Physical-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$6.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$232

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-19 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$0

Politics

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	+113	$100	93¢	$104	+$4	06-19 08:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-54	$-52	96¢	$-51	+$0	06-12 15:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	+26	$25	99¢	$26	+$1	05-29 11:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	-27	$-23	95¢	$-26	$-3	06-16 10:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	+26	$25	98¢	$25	+$0	06-19 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	47	$901	454	454	+0	open	—	01-27 22:51
highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	189	$515	557	221	+335	open	—	01-27 21:41
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$475	281	252	+28	open	—	05-12 15:31
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	2	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	05-19 11:40
maduro in us custody by january 31	4	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-03 16:40
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$181	82	102	-20	open	—	01-27 10:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	03-18 18:04
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	3	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	01-04 10:31
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$118	21	100	-79	open	—	01-26 12:09
highest temperature in atlanta on january 27 42 43f	24	$115	171	0	+171	open	—	01-27 20:56
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	3	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 18:04
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	01-18 15:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	05-29 11:13
cs2 g2 nem 2026 04 01	3	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-01 12:05
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 14:18
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	2	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	06-19 08:10
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-27 12:48
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	01-04 12:46
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	01-23 18:23
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	5	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	01-26 12:39
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$61	21	43	-22	open	—	03-11 15:19
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	6	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	01-15 21:47
highest temperature in atlanta on january 27 40 41f	11	$55	5,490	0	+5,490	open	—	01-27 20:54
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-17 15:07
highest temperature in london on january 27 9corhigher	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	01-27 15:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	04-02 10:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$52	0	54	-54	open	—	06-12 15:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	03-09 21:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	06-19 08:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-31 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 08:10:38	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xd2afe6…
06-19 08:06:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x21d197…
06-19 08:03:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x93ca81…
06-19 08:03:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xbaf530…
06-19 07:42:11	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4aa667…
06-16 10:53:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x6de629…
06-15 09:28:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa2f7e2…
06-12 15:41:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x762b0e…
06-12 15:37:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x058e57…
05-29 14:01:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x76d193…
05-29 11:14:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3892f2…
05-29 11:13:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe2f2dd…
05-29 11:13:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4b436c…
05-21 15:59:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x87b04f…
05-21 15:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x96bd6a…
05-21 12:50:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xeec40c…
05-19 11:40:25	Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	97¢	$104	0x249d07…
05-19 08:02:24	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e4733…
05-18 20:08:54	Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe8a8eb…
05-12 15:31:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x6951fa…
05-12 15:07:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	252	89¢	$225	0x3b459a…
05-12 15:02:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0xc85276…
05-12 13:51:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x8528a6…
04-27 12:48:38	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa7ad9d…
04-27 08:34:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x81dbfd…
04-20 14:18:32	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x5d2728…
04-02 14:25:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x5d35e7…
04-02 10:30:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xcffebb…
04-02 10:29:49	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x208bec…
04-02 10:29:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xda1b7b…
04-01 12:05:29	cs2 g2 nem 2026 04 01	G2	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xdc7d9d…
04-01 11:28:41	cs2 g2 nem 2026 04 01	G2	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x795c22…
04-01 11:27:17	lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	T1	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1f4d6b…
04-01 11:25:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8099a7…
04-01 11:24:17	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6e27c1…
04-01 11:22:59	cs2 g2 nem 2026 04 01	G2	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9ca33f…
04-01 11:22:15	lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	T1	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc2acae…
03-31 13:33:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0xdab81a…
03-31 13:32:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x538971…
03-31 13:30:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xebc1e6…
03-31 13:30:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0658d2…
03-19 11:12:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4be409…
03-18 18:04:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xe6e77c…
03-18 18:04:13	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf5e71e…
03-18 12:54:21	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1c14fc…
03-18 12:53:53	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x4133c4…
03-17 16:02:09	will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x795e05…
03-17 16:01:49	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f869a…
03-17 16:01:19	will starmer say abramovich during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb4c706…
03-17 16:01:05	will starmer say iran during the next prime ministers questions event 944	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb5d0a…
03-17 15:07:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x4f3487…
03-17 15:07:05	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x48c142…
03-17 15:05:31	pltr up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x486a84…
03-17 15:04:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5007c8…
03-16 07:29:53	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x7bfa25…
03-12 09:53:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11d73a…
03-11 15:20:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6eb7d2…
03-11 15:19:31	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ceb82…
03-11 15:19:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6748b0…
03-09 21:17:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x2d20a6…
03-09 19:40:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0c1138…
03-09 09:26:31	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5acd3e…
03-09 09:26:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5c00d2…
03-09 09:25:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xac5ce7…
03-09 09:25:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xcb05dd…
03-09 09:23:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0bfa39…
03-09 09:23:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9647b9…
03-09 09:21:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe2e979…
02-27 13:09:59	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa1b93…
02-27 13:07:19	will seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd3409…
02-27 13:07:05	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x68ae1d…
02-27 13:06:35	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x53dab3…
02-27 13:06:23	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x940a7a…
02-27 12:42:19	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x0e8769…
02-24 13:29:36	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc93715…
02-24 13:28:50	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c36de…
02-24 13:28:18	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x678e3f…
02-24 13:27:22	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x778ce1…
02-24 13:26:50	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb8749…
02-24 13:25:16	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf3c9f2…
02-24 11:28:42	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x214f7a…
02-17 13:19:45	btc updown 5m 1771334100	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8abec…
02-17 13:05:53	will trump say n word in february	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xad3994…
02-17 09:48:01	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x953d7c…
02-17 09:45:05	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x7f9b3b…
01-27 22:51:29	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xc8f0b3…
01-27 22:38:15	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xc786aa…
01-27 22:37:31	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6cb9b9…
01-27 22:37:09	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x4c2026…
01-27 22:36:25	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x838dac…
01-27 22:29:43	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 44 45f	No	SELL	75	100¢	$74	0xbd9afd…
01-27 21:41:01	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x11e5b5…
01-27 21:40:51	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x05dd9c…
01-27 21:40:45	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6a66cb…
01-27 21:40:41	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	157	60¢	$94	0x14d565…
01-27 21:32:37	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0x53c8f5…
01-27 21:32:19	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xf3648d…
01-27 21:31:55	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x7f1249…
01-27 21:31:55	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x73338a…
01-27 21:31:53	highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x56eee9…