Insecure-Census — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

105

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-23 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 69% +$11

Other

41% 97% -$1

Politics

1% 50% -$35

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	4	$6.4K	3,203	3,203	+0	No	-$3	02-04 03:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$4.2K	2,121	2,121	+0	No	-$2	02-04 03:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	2	$3.2K	1,602	1,602	+0	No	-$2	02-04 03:33
ethereum above 2600 on february 4	2	$3.2K	1,602	1,602	+0	No	-$2	02-04 03:47
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	-$1	02-04 03:48
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$631	334	310	+23	No	+$1	03-17 09:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:30 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	02-04 03:38
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$139	119	103	+16	No	-$35	03-17 09:45
solana above 90 on february 2	1	$114	115	0	+115	Yes	+$1	02-02 14:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:15 UTC	2	$101	213	0	+213	Down	+$1	02-04 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:00 UTC	1	$100	100	0	+100	Up	+$0	02-04 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	4	$81	163	0	+163	Down	+$7	02-28 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	4	$80	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	02-28 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:50 UTC	1	$77	78	0	+78	Up	+$1	02-28 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:55 UTC	2	$75	86	0	+86	Down	-$4	02-28 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:55 UTC	1	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	02-28 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:50 UTC	2	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	02-28 08:54
will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	02-25 08:50
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	02-25 08:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	06-23 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	05-22 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	3	$45	129	0	+129	Down	+$8	02-28 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC	2	$44	56	0	+56	Up	-$4	02-28 15:18
highest temperature in jakarta on april 20 2026 36c	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$0	04-20 08:52
highest temperature in lucknow on april 21 2026 44c	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	04-21 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 13?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-12 06:34
highest temperature in jakarta on april 20 2026 37corhigher	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-20 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-12 06:34
highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 25c	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-20 08:51
highest temperature in milan on april 21 2026 16c	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-21 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 03:27:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xef981e…
06-23 03:26:58	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0x87c23a…
05-22 13:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x123e02…
05-12 06:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4c950c…
05-12 06:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5df516…
05-12 06:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 13?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x10ae85…
05-12 06:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3af38a…
05-12 06:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5e2fcf…
04-21 09:18:32	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd12e45…
04-21 09:18:10	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1027df…
04-21 09:17:14	highest temperature in lucknow on april 21 2026 44c	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1dc8e9…
04-21 09:16:48	highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 88forhigher	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xba0750…
04-21 09:15:50	highest temperature in milan on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x12a64f…
04-20 08:52:34	highest temperature in jakarta on april 20 2026 36c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x1a8f63…
04-20 08:52:14	highest temperature in jakarta on april 20 2026 37corhigher	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x40baff…
04-20 08:51:52	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 11c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3442b9…
04-20 08:51:06	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 25c	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8a232e…
04-16 07:59:46	highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 14c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe596e8…
04-16 07:59:30	highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x966aba…
04-16 07:59:16	highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3f2fc4…
04-16 07:58:46	highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0fdc59…
04-16 07:58:28	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 17c	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6d8b2b…
04-16 07:58:16	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 16c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf9d744…
04-16 07:57:50	highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcbc7cf…
04-16 07:57:30	highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 14c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x40bf30…
04-16 07:57:16	highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe5e006…
04-16 07:56:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc18fb5…
04-16 07:56:34	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fd056…
04-16 07:56:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 24c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x45ae28…
04-16 07:56:08	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5ce955…
04-16 07:55:54	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4b1945…
04-16 07:55:42	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb0cc81…
04-16 07:55:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 11c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb1d125…
04-02 09:45:17	highest temperature in madrid on april 3 2026 16corbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc941f…
04-02 09:44:53	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5525b…
04-02 09:44:27	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 3 2026 21c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c6d3f…
04-02 09:43:59	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa40d94…
04-02 09:43:45	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 63forbelow	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9274aa…
04-02 09:43:25	highest temperature in seattle on april 3 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d49ce…
04-02 09:43:09	highest temperature in seattle on april 3 2026 45forbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79eabd…
04-02 09:42:47	highest temperature in munich on april 3 2026 8c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbbd9ea…
04-02 09:42:29	highest temperature in munich on april 3 2026 7c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf40646…
04-02 09:42:11	highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb08112…
04-02 09:41:33	highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd14d7c…
04-02 09:41:19	highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 26c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46dccf…
04-02 09:41:09	highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x74a3e3…
04-02 09:40:49	highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2cb08f…
04-02 09:40:23	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 18c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x15d900…
04-02 09:40:07	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 17c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6639ce…
04-02 09:39:49	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 16corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6d708…
04-02 09:38:59	highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 14c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d3c37…
04-02 09:38:31	highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x917345…
04-02 09:38:13	highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97230a…
04-02 09:37:57	highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 39forbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d1e63…
04-02 09:37:33	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 13c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8224b6…
04-02 09:37:21	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1d640e…
04-02 09:36:59	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 8c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xccb11e…
04-02 09:36:43	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x067f4a…
04-02 09:36:23	highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 11c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf53a5e…
04-02 09:36:05	highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 10c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa60983…
04-02 09:35:39	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 2c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25eb4b…
04-02 09:35:19	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 1c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x79c301…
04-02 09:35:03	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 neg 1corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x632fd2…
03-25 10:28:25	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x07e23e…
03-17 09:50:59	will meituan have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc589f7…
03-17 09:50:45	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x56115f…
03-17 09:50:27	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x836d61…
03-17 09:50:07	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x403488…
03-17 09:49:53	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x058936…
03-17 09:49:35	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x08cb85…
03-17 09:49:21	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc4d398…
03-17 09:49:09	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xae7186…
03-17 09:48:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x90b20b…
03-17 09:48:41	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x377b04…
03-17 09:48:31	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe28df4…
03-17 09:48:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x45b3f1…
03-17 09:46:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc0b3e7…
03-17 09:46:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x717988…
03-17 09:45:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5b9fe4…
03-02 05:13:11	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	103	43¢	$44	0xa1c137…
02-28 15:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0b5091…
02-28 15:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd4961d…
02-28 15:11:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x3e64dc…
02-28 15:08:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xcee046…
02-28 15:06:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xff8f95…
02-28 15:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x17c861…
02-28 14:55:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8debb8…
02-28 14:53:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4fa1a6…
02-28 14:52:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x30f647…
02-28 14:48:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb49f94…
02-28 10:14:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x952167…
02-28 10:06:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe2ab6b…
02-28 10:05:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xc99104…
02-28 10:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x163857…
02-28 09:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x39af2b…
02-28 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x24113d…
02-28 09:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0025da…
02-28 09:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xc30031…
02-28 09:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x4dbfff…
02-28 09:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc3df05…