:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x832907…
05-22 06:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x36130b…
05-22 05:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfab0ab…
05-22 05:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6e6ddb…
05-22 05:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae6d18…
05-21 21:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6345fe…
05-21 21:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4fb599…
05-21 21:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf47700…
05-21 20:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1b5027…
05-21 20:30:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x95b20e…
05-21 19:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x99cf70…
05-21 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b61b1…