Runny-Vaccine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

2,248

Trades

2,806

lifetime

Volume

$71.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% -$112

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	3	$394	395	0	+395	Up	+$1	03-08 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 19:15 UTC	3	$376	378	0	+378	Up	+$2	03-09 19:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:00 UTC	3	$373	675	0	+675	Up	-$373	03-11 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:45 UTC	3	$362	369	0	+369	Down	+$7	03-09 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC	3	$336	337	0	+337	Up	+$1	03-09 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 00:30 UTC	3	$335	337	0	+337	Up	+$2	03-09 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:45 UTC	3	$334	344	0	+344	Down	+$11	03-11 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 11:00 UTC	2	$333	334	0	+334	Down	+$1	03-08 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 09:15 UTC	2	$332	334	0	+334	Up	+$3	03-10 09:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 08:00 UTC	2	$331	333	0	+333	Up	+$2	03-10 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:45 UTC	3	$330	339	0	+339	Down	+$9	03-11 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 03:45 UTC	2	$330	332	0	+332	Down	+$2	03-10 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:45 UTC	2	$328	331	0	+331	Down	+$3	03-10 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:25 UTC	3	$321	327	0	+327	Up	+$6	03-09 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:15 UTC	3	$318	326	0	+326	Up	+$8	03-11 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:45 UTC	2	$312	319	0	+319	Down	+$7	03-06 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:05 UTC	2	$310	324	0	+324	Down	+$14	03-09 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:45 UTC	2	$303	321	0	+321	Down	+$18	03-06 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 01:30 UTC	3	$297	298	0	+298	Up	+$0	03-06 01:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 13:30 UTC	2	$293	293	0	+293	Down	+$1	03-10 13:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-26 21:00 UTC	5	$292	172	172	+0	Up	+$17	01-26 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:00 UTC	2	$290	294	0	+294	Down	+$4	03-08 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:20 UTC	2	$289	299	0	+299	Down	+$10	03-09 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 16:00 UTC	4	$289	293	0	+293	Down	+$4	03-05 16:10
bitcoin up or down on january 3	5	$282	406	406	+0	Down	+$38	01-02 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 22:15 UTC	2	$280	289	0	+289	Down	+$9	03-08 22:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 14:45 UTC	4	$277	288	0	+288	Up	+$11	03-05 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:30 UTC	2	$267	270	0	+270	Up	+$3	03-10 02:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC	3	$264	292	0	+292	Down	+$28	03-06 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:55 UTC	2	$257	267	0	+267	Down	+$10	03-06 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 13:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0e62c1…
07-17 13:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6e3b95…
07-17 13:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5e0fa1…
07-17 13:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4157d6…
07-17 13:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8a48cf…
07-17 13:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x33f74b…
07-17 11:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1c4bd6…
07-17 11:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7c438d…
07-17 11:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb300c7…
07-17 11:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x71e123…
07-17 10:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0132d4…
07-17 10:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb62587…
07-17 09:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xadbce3…
07-17 09:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x209fc5…
07-17 09:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc038c3…
07-17 08:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xba8c76…
07-17 08:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x20caf0…
07-17 08:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3f5999…
07-17 08:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdbeda5…
07-17 08:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf4d9e0…
07-17 07:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x28202e…
07-17 07:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x14fce0…
07-17 07:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdc9269…
07-17 07:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa3826b…
07-17 07:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x509a50…
07-17 07:11:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x46419b…
07-17 06:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf1311d…
07-17 06:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x706298…
07-17 06:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb25492…
07-17 06:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xde693b…
07-17 05:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x226e81…
07-17 05:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xce2e60…
07-17 05:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa7e379…
07-17 05:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3b102c…
07-17 05:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x68255a…
07-17 04:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x74f0e4…
07-17 03:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf9e688…
07-17 03:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5b7757…
07-17 03:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0715dd…
07-17 03:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xecf8fe…
07-17 03:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe7cce5…
07-17 02:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc9c915…
07-17 02:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x882ea4…
07-17 01:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe3d40e…
07-17 01:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8a1535…
07-17 00:47:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1be873…
07-17 00:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xaa2c82…
07-17 00:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x69802b…
07-17 00:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4a7b3c…
07-16 23:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf3fad8…
07-16 23:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x02867c…
07-16 23:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1838af…
07-16 22:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc5fbd3…
07-16 22:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0f9904…
07-16 22:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd322ce…
07-16 21:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x2fb9fc…
07-16 21:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x269012…
07-16 21:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbf2e4a…
07-16 20:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfa0a04…
07-16 20:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x285ea2…
07-16 19:47:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe38372…
07-16 19:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x848da3…
07-16 19:32:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbc1339…
07-16 18:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcc8810…
07-16 18:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x45042d…
07-16 17:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3c5717…
07-16 17:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb52ea7…
07-16 17:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbcd8e6…
07-16 17:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb61fe2…
07-16 16:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x190595…
07-16 16:36:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1536fe…
07-16 16:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x511e48…
07-16 15:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5dba52…
07-16 15:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0647b8…
07-16 15:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1ca9d5…
07-16 15:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6537bf…
07-16 15:02:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x41f5ae…
07-16 14:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x346bc0…
07-16 14:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2dae30…
07-16 14:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe4448d…
07-16 14:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x7214b0…
07-16 05:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe44c6b…
07-16 05:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd638cc…
07-16 05:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x59f2c9…
07-16 05:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcce5be…
07-16 05:26:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc362ac…
07-16 05:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x49913b…
07-16 05:18:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2aeeed…
07-16 04:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x358f95…
07-16 04:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x799ba8…
07-16 04:53:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa8b5d2…
07-16 04:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x47468e…
07-16 04:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc96f0b…
07-16 04:11:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcae208…
07-16 03:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9c3ca5…
07-16 03:27:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9c07dc…
07-16 02:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x16aad6…
07-16 02:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9e232c…
07-16 02:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0152ce…
07-16 02:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x691eb6…