False-Palate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,381

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-12 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% $-2

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 28 8pm et	2	$163	32	159	-127	open	—	03-01 01:14
bitcoin up or down march 1 3pm et	2	$38	44	0	+44	open	—	03-01 20:14
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	1	$36	45	0	+45	open	—	03-01 18:12
ethereum up or down march 3 7am et	1	$36	43	0	+43	open	—	03-03 12:15
ethereum up or down march 5 4am et	2	$31	37	0	+37	open	—	03-05 09:19
btc updown 15m 1770683400	6	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 00:31
btc updown 15m 1770697800	10	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	02-10 04:36
btc updown 15m 1770703200	12	$27	34	34	+0	open	—	02-10 06:01
btc updown 15m 1770682500	11	$25	40	25	+15	open	—	02-10 00:27
bitcoin up or down february 26 10pm et	2	$24	39	0	+39	open	—	02-27 03:39
bitcoin up or down february 26 8pm et	1	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	02-27 01:12
ethereum up or down february 26 2pm et	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	02-26 19:12
bitcoin up or down february 24 4pm et	2	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	02-24 21:13
bitcoin up or down march 2 6am et	2	$23	31	0	+31	open	—	03-02 11:25
bitcoin up or down february 27 3am et	2	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	02-27 08:15
bitcoin up or down february 25 11am et	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	02-25 16:13
btc updown 15m 1770012900	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	02-02 06:26
bitcoin up or down february 26 11pm et	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-27 04:32
ethereum up or down march 1 2pm et	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	03-01 19:18
bitcoin up or down march 2 9pm et	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	03-03 02:21
btc updown 15m 1769956200	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	02-01 14:39
btc updown 15m 1769988600	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	02-01 23:43
btc updown 15m 1770695100	5	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	02-10 03:46
bitcoin up or down february 24 6pm et	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	02-24 23:12
btc updown 15m 1769998500	2	$16	23	23	+0	open	—	02-02 02:24
btc updown 15m 1770010200	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	02-02 05:37
btc updown 15m 1769569200	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-28 03:11
btc updown 15m 1769480100	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-27 02:27
btc updown 15m 1769739300	2	$15	12	11	+0	open	—	01-30 02:25
btc updown 15m 1769602500	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-28 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 07:14:28	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xad4406…
06-12 03:41:30	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3bf642…
06-12 03:36:42	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa3940b…
06-11 23:19:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xaa7da9…
05-25 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x555457…
05-25 15:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x215ea8…
05-25 14:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xffe8a9…
05-20 04:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0bea01…
05-20 04:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc0ddc0…
05-20 03:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcc92f6…
05-20 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcab5ff…
05-20 02:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe00d35…
05-20 02:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x857cc9…
05-20 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdaa716…
05-20 02:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x390689…
05-13 05:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xda24ad…
05-13 05:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf22860…
05-11 13:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb8399c…
05-11 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x772de7…
05-11 13:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x739e22…
05-11 13:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x23404b…
05-11 06:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x111a23…
05-10 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xc0c943…
05-10 23:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x533525…
05-10 14:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3a87d8…
05-10 14:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc5a2d5…
05-10 07:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0153c2…
05-10 07:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x445fa9…
05-06 15:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b89f0…
05-06 15:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x22de18…
05-06 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22671f…
05-06 15:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x731b45…
05-06 14:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc99b1c…
05-06 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x45a3fc…
05-06 12:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5906c…
05-06 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8a856b…
05-06 08:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc241b5…
05-06 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xc61fb5…
05-06 07:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbac1aa…
05-06 06:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6e160c…
05-06 06:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5baf2…
05-06 02:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b3aa0…
05-06 02:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x854e02…
05-05 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc6fe71…
05-05 09:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67ce8f…
05-05 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2e9a8…
05-05 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3312f8…
05-05 07:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfadff1…
05-05 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa5f9e7…
05-05 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x44aa30…
05-05 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb1a8b…
05-05 01:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xafa859…
05-05 00:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0e10c…
05-05 00:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f8143…
05-04 23:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xec793c…
05-04 23:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x51901e…
05-04 17:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x200bbb…
05-04 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x213e1b…
05-04 10:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb96da0…
05-04 10:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x95094a…
05-04 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96e886…
05-04 08:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x37c668…
05-04 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa443a6…
05-04 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x775ea4…
05-04 07:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x650e34…
05-04 06:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x6e6b88…
05-04 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xb0a11c…
05-04 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x38caa4…
05-04 05:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18ac52…
05-04 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x07beba…
05-04 03:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc14726…
05-04 01:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x631236…
05-04 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x531678…
05-04 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2496f8…
05-04 00:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcab8bd…
05-03 13:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x50af8b…
05-03 11:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d93f8…
05-03 11:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4f077c…
05-03 11:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02e58c…
05-03 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x00a04a…
05-03 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35a76d…
05-02 17:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1c4205…
05-02 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf7c4f5…
05-02 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb7a745…
05-02 16:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfba351…
05-02 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4a8f56…
05-02 16:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c1df4…
05-02 15:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x86a4f4…
05-02 15:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef02e2…
05-02 15:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x41ee6b…
05-02 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xfb78fe…
05-02 14:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x26889d…
05-02 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x55978e…
05-02 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec05db…
05-02 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x755075…
05-02 06:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10a286…
05-02 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfbf39e…
05-02 02:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x44077d…
05-02 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3482fa…
05-02 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe52de3…