Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$5.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$128

17 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 11-10 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

91% 52% -$170

Politics

7% 0% -$75

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	Yes	+20	$16	99¢	$20	+$4	11-09 23:12
GTA VI Online released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+20	$13	77¢	$15	+$3	11-10 06:00
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?	Yes	+20	$14	68¢	$14	$0	11-07 01:51
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$14	64¢	$13	-$1	11-09 20:23
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$11	63¢	$13	+$2	11-09 21:42
Will "Dirt Off Your Shoulder" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	+20	$8	40¢	$8	$0	11-10 05:34
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	+22	$13	36¢	$8	-$5	11-09 23:28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$9	37¢	$7	-$2	11-09 19:32
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	Yes	+20	$7	36¢	$7	+$0	11-09 08:03
Harris's Democratic nomination odds dip to 3% by December 31?	Yes	+20	$11	30¢	$6	-$5	11-10 06:05
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	+20	$7	24¢	$5	-$2	11-09 12:46
GTA VI Online released by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$7	23¢	$5	-$3	11-10 06:03
Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by February 28, 2027?	No	+20	$9	21¢	$4	-$5	11-07 01:58
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?	No	+5	$2	32¢	$2	$0	11-07 02:12
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	+3	$2	46¢	$1	-$1	11-09 13:45
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	+1	$1	32¢	$0	$0	11-09 11:07
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	No	+20	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-09 22:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$200	400	0	+400	No	+$0	09-19 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	12	$197	168	168	+0	Yes	+$3	09-19 02:31
where will it rain on october 5 2026 miami fl	12	$153	224	0	+224	No	-$29	10-05 10:07
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	15	$137	325	0	+325	Yes	-$62	09-19 13:10
where will it rain on october 14 2026 new york ny	10	$129	240	0	+240	Yes	-$29	10-14 07:16
where will it rain on october 15 2026 miami fl	13	$124	255	0	+255	Yes	-$5	10-15 01:37
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 5?	19	$108	214	0	+214	No	+$6	10-05 05:01
where will it rain on october 13 2026 seattle wa	5	$108	165	0	+165	No	+$6	10-13 16:53
where will it rain on october 26 2026 miami fl	10	$102	270	0	+270	Yes	-$2	10-26 05:27
where will it rain on october 14 2026 miami fl	8	$100	206	0	+206	Yes	+$0	10-14 10:05
where will it rain on october 17 2026 washington dc	9	$94	223	0	+223	Yes	+$6	10-17 04:27
where will it rain on october 17 2026 philadelphia pa	13	$94	218	0	+218	Yes	+$6	10-17 01:06
where will it rain on october 17 2026 phoenix az	2	$92	100	0	+100	Yes	-$92	10-16 11:15
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	5	$92	130	0	+130	No	+$8	10-27 10:09
where will it rain on october 15 2026 washington dc	4	$91	113	0	+113	Yes	+$9	10-15 01:06
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 12?	2	$89	100	0	+100	Yes	+$11	10-11 21:52
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12?	2	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	10-11 21:52
where will it rain on october 16 2026 boston ma	2	$80	83	0	+83	Yes	+$3	10-15 11:25
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 20?	7	$80	141	0	+141	No	+$10	10-20 13:06
where will it rain on october 15 2026 philadelphia pa	15	$80	171	0	+171	No	-$1	10-15 11:33
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 6?	13	$79	132	0	+132	No	+$3	10-06 09:24
where will it rain on october 21 2026 los angeles ca	2	$78	81	0	+81	Yes	+$3	10-20 15:14
where will it rain on october 14 2026 seattle wa	7	$76	133	0	+133	No	+$14	10-14 04:37
where will it rain on october 14 2026 philadelphia pa	7	$72	140	0	+140	Yes	-$22	10-14 13:58
where will it rain on october 23 2026 miami fl	3	$68	102	0	+102	Yes	+$32	10-23 11:07
where will it rain on october 13 2026 phoenix az	7	$62	140	0	+140	Yes	-$12	10-13 12:02
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 5?	10	$61	132	0	+132	No	+$21	10-05 00:53
where will it rain on october 6 2026 miami fl	8	$61	116	0	+116	No	+$5	10-06 11:59
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 5?	5	$57	100	0	+100	No	+$3	10-05 13:17
where will it rain on october 4 2026 new york ny	4	$53	90	0	+90	Yes	-$13	10-04 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 06:29:57	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x9faabc…
11-10 06:05:36	Harris's Democratic nomination odds dip to 3% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4461f5…
11-10 06:03:24	GTA VI Online released by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb9fbc0…
11-10 06:00:18	GTA VI Online released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa035d4…
11-10 05:34:30	Will "Dirt Off Your Shoulder" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x13d145…
11-10 05:24:09	Rubio's Republican nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x95efe8…
11-10 04:29:46	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x44eb11…
11-10 03:35:52	Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xb00a1c…
11-10 03:24:06	Rubio's Republican nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7b9963…
11-10 02:55:13	Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xfb31c3…
11-10 02:12:04	Will "Adin Ross's Team" lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x875048…
11-10 01:35:19	Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd5880e…
11-10 01:10:30	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x4bee31…
11-10 00:55:06	Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd8e50b…
11-10 00:55:06	Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$17	0x4bb9d1…
11-10 00:12:13	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xeabb97…
11-10 00:11:37	Will "Adin Ross's Team" lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd9fc44…
11-09 23:28:00	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xab30ae…
11-09 23:12:09	Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb3fc49…
11-09 22:19:03	Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x145708…
11-09 22:11:57	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe5b496…
11-09 21:42:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x6a889b…
11-09 21:42:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x30c6eb…
11-09 21:32:54	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x0d1138…
11-09 21:27:45	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x9f4d65…
11-09 21:18:30	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xdf4335…
11-09 20:25:46	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4061df…
11-09 20:23:07	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbbf7d7…
11-09 19:32:57	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xa48fb2…
11-09 19:32:49	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc9bac5…
11-09 19:20:45	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf4ebcf…
11-09 13:45:51	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0ca400…
11-09 12:46:13	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xbdf670…
11-09 11:07:42	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x179371…
11-09 11:05:36	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x00f83d…
11-09 11:04:31	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x1d9bdd…
11-09 10:24:31	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x51415e…
11-09 09:05:18	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb9a0d2…
11-09 09:03:52	Will IShowSpeed win Best IRL Streamer at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc148c8…
11-09 08:51:54	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x79ef5d…
11-09 08:43:12	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5a58e9…
11-09 08:33:43	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xcaf261…
11-09 08:28:51	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x750c01…
11-09 08:03:01	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x64bff4…
11-09 07:46:37	Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x205386…
11-09 07:05:24	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x7ceda0…
11-09 07:03:18	Will IShowSpeed win Best IRL Streamer at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x9cb466…
11-09 07:03:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb411f6…
11-09 07:03:12	Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6d2b35…
11-09 07:03:07	Will IShowSpeed win Best IRL Streamer at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcd4600…
11-09 06:32:33	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4acf72…
11-09 06:28:30	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe6d16c…
11-09 05:55:15	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x01f10e…
11-09 05:46:25	Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5b2525…
11-09 05:05:49	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x725ccc…
11-09 05:05:22	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc81b48…
11-09 05:03:54	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x4b1304…
11-08 21:01:45	Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xf9f2be…
11-08 11:40:55	Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x6df4b6…
11-08 11:12:12	Over $30M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x781f67…
11-08 09:35:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd32cb3…
11-08 09:12:01	over 30m committed to the mori finance public sale	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb8bde7…
11-07 16:48:33	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	Yes	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xc6ee33…
11-07 16:46:51	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x687965…
11-07 05:16:07	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k?	No	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x5eef3a…
11-07 02:18:42	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x154c53…
11-07 02:12:43	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbd8242…
11-07 02:08:06	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xecb7a4…
11-07 02:08:00	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3cfbb8…
11-07 02:07:58	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe453eb…
11-07 02:01:16	gemini carbon released by november 10 2026 20261026	No	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xbe401d…
11-07 02:00:15	gemini carbon released by november 10 2026 20261026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x032737…
11-07 01:58:37	Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb3edba…
11-07 01:51:15	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xad5058…
10-27 14:05:50	where will it rain on october 28 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x33390c…
10-27 14:05:45	where will it rain on october 28 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x97d4c2…
10-27 12:07:44	where will it rain on october 28 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x133b2f…
10-27 11:14:15	where will it rain on october 28 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1f1aab…
10-27 10:09:45	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x9069a3…
10-27 10:09:45	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1f33b5…
10-27 10:09:02	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x1e5087…
10-27 05:40:26	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 27?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x33fe8d…
10-27 05:40:23	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 27?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9d908c…
10-26 20:47:44	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x347789…
10-26 20:46:27	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7c6a80…
10-26 14:38:15	where will it rain on october 27 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2c42d3…
10-26 12:00:17	where will it rain on october 27 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0x92d5a0…
10-26 12:00:17	where will it rain on october 27 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x25e0c0…
10-26 11:21:12	where will it rain on october 27 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x531aeb…
10-26 05:27:15	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf338c8…
10-26 05:27:15	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xa28b24…
10-26 05:27:08	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xd3cde3…
10-26 05:27:06	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x28de31…
10-26 05:27:05	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xfe55ce…
10-26 05:27:05	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d3bb5…
10-26 05:27:05	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x53f77f…
10-26 05:10:08	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 26?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f3734…
10-25 11:16:39	where will it rain on october 26 2026 seattle wa	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x509b48…
10-25 11:16:11	where will it rain on october 26 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xebb224…
10-25 11:16:06	where will it rain on october 26 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1f81a0…