Ambitious-Hazel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 09-03 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 33% -$1,031

Tech

11% 0% -$309

Sports

10% 0% -$218

Other

3% 0% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1000	1,029	0	+1,029	Up	+$29	05-15 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$412	509	0	+509	Up	-$412	05-15 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$400	531	0	+531	Up	-$400	05-15 18:53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$292	2,358	2,358	+0	No	-$208	07-15 20:54
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$200	4,085	0	+4,085	No	-$200	06-29 23:41
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	2	$109	2,474	0	+2,474	Yes	-$109	07-08 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$102	774	0	+774	Up	-$102	05-15 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	1,098	0	+1,098	Down	-$100	05-15 19:03
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?	1	$40	58	0	+58	No	-$40	09-03 19:54
grok 4pt4 released by july 17 148	1	$35	549	0	+549	Yes	-$35	07-08 08:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$20	619	0	+619	Down	-$20	05-15 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	05-16 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$12	699	0	+699	Up	-$12	05-16 11:04
will turkiye reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134482	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	06-05 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$1	05-20 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-19 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	05-20 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Down	$0	05-20 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$7	16	0	+16	Down	-$1	05-20 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$7	15	11	+4	Up	-$1	05-20 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$5	6	4	+3	Down	$0	05-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	05-19 21:46
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	1	$5	714	0	+714	No	-$5	06-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-17 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-19 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	-$4	05-16 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	+$5	05-18 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	05-22 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$0	05-20 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	Down	-$2	05-16 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 19:54:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	68¢	$40	0x4a6cb0…
07-15 20:54:17	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,358	2¢	$42	0x977f21…
07-08 08:51:49	grok 4pt4 released by july 17 148	No	BUY	549	6¢	$35	0xe65780…
07-08 08:49:07	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,742	5¢	$80	0xf69de3…
07-08 08:31:13	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	BUY	732	4¢	$29	0x29c9fa…
06-29 23:41:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,085	5¢	$200	0x358501…
06-11 20:29:13	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x10eb79…
06-11 19:56:37	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,358	11¢	$250	0x3e7952…
06-05 21:28:49	will turkiye reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134482	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x7b5634…
05-22 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x491189…
05-22 10:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc375b0…
05-20 21:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc73fbd…
05-20 21:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xacb8d1…
05-20 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3db431…
05-20 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdcaa7f…
05-20 21:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x82223a…
05-20 21:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a1191…
05-20 21:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x81d061…
05-20 21:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6d6bdf…
05-20 21:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xad9dcb…
05-20 21:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b60bd…
05-20 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x6577d2…
05-20 21:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3812cc…
05-20 21:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9e07ae…
05-20 21:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6e7205…
05-19 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc7ff62…
05-19 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa6f8a5…
05-19 19:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x97a59b…
05-19 19:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x498eb5…
05-19 19:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf0d3a2…
05-19 19:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6a41d6…
05-19 17:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1c4454…
05-19 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf8fa85…
05-18 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x1b7339…
05-18 20:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x22f4f1…
05-18 20:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbf85fa…
05-18 20:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcf8b09…
05-18 20:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x1ce1b0…
05-18 20:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc1f950…
05-18 19:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa7d4e2…
05-18 19:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x56d749…
05-18 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x74384d…
05-18 06:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7f4133…
05-17 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3a4821…
05-17 17:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8fe701…
05-17 17:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdc6318…
05-17 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x28a02e…
05-16 18:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x16825e…
05-16 18:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9b7db5…
05-16 16:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4dfd4d…
05-16 13:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb43b7e…
05-16 12:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfa6b27…
05-16 12:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3e8d74…
05-16 12:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1d23d6…
05-16 12:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7b749f…
05-16 12:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7d4eb1…
05-16 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xae6de8…
05-16 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x42e58a…
05-16 11:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdcd33a…
05-16 11:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7a4214…
05-16 11:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xed1fbd…
05-16 11:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x442452…
05-16 11:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3fab3d…
05-16 11:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x260a24…
05-16 11:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x539181…
05-16 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x09babc…
05-16 11:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0x9ea1a2…
05-16 11:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8dd833…
05-15 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,098	9¢	$100	0xdcaf90…
05-15 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xfd7135…
05-15 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe6d4ae…
05-15 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x7c3bac…
05-15 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x103397…
05-15 18:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd7a813…
05-15 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	754	13¢	$100	0x45acf8…
05-15 17:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	509	81¢	$412	0x472db2…
05-15 17:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	369	3¢	$10	0x24dc5e…
05-15 17:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xa62ce3…
05-15 17:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x21050e…
05-15 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,029	97¢	$1,000	0xec5100…