Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$114

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

60% 75% +$12

Crypto

38% 68% +$9

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-140	-$112	82¢	$-114	-$2	07-22 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$3.1K	1,590	1,590	+0	No	+$4	03-08 03:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	17	$2.0K	990	990	+0	No	+$1	02-24 01:50
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	5	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$0	02-09 00:24
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$800	402	402	+0	No	+$0	01-20 16:35
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$796	410	410	+0	No	+$2	01-20 11:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$771	390	390	+0	Yes	+$3	01-25 07:37
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	4	$699	300	400	-100	No	+$0	01-29 00:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	14	$561	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 08:29
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$499	300	200	+100	No	+$1	01-22 18:55
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	6	$398	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:12
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-12 10:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$1	04-01 03:58
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$303	101	203	-102	No	$0	01-09 20:22
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	3	$299	200	100	+100	No	+$0	02-24 11:25
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	3	$279	180	100	+80	No	+$0	03-25 17:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$273	100	240	-140	open	—	07-22 07:39
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$200	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:11
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-08 14:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-13 17:03
will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-14 00:16
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:12
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	6	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-27 10:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 12:04
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	2	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	02-27 10:55
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	3	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-18 15:54
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	3	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	01-21 11:06
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-27 10:53
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-14 13:10
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 7am et	1	$70	100	0	+100	Up	+$30	04-01 11:31
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	10	$63	70	80	-10	Yes	-$2	01-26 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 07:39:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x3f77b3…
07-22 07:28:12	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	237	80¢	$190	0x8cd21c…
06-29 16:48:14	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x382800…
06-29 16:26:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x469c7b…
06-29 16:19:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x5924e8…
06-29 16:13:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0adbd0…
06-29 15:46:47	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x04553d…
05-18 15:54:01	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x12f7f2…
05-18 15:42:31	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xedae97…
05-02 22:16:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcc7dc0…
04-05 02:49:47	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x543bae…
04-01 11:31:29	ethereum up or down april 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x96725e…
04-01 03:58:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb0df06…
03-31 10:39:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x928a6e…
03-30 12:04:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x1caca9…
03-30 12:04:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x3f73e4…
03-30 12:04:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xca203d…
03-30 12:04:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x19755c…
03-28 11:23:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe0b73e…
03-28 11:22:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xaa17c1…
03-28 11:22:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x43c1a0…
03-28 11:21:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x6c2311…
03-25 22:49:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0xabf8c0…
03-25 22:45:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x8d79f1…
03-25 17:08:35	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x87fefd…
03-25 00:54:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x56197d…
03-25 00:40:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbd4d3f…
03-25 00:35:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xade2b3…
03-21 14:12:09	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x83b3fd…
03-21 14:12:03	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x182459…
03-21 14:11:59	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xdd9bcb…
03-20 11:10:57	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2351ff…
03-20 08:52:55	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc1b1fd…
03-18 11:21:09	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8e1dbb…
03-14 13:10:17	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb489cb…
03-13 17:03:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xadc343…
03-13 08:29:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x18a6f9…
03-13 02:19:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0x74a1eb…
03-13 02:16:51	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x92739d…
03-12 09:42:57	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1e15a9…
03-12 08:17:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xd4a9b9…
03-12 08:17:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5c33d1…
03-12 08:15:09	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x957e9f…
03-09 16:26:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x796dfc…
03-09 08:42:25	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4df840…
03-09 07:48:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe7eec1…
03-09 06:14:57	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2e4138…
03-08 15:43:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc41f45…
03-08 14:47:13	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xac7bbf…
03-08 14:23:39	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbefbc8…
03-08 14:23:21	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x099fc2…
03-08 06:42:01	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf4613e…
03-08 04:27:37	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02135a…
03-08 03:05:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xd39a8d…
03-08 03:04:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xa816fa…
03-08 03:04:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa65005…
03-08 03:03:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdbfe00…
03-04 04:38:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x01a9f0…
03-03 00:51:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3b1f2f…
03-02 17:15:55	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x691c19…
02-27 10:55:07	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2f5667…
02-27 10:54:15	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x64bbde…
02-27 10:53:55	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x223e55…
02-27 10:50:05	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x688bc7…
02-25 00:51:16	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9c833a…
02-24 11:25:58	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x26523c…
02-24 01:50:46	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x703093…
02-23 22:40:04	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc251a0…
02-23 16:15:06	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x71fdc5…
02-20 19:45:34	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc62c55…
02-20 19:45:26	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xe7d447…
02-20 19:45:18	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xbe78b8…
02-20 19:45:10	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9898f4…
02-20 19:45:02	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd8c3ca…
02-19 13:38:04	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	390	99¢	$388	0xc1261c…
02-19 06:10:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	390	99¢	$388	0x971216…
02-19 00:40:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4763ff…
02-17 14:37:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x862135…
02-17 00:55:03	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6,687	0¢	$13	0x540596…
02-16 05:10:13	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,711	0¢	$8	0xfc5469…
02-15 10:33:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0xd6e0cf…
02-15 10:28:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4a23c4…
02-15 02:12:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x59d235…
02-15 00:54:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb2a18d…
02-15 00:42:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x85d62b…
02-15 00:34:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf245ef…
02-14 22:45:01	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0xc1e8c4…
02-14 22:44:55	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc11ac7…
02-14 22:34:55	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa125be…
02-14 20:40:53	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x2d34b0…
02-14 20:12:27	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,788	0¢	$7	0x55583f…
02-14 17:54:11	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xee2b9e…
02-14 14:13:21	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf904fd…
02-14 14:12:31	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x62a6f4…
02-14 14:10:51	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd5e442…
02-14 14:01:51	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xd0ab27…
02-14 00:47:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c2408…
02-14 00:17:07	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x351e97…
02-14 00:16:09	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7df370…
02-14 00:15:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7c19ae…