Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$9.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-03 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

51% 60% +$789

Tech

36% 80% +$59

Politics

10% 50% -$925

Crypto

2% 57% +$41

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	32	$2.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	No	+$320	04-07 16:51
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$14	03-20 12:36
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	8	$1.3K	863	863	+0	No	+$403	03-14 08:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$922	5,348	0	+5,348	Yes	-$922	04-05 01:18
Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	1	$801	808	0	+808	No	+$7	03-14 13:39
deepseek v4 released by february 28	8	$536	465	328	+137	No	+$121	02-27 14:39
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	23	$372	914	1,107	-193	No	-$48	02-26 12:26
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$276	139	139	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 16:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$260	130	130	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 04:10
gpt 5pt3 released by february 20 2026	5	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$1	02-21 03:22
will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	1	$184	189	0	+189	Yes	+$5	02-21 07:57
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	5	$164	212	13	+199	No	+$61	03-01 05:21
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$110	59	59	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:10 UTC	2	$101	208	0	+208	Down	+$7	02-20 22:14
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	5	$93	325	330	-5	Yes	-$27	02-27 14:28
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 18 2026	2	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	01-18 19:44
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$62	0	442	-442	No	+$62	02-22 14:58
deepseek v4 released by march 21	2	$47	52	0	+52	No	+$5	03-19 16:33
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	01-23 17:22
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	1	$16	75	0	+75	No	-$16	06-03 02:47
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-03 02:43
bitcoin up or down january 18 2pm et	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	01-18 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:25 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	02-22 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:55 UTC	1	$10	83	0	+83	Down	-$10	02-27 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:30 UTC	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	-$10	02-22 05:31
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-03 02:35
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-17 17:45
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	5	$4	57	57	+0	No	-$1	03-19 16:32
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$4	142	0	+142	No	-$4	02-24 04:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:50 UTC	2	$3	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	02-21 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 02:53:28	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x51080e…
06-03 02:47:49	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	22¢	$16	0x28aadd…
06-03 02:43:30	Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb7faf…
06-03 02:35:28	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40f43b…
04-07 16:51:17	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	245	43¢	$105	0xd2c79c…
04-05 09:12:05	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	47	69¢	$32	0xb876ce…
04-05 09:11:09	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	117	69¢	$81	0x51a0b1…
04-05 09:07:29	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x346fd3…
04-05 01:42:07	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0xc7b4c9…
04-05 01:18:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0x90495f…
04-04 20:08:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	370	17¢	$63	0x83f1a3…
04-04 20:04:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf4e8f1…
04-04 20:03:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x2b710f…
04-04 20:03:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x390bf9…
04-04 20:02:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	508	17¢	$86	0x85177a…
04-04 16:25:27	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	60	69¢	$42	0x9024d1…
04-04 16:24:07	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	104	69¢	$72	0xf7c95a…
04-04 16:23:13	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	64	69¢	$44	0x839937…
04-04 16:16:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	256	20¢	$51	0x04d7b5…
04-04 16:08:33	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	76	69¢	$52	0xe92d7b…
04-04 13:23:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	754	16¢	$121	0xff5160…
04-04 09:28:47	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	183	66¢	$121	0xc9288f…
04-04 08:27:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	392	18¢	$70	0x7463e0…
04-04 07:38:19	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xb80571…
04-04 07:18:23	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x8e0828…
04-04 07:14:51	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0xfc6d0b…
04-04 07:13:41	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	48	63¢	$30	0xc48543…
04-04 06:16:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,333	17¢	$227	0x0e8b62…
04-04 06:08:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,589	18¢	$286	0x0032dc…
04-04 06:06:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x5fbcf8…
04-04 05:53:25	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	114	66¢	$75	0x9fbc32…
04-04 05:53:25	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x57a693…
04-04 02:43:33	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x1e82de…
04-04 02:40:01	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	472	66¢	$312	0x5f1d5a…
04-04 01:20:37	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	216	62¢	$134	0xac5875…
04-02 08:13:35	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0xd4d3a0…
04-01 12:26:03	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	280	37¢	$104	0xff6662…
03-31 16:04:03	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xcda555…
03-31 01:06:15	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0xa49ae8…
03-31 00:29:25	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0x086efa…
03-31 00:14:35	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x8cdeb0…
03-31 00:14:35	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x5e7d8e…
03-30 14:22:55	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x212eac…
03-29 02:42:06	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x0eeee8…
03-24 00:08:15	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	109	39¢	$43	0x6304c1…
03-23 17:31:23	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xe46678…
03-23 16:13:55	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xff3c39…
03-23 13:38:19	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdbef8a…
03-23 09:59:11	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x97e231…
03-20 12:36:25	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	1,638	50¢	$812	0x3ad571…
03-20 12:36:01	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	800	96¢	$766	0x99ab70…
03-19 16:39:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xf4cbad…
03-19 16:33:23	deepseek v4 released by march 21	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8db8e5…
03-19 16:32:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x5c3e9b…
03-18 02:01:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xcef6eb…
03-18 02:01:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x6db093…
03-18 01:59:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xedbeed…
03-18 01:50:39	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x819737…
03-17 17:45:07	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xfb7ced…
03-16 16:38:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x9c30e9…
03-16 16:37:01	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8a04dc…
03-16 16:36:13	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0xd644d1…
03-14 13:39:31	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	808	99¢	$801	0x133e04…
03-14 12:44:53	deepseek v4 released by march 21	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x052864…
03-14 08:47:55	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	SELL	817	100¢	$813	0xb3e0c2…
03-08 17:56:05	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x172244…
03-03 12:14:33	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0xe5031a…
03-03 04:10:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xbce09b…
03-02 13:00:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6868c0…
03-01 11:28:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x749550…
03-01 11:10:51	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x395462…
03-01 11:09:15	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	319	40¢	$128	0x918cb8…
03-01 11:07:45	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	119	39¢	$47	0x5ca0e3…
03-01 05:21:11	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2c61f0…
02-27 14:39:41	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0aa503…
02-27 14:28:55	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x0654af…
02-27 05:18:56	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd2d7e7…
02-27 05:15:18	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x53263e…
02-27 04:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9f68d5…
02-27 04:25:46	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	SELL	232	10¢	$23	0x0e9589…
02-26 12:26:26	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	105	37¢	$39	0x978e42…
02-25 22:13:20	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xf411b9…
02-25 22:12:30	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0x47e6ad…
02-25 22:09:52	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x060cc3…
02-25 22:05:10	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	SELL	46	77¢	$35	0xa06a0b…
02-25 22:04:06	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0xa4f0fb…
02-24 04:46:58	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	142	3¢	$4	0x53f21f…
02-23 17:29:16	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf775d5…
02-23 17:27:14	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	76	38¢	$29	0x112d92…
02-22 14:59:22	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	88	71¢	$62	0x09e800…
02-22 14:58:56	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	442	14¢	$62	0x8a722e…
02-22 05:31:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x87b5a4…
02-22 05:29:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x43f26d…
02-22 01:31:18	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x9eab8b…
02-21 17:58:34	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	266	19¢	$50	0x66dc11…
02-21 17:58:10	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa6437a…
02-21 07:57:58	will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	Yes	BUY	189	97¢	$184	0x8521d2…
02-21 07:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xfa240b…
02-21 07:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x3e2f82…
02-21 03:22:04	gpt 5pt3 released by february 20 2026	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x6263d3…