Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$128
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,285
lifetime
Volume
$77.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$361
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-01 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
58% 0% $-56
Other
38% 80% +$58
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +200 $167 83¢ $166 $-1 06-16 12:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +105 $150 100¢ $105 $-45 06-14 17:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +225 $78 38¢ $87 +$9 06-15 18:28
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +158 $17 $1 $-16 06-15 19:28
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +372 $77 $1 $-76 06-14 21:13