Smoggy-Exasperation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$214

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-25 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$123

Sports

40% 43% +$9

Crypto

14% 100% +$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$1.3K	1,104	800	+304	Down	+$122	05-08 10:33
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	10	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	Knicks	+$6	05-25 10:09
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	2	$500	800	800	+0	Yes	+$28	07-20 09:26
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Knicks	+$0	05-19 07:15
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$495	1,000	0	+1,000	Knicks	+$5	05-21 12:22
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	7	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$55	03-03 09:01
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$10	20	0	+20	Thunder	$0	05-07 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 07:07
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 09:09
Knicks vs. 76ers	4	$10	15	5	+10	Knicks	+$0	05-08 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 02:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf4e2c…
07-20 09:26:15	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	800	33¢	$264	0x96025a…
07-20 06:48:58	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	800	30¢	$236	0x67b188…
07-17 03:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xa8091b…
07-17 03:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40cc0d…
07-14 02:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc03f32…
07-14 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf53f0b…
06-24 07:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe80a95…
06-24 07:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00a55e…
06-24 07:03:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a4e51…
06-24 07:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x904ccf…
06-24 07:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe831a…
06-24 06:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf51517…
06-24 06:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b368f…
06-24 06:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29f8df…
06-18 03:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6902f…
06-18 03:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xe90ea6…
06-18 03:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c9385…
06-18 03:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd26c04…
06-18 03:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68b9a4…
06-18 03:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4e4e2…
06-18 03:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b7b4e…
06-18 03:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e77f3…
06-15 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa303c7…
06-15 08:58:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06a624…
06-15 08:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf08db…
06-15 08:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd14646…
06-15 08:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x273288…
06-15 08:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xb529cb…
06-15 08:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8ce0e…
06-15 08:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x33622b…
06-09 08:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff4541…
06-09 08:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb23254…
06-09 08:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x855d6d…
06-09 08:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbd5e1…
05-29 02:29:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc2be5b…
05-29 02:28:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x086894…
05-29 02:27:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa76e89…
05-29 02:26:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf495b8…
05-29 02:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x193ab4…
05-29 02:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x509169…
05-29 02:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e7fa2…
05-27 09:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42ecaa…
05-27 09:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6607e…
05-27 09:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fce95…
05-27 09:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeee738…
05-27 09:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d745d…
05-27 09:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x142ede…
05-25 10:09:45	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	104	43¢	$45	0x64a337…
05-25 10:08:35	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x984a37…
05-25 10:08:02	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x8d52b2…
05-25 10:07:11	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x86dca6…
05-25 10:07:08	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x8465b3…
05-25 10:06:57	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0196b2…
05-25 10:06:42	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3a73f0…
05-25 10:05:42	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xfef399…
05-25 10:05:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	348	43¢	$150	0xbfb92a…
05-25 06:04:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	550	56¢	$308	0xfdb021…
05-21 12:22:01	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xaf4d2d…
05-21 09:39:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0xe38d83…
05-20 09:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d220b…
05-20 09:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25f171…
05-20 09:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc52763…
05-20 09:05:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa246b…
05-19 07:15:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xc4dc82…
05-19 04:14:47	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x5c1831…
05-15 03:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21d287…
05-15 03:11:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98c099…
05-15 03:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37ba75…
05-15 03:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf9861e…
05-09 07:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e5eb8…
05-09 07:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xccd2b5…
05-09 07:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12a1f5…
05-09 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc660a7…
05-08 14:45:34	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8b13e2…
05-08 14:33:21	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdcbb0f…
05-08 11:52:34	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf17fa0…
05-08 10:33:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	500	77¢	$383	0x817e9f…
05-08 09:41:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x52374b…
05-08 09:33:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xa95b08…
05-08 09:33:16	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x061563…
05-08 05:06:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0fbfcf…
05-08 02:50:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0x0e7fa7…
05-08 02:36:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x102ca5…
05-08 02:28:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	304	57¢	$173	0xcd9701…
05-08 02:03:20	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7a4a21…
05-07 01:59:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3357d8…
05-07 01:59:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbf490d…
05-07 01:57:38	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe3c29a…
05-06 21:45:57	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x13b044…
05-06 10:34:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x19fe37…
04-23 08:30:02	highest temperature in jeddah on april 24 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31a0a3…
04-23 08:29:02	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e9e42…
04-23 08:27:52	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x732931…
04-23 08:23:40	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c3b71…
03-03 09:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x3ed27c…
03-03 09:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x2b3e94…
03-03 09:00:55	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xb22b48…
03-03 09:00:55	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x84d313…
03-03 09:00:53	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xedec89…