Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$199.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.62K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 02-28 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

80% 24% -$50,832

Other

16% 75% -$2,761

Tech

4% 100% +$3,105

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$54.0K	35,558	35,558	+0	Yes	-$2,052	02-28 15:08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	11	$29.3K	44,536	28,083	+16,453	Yes	-$5,136	02-20 05:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$27.3K	16,625	16,625	+0	Yes	-$4,192	02-28 15:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$22.6K	31,359	0	+31,359	Yes	-$22,570	02-20 05:10
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	20	$20.4K	22,317	10,935	+11,381	No	-$3,460	02-28 15:09
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$7.1K	10,209	0	+10,209	Yes	+$3,102	02-20 15:31
maduro mugshot released by january 9	3	$5.8K	4,386	2,193	+2,193	No	+$157	01-06 01:39
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	4	$5.4K	6,561	0	+6,561	Yes	-$5,420	02-27 15:37
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$3.9K	12,367	0	+12,367	Yes	-$3,949	02-19 14:40
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$3.7K	4,668	0	+4,668	No	+$955	02-23 03:49
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$2.7K	3,128	0	+3,128	No	+$443	02-20 14:36
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	2	$2.4K	3,521	0	+3,521	Yes	-$2,415	02-23 03:50
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$2.2K	3,183	0	+3,183	Yes	-$2,248	02-23 03:49
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	3	$1.8K	2,571	0	+2,571	Yes	-$1,797	02-23 03:49
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$1.5K	1,495	0	+1,495	No	+$15	01-06 01:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$1.4K	1,736	0	+1,736	No	+$327	02-20 15:33
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	5	$1.4K	1,707	0	+1,707	Yes	+$298	02-23 04:06
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	4	$1.3K	1,491	0	+1,491	Yes	+$189	02-27 15:36
will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	4	$1.2K	1,390	0	+1,390	No	+$203	02-18 14:09
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$697	749	0	+749	No	+$52	02-23 03:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$665	821	0	+821	Yes	-$665	02-23 03:51
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$643	844	0	+844	Yes	-$643	02-23 03:49
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$628	1,314	0	+1,314	Yes	-$628	02-18 13:57
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$552	849	0	+849	Yes	-$552	02-23 03:43
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$245	261	0	+261	No	+$16	02-20 05:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$242	1,152	0	+1,152	Yes	-$242	02-27 15:34
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$200	103,572	0	+103,572	No	-$200	01-04 16:37
maduro mugshot released by january 16	1	$126	164	0	+164	No	+$38	01-06 01:35
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$98	140	0	+140	Yes	-$98	02-23 03:43
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	1	$35	38	0	+38	No	+$3	02-27 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-28 15:09:45	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	10,935	25¢	$2,760	0x0a8c46…
02-28 15:09:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	16,625	69¢	$11,551	0x82474f…
02-28 15:08:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	3,154	32¢	$1,022	0xab232d…
02-27 15:37:19	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2,024	84¢	$1,700	0x0b1c06…
02-27 15:37:07	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2,443	83¢	$2,029	0xfe6613…
02-27 15:36:23	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	516	88¢	$454	0x1aef4e…
02-27 15:36:17	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	129	86¢	$111	0xf1412f…
02-27 15:36:17	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	820	87¢	$715	0xc7260d…
02-27 15:36:17	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x82451a…
02-27 15:34:41	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,013	21¢	$215	0x172454…
02-27 15:34:37	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	20¢	$22	0xf23b3e…
02-27 15:34:31	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0x58d382…
02-27 15:33:53	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,569	81¢	$1,271	0x4b8bf2…
02-27 15:33:43	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	525	80¢	$420	0x0396cf…
02-27 15:33:11	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x9dd447…
02-23 04:07:36	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	3,858	90¢	$3,471	0xeb4544…
02-23 04:07:30	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	2,255	89¢	$2,007	0xcfb45a…
02-23 04:06:54	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	240	85¢	$204	0xf1073d…
02-23 04:06:48	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xaffb6c…
02-23 04:06:44	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0x9c28a6…
02-23 03:51:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	821	81¢	$665	0xfa6798…
02-23 03:50:02	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2,106	69¢	$1,453	0x51335c…
02-23 03:49:30	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	479	73¢	$350	0x74205b…
02-23 03:49:26	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	75¢	$43	0x9fc588…
02-23 03:49:18	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	592	77¢	$454	0xaa8b3e…
02-23 03:49:16	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xd3a9c4…
02-23 03:49:10	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	749	93¢	$697	0x56a5af…
02-23 03:49:02	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1,668	85¢	$1,418	0xe8ddf2…
02-23 03:44:04	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xd4ac11…
02-23 03:43:54	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x40742f…
02-23 03:43:44	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,092	74¢	$808	0x26a925…
02-23 03:43:38	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	621	72¢	$447	0x926c22…
02-23 03:43:34	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	No	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0x443921…
02-23 03:43:32	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,415	68¢	$962	0xb6a782…
02-23 03:43:26	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	849	65¢	$552	0x59357f…
02-20 15:33:18	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0x67876f…
02-20 15:31:36	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	212	86¢	$182	0x2655b1…
02-20 15:31:32	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	199	86¢	$171	0xf49ce9…
02-20 14:36:20	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	799	68¢	$543	0x6d2f78…
02-20 14:36:06	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	2,160	88¢	$1,901	0x459f17…
02-20 14:35:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x8f91cc…
02-20 05:18:26	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,235	69¢	$854	0x32ae13…
02-20 05:18:22	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x12ae15…
02-20 05:17:28	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	261	94¢	$245	0x5970b4…
02-20 05:12:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	13,262	95¢	$12,599	0x32c707…
02-20 05:11:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	813	95¢	$772	0x095aeb…
02-20 05:10:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	3,486	73¢	$2,545	0x4f72be…
02-20 05:09:54	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0x53d4b7…
02-20 05:09:26	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x48fd8e…
02-19 14:40:08	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,501	33¢	$500	0x084c89…
02-19 14:39:52	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,048	33¢	$1,000	0x0fb621…
02-19 14:39:50	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,784	32¢	$1,534	0x0201f0…
02-19 14:39:36	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	519	31¢	$161	0xd032af…
02-19 14:39:32	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,513	30¢	$754	0x66bfe5…
02-19 14:39:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	4,079	76¢	$3,100	0x6002f8…
02-19 14:34:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0xee494c…
02-19 14:34:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	706	93¢	$657	0x308d99…
02-19 14:34:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,763	93¢	$1,640	0xf6a326…
02-19 14:34:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	40¢	$68	0x70b73d…
02-19 14:34:00	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,396	40¢	$561	0x3ceb57…
02-19 14:33:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,188	40¢	$3,275	0x119253…
02-19 14:33:46	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,200	39¢	$1,638	0x6c135a…
02-19 14:32:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	968	81¢	$784	0x23692e…
02-19 14:32:02	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	531	77¢	$409	0xadd326…
02-19 14:31:56	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1,500	75¢	$1,125	0x698a70…
02-19 14:31:32	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	1,074	86¢	$923	0xc600d6…
02-19 14:31:26	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	221	85¢	$188	0x9b9724…
02-19 14:31:22	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	731	85¢	$621	0x6375bb…
02-19 14:30:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x5eee57…
02-19 14:30:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	294	52¢	$153	0x0cdfce…
02-19 14:30:08	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,145	52¢	$600	0x695f64…
02-19 14:29:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6,849	73¢	$5,000	0xc157d3…
02-19 02:10:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	5,479	73¢	$4,000	0x7d9288…
02-19 02:09:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	556	78¢	$434	0x17bc46…
02-19 02:09:10	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	32,403	77¢	$24,951	0xdc278a…
02-19 02:07:12	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28,083	43¢	$12,059	0x3b4f70…
02-18 14:13:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xedecd0…
02-18 14:11:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,919	72¢	$2,822	0x7147bf…
02-18 14:11:42	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	250	72¢	$180	0x136d53…
02-18 14:10:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6,329	79¢	$5,000	0x60ef4b…
02-18 14:09:28	will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	No	BUY	1,059	86¢	$911	0x4dc8db…
02-18 14:08:16	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	588	72¢	$423	0x47669b…
02-18 14:07:32	will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	No	BUY	91	85¢	$77	0x59ca8f…
02-18 14:07:22	will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xacd856…
02-18 14:06:18	will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	No	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x2c996d…
02-18 14:04:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	758	78¢	$591	0x44c9de…
02-18 14:04:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x2528d2…
02-18 13:58:02	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,169	39¢	$2,404	0xb2bb75…
02-18 13:57:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xd74ba7…
02-18 13:57:36	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	48¢	$509	0xed260e…
02-18 13:57:30	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	253	47¢	$119	0x8da1af…
02-18 13:52:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	556	72¢	$399	0xb9b23d…
02-18 13:52:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,689	72¢	$1,210	0x389019…
02-18 13:52:34	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,296	71¢	$924	0x9cedd5…
02-18 13:51:56	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,049	82¢	$864	0xb655b4…
02-18 13:51:54	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	336	81¢	$272	0x1de5da…
02-18 13:51:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	12,658	79¢	$10,000	0x634eca…
02-18 13:51:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6,329	79¢	$5,000	0x9560cc…
02-18 13:50:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6,329	79¢	$5,000	0x6de585…
02-18 13:49:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10,036	69¢	$6,925	0xa74c25…