Lumbering-Spring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$606

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

355

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-31 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

94% 31% -$505

Sports

6% 27% -$94

Politics

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners first half total 4pt5	1	$200	423	0	+423	Under	-$200	06-23 19:11
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	2	$191	204	100	+104	Chelsea FC	+$95	10-10 15:29
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	3	$62	100	61	+39	AFC Bournemouth	+$57	10-18 14:09
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	2	$54	200	200	+0	No	+$2	10-24 17:44
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	4	$50	61	26	+35	No	+$25	09-10 18:24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	3	$49	100	0	+100	No	-$49	10-24 08:20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	4	$47	50	50	+0	No	-$2	09-06 14:44
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	2	$46	111	0	+111	Over	-$46	10-17 16:15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$46	111	0	+111	Yes	-$46	10-17 13:55
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	3	$42	85	0	+85	Under	+$43	10-21 17:39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?	4	$41	31	31	+0	No	+$11	09-19 12:58
epl bre tot 2026 08 22 total 4pt5	1	$40	100	0	+100	Under	-$40	08-22 17:44
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	1	$40	93	0	+93	No	-$40	10-01 17:59
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	1	$40	105	0	+105	No	-$40	08-23 14:16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	1	$40	78	0	+78	Yes	+$38	08-24 16:51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	1	$39	130	0	+130	Yes	+$91	10-17 15:41
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	1	$39	130	0	+130	No	-$39	10-25 15:03
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	10-25 13:40
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	3	$39	60	16	+44	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	-$14	08-30 14:38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$37	38	38	+0	No	$0	09-12 16:36
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$36	51	0	+51	Yes	-$36	06-06 15:06
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	1	$35	90	0	+90	Yes	-$35	10-03 18:14
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	1	$35	85	0	+85	Czechia	+$50	10-03 13:29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	8	$34	150	0	+150	No	-$34	10-22 17:54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	4	$34	70	0	+70	Yes	-$34	10-14 15:45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$33	52	25	+27	No	-$17	05-09 12:53
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half team total home 0pt5	2	$32	22	22	+0	Under	+$12	07-09 21:28
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	1	$32	70	0	+70	Over	-$32	10-24 17:04
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	1	$30	62	0	+62	Manchester City FC	+$32	10-11 16:53
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	1	$30	36	0	+36	Under	+$6	06-30 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:52:36	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xec3653…
10-31 19:52:10	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x370fe2…
10-31 19:48:15	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xe76bdf…
10-31 18:56:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3428cd…
10-31 18:51:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x29ec5a…
10-31 17:23:33	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x392105…
10-31 16:59:42	Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1bc7ff…
10-31 16:42:06	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf598f5…
10-31 16:09:52	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x9f455c…
10-31 16:06:39	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1ecbaa…
10-31 14:51:39	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x8f4873…
10-31 13:56:03	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0b54b9…
10-28 18:45:26	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xc0c0e6…
10-28 18:45:26	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x4a68f7…
10-28 18:38:32	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0xc34453…
10-26 17:38:50	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x99081f…
10-26 17:18:54	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	75	10¢	$8	0xa6b5cf…
10-26 14:21:06	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x110d3e…
10-25 15:03:33	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0x17c8ae…
10-25 13:57:32	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x6842d0…
10-25 13:40:41	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x4a2838…
10-25 10:25:27	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x9b03ea…
10-24 17:44:23	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xbee3bd…
10-24 17:04:53	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xf1afc6…
10-24 16:19:56	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x09aeb1…
10-24 14:54:48	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x55e2c2…
10-24 14:34:39	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x40d059…
10-24 14:34:38	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xca8735…
10-24 14:32:18	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xa60363…
10-24 14:04:03	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0x4cd195…
10-24 14:03:35	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x1b4bf3…
10-24 13:42:30	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xed42f9…
10-24 13:42:30	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x9bb18b…
10-24 13:42:30	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x40e482…
10-24 13:06:20	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb5da10…
10-24 12:44:38	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x44958b…
10-24 10:55:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xef080c…
10-24 10:55:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x88490e…
10-24 08:20:27	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x661dcb…
10-24 07:49:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xba8bee…
10-24 07:38:56	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xf98ccb…
10-22 17:54:21	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xb782f4…
10-22 17:54:21	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x97af46…
10-22 17:54:18	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc47062…
10-22 17:54:18	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x2e21ce…
10-22 16:45:54	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xb64acf…
10-22 16:38:14	Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x34cd05…
10-22 16:30:12	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xa37559…
10-22 16:20:05	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	73	23¢	$17	0x55cfbb…
10-22 16:10:15	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xaf1883…
10-21 17:58:05	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x3cae2a…
10-21 17:39:00	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0xfff166…
10-21 17:04:42	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb45fec…
10-21 16:56:53	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x334f4d…
10-20 17:11:20	Will PSV win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0xf76bee…
10-20 16:53:48	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x6e8a6e…
10-20 16:50:12	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc5d6b7…
10-19 20:24:56	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x0170d0…
10-19 20:19:44	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x80c5bb…
10-19 20:12:26	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x3ff2f3…
10-19 20:06:48	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9688ea…
10-19 20:05:33	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x4adfde…
10-19 20:05:24	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$2	0x97ca32…
10-19 19:27:59	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x40b9a2…
10-18 17:13:38	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb60df5…
10-18 16:55:33	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xa8356e…
10-18 15:49:51	Nottingham Forest FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7e5060…
10-18 14:09:24	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	35	70¢	$24	0x1acea2…
10-18 13:47:41	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xc9e754…
10-18 12:58:54	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xc90aa2…
10-18 12:44:15	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xaee4f2…
10-18 11:22:50	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0xdfbbce…
10-17 18:05:02	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0xea7564…
10-17 16:15:03	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x3ec443…
10-17 16:11:09	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x7e1325…
10-17 16:04:51	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x09e809…
10-17 16:04:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xa62d0e…
10-17 15:41:33	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0x241430…
10-17 13:55:36	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x9cca8f…
10-17 13:37:41	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x1a8f12…
10-17 13:33:41	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x06c243…
10-17 13:33:32	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x7a5f14…
10-17 13:31:54	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x38c271…
10-17 11:02:00	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa66927…
10-17 10:28:47	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xb26614…
10-17 10:28:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x77f0fc…
10-16 16:35:24	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xeba16b…
10-16 16:35:13	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x34685f…
10-14 19:23:46	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xad1743…
10-14 19:23:46	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x26e13c…
10-14 19:12:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x50e11d…
10-14 18:55:37	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0xc4e670…
10-14 18:43:39	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xad348a…
10-14 18:39:16	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7625b3…
10-14 15:45:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x985495…
10-14 15:45:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0b4d10…
10-14 15:45:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xab5f86…
10-14 15:43:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7a762d…
10-13 20:13:30	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x5664da…
10-13 20:13:12	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd4871b…