Formal-Context — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$67

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

2,857

Trades

14,452

lifetime

Volume

$233.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-28 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

65% 52% -$7,409

Crypto

34% 37% -$4,192

Sports

1% 52% -$92

Politics

0% 0% -$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	—	+100	$32	99¢	$99	+$67	10-28 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol drx dnf 2026 04 02 game1	3	$2.8K	1,520	1,520	+0	DN SOOPers	+$211	04-02 10:49
lol t1 dnf 2026 08 17	17	$2.7K	2,100	2,100	+0	DN SOOPers	+$350	08-17 13:03
lol sn ccg 2026 04 03 game2	8	$1.5K	1,048	1,043	+4	CCG Esports	+$123	04-04 00:10
lol ns dnf 2026 08 18	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	DN SOOPers	+$240	08-18 11:07
lol nsea hle 2026 04 13 game2	12	$1.3K	929	917	+12	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$499	04-13 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	2	$1.3K	662	661	+1	Down	+$11	04-04 06:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:10 UTC	2	$1.3K	643	641	+2	Down	+$19	04-04 00:15
lol kc dk 2026 07 19	4	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Dplus KIA	+$84	07-19 16:34
lol kt t1 2026 08 21	7	$1.2K	1,110	800	+310	T1	+$243	08-21 13:41
lol gen fox1 2026 04 05	5	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Gen.G	+$1	04-05 11:45
lol ktc t1a 2026 08 19	13	$1.0K	1,510	1,180	+330	T1 Academy	-$108	08-19 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:30 UTC	21	$1.0K	540	540	+0	Down	+$59	04-04 06:35
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	12	$968	700	700	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$272	07-12 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:35 UTC	9	$946	487	487	+0	Down	+$19	04-04 06:40
lol drx bro2 2026 07 20	37	$940	750	750	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$250	07-20 14:08
lol bro2 gen 2026 07 21	13	$895	500	500	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$45	07-21 10:02
lol fly ly 2026 07 25 game2	13	$882	950	950	+0	LYON	+$268	07-25 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 20:05 UTC	5	$864	1,041	743	+297	Up	-$26	03-26 20:08
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game2	18	$846	1,102	1,102	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$30	03-22 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:40 UTC	3	$838	560	542	+18	Down	+$252	04-04 00:45
lol cnv wu 2026 07 23	7	$834	456	456	+0	Winthrop University	+$77	07-24 02:41
lol th kc 2026 04 12 game2	2	$814	420	419	+1	Karmine Corp	+$8	04-12 18:49
lol ns kt 2026 07 20	4	$784	500	500	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$214	07-20 10:22
lol lgd we 2026 07 25	2	$783	440	440	+0	Team WE	+$96	07-25 09:33
lol los lll 2026 04 12 game2	4	$776	630	619	+11	LOUD	+$460	04-12 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:45 UTC	2	$770	483	477	+6	Down	+$155	03-23 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 13:45 UTC	2	$757	1,209	1,201	+9	Up	+$238	03-23 13:57
lol dsg fly 2026 04 12 game1	2	$755	460	455	+5	FlyQuest	+$153	04-12 20:41
lol red vks 2026 04 19	5	$751	460	460	+0	RED Canids	+$92	04-19 21:10
cs2 lgc mouz 2026 04 13	23	$740	650	450	+200	MOUZ	-$72	04-13 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:03:49	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc43067…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfe3d2a…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xc17443…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8f27e2…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x6d743f…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x316998…
10-28 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0a1966…
10-28 22:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf0b2d1…
10-28 22:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xdd0e42…
10-28 22:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0d6f0f…
10-28 22:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x72925c…
10-28 22:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x0ff3c6…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xde33b0…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbfa4c8…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x864d7c…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x789bdd…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6dc136…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x0db668…
10-26 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9e23d0…
10-26 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xf32031…
10-26 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xd1ed3f…
10-26 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xce6e86…
10-26 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xa95030…
10-26 18:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xdb43bf…
10-26 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfd4c55…
10-26 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc30f82…
10-26 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4cc569…
10-26 18:15:20	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	160	64¢	$102	0xc2a73a…
10-26 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xc90418…
10-26 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x85d740…
10-26 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x75c5f5…
10-26 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x6edb27…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xbe728a…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb921ea…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb2e208…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x91f7f7…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x4fa91a…
10-26 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x346eb8…
10-26 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0xc9141a…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd86dde…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x98b0ff…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8c9905…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x550595…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x20aca2…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	26¢	$14	0x0265ae…
10-26 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xaceba0…
10-26 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x8f077c…
10-26 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x418d5a…
10-26 18:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xd39a02…
10-26 18:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x2041da…
10-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf63704…
10-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x8b364f…
10-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x2a7023…
10-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2a5dd3…
10-26 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x197b7b…
10-26 17:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	26¢	$11	0x49619b…
10-26 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xfbe3b9…
10-26 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xdf7c45…
10-26 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x573c94…
10-26 17:36:47	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	99	22¢	$22	0x1ce826…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf700dc…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xdb3847…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb26037…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x89fb2b…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x77e68e…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x7328ea…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6ff5a0…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6203f8…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x58586c…
10-26 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4ef850…
10-26 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe79704…
10-26 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xa07a9a…
10-26 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x993776…
10-26 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x9445c5…
10-26 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x1b2545…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xd61636…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xac64be…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x719acc…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6d4b69…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2c343c…
10-26 16:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x2b3271…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xde1196…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xbb8317…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x62f861…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x580b28…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x46eb24…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2d2f75…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x109be6…
10-26 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd14edf…
10-26 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x2f1274…
10-26 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	63	23¢	$15	0xebaa1c…
10-26 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x91a54a…
10-26 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9221a9…
10-26 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x39745f…
10-26 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x368f1f…
10-26 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x22f5b3…
10-26 16:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe99c9d…
10-26 16:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xd7d987…
10-26 16:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0x5c06de…
10-26 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	26¢	$15	0xa08e01…