Mellow-Drama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

9,763

Trades

15,925

lifetime

Volume

$97.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$46

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 11-09 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$2,564

Other

0% 35% -$137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 684 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	—	+30	$15	98¢	$29	+$14	11-09 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	—	+16	$8	98¢	$16	+$8	11-09 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	—	+58	$23	2¢	$1	-$23	11-09 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$157	1,852	+1,852	Down	-$157	09-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$150	174	+174	Down	+$24	09-10 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$150	153	+153	Down	+$3	09-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 06:20 UTC	1	$150	153	+153	Up	+$3	09-21 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$150	153	+153	Down	+$3	10-04 03:29
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$150	153	+153	Down	+$3	09-11 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$150	158	+158	Up	+$8	10-13 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 03:45 UTC	1	$150	158	+158	Down	+$8	09-26 03:59
XRP Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$150	173	+173	Down	+$23	09-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$150	165	+165	Down	+$16	10-11 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	1	$150	161	+161	Down	+$11	09-21 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:00 UTC	1	$150	171	+171	Up	+$21	09-21 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$149	155	+155	Up	+$5	09-21 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$149	156	+156	Down	+$6	10-10 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$149	164	+164	Down	+$15	10-03 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$131	134	+134	Up	+$3	09-23 21:29
Solana Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$129	144	+144	Up	+$15	10-01 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$125	137	+137	Down	+$12	09-20 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$125	129	+129	Up	+$4	09-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$116	150	+150	Up	+$26	09-22 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 06:45 UTC	1	$111	114	+114	Up	+$3	09-25 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	22	$110	301	+301	Down	-$26	11-09 04:52
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$104	277	+277	Down	+$168	05-12 00:43
Solana Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$102	109	+109	Up	+$8	10-02 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 22:05 UTC	2	$101	1,059	+1,059	Down	-$101	04-03 22:07
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$100	229	+229	Down	-$100	05-12 01:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:35 UTC	1	$100	175	+175	Down	-$100	04-05 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	26	$100	224	+224	Down	+$9	11-09 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 02:55 UTC	1	$88	90	+90	Up	+$2	09-21 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$88	220	+220	Down	-$88	05-17 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x83c075…
11-09 20:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd090af…
11-09 20:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf7ed29…
11-09 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xe3cb99…
11-09 20:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x8a3aa4…
11-09 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x47ffb0…
11-09 20:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xd67ea1…
11-09 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x96b8cf…
11-09 20:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x173fc2…
11-09 20:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x54d9f7…
11-09 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb9a2c7…
11-09 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd3590c…
11-09 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x368919…
11-09 20:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7f4d54…
11-09 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xac01db…
11-09 20:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x1b4106…
11-09 20:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x6eb5bc…
11-09 20:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x59d3ea…
11-09 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x763af2…
11-09 20:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x6def97…
11-09 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x4b096d…
11-09 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x25e57f…
11-09 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x774f41…
11-09 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x3ea729…
11-09 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe02bcb…
11-09 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x92f10e…
11-09 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x4ffce8…
11-09 20:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xc04383…
11-09 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xbf1c7b…
11-09 20:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xecda46…
11-09 19:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x729c43…
11-09 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5ad3fb…
11-09 19:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xbabe0f…
11-09 19:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbdeca2…
11-09 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xbc48fb…
11-09 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xa6539b…
11-09 19:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb28003…
11-09 19:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xf7b89a…
11-09 19:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa99a6d…
11-09 19:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x5805fc…
11-09 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x24efc1…
11-09 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfe157b…
11-09 10:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x34441f…
11-09 09:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf6d33d…
11-09 09:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x258eaa…
11-09 09:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xba5f49…
11-09 09:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6ba621…
11-09 09:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xf73f85…
11-09 09:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xa652dd…
11-09 09:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x0d0a0f…
11-09 09:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9c7f2e…
11-09 09:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd2ee3e…
11-09 09:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x91b9fc…
11-09 09:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97c103…
11-09 09:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x7bac77…
11-09 09:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x709897…
11-09 09:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0df322…
11-09 09:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x8ba952…
11-09 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xe2a44e…
11-09 09:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x16aa62…
11-09 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0x347344…
11-09 09:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x2693de…
11-09 09:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xd1a1ee…
11-09 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2dc911…
11-09 09:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x8585fc…
11-09 09:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe52bf1…
11-09 09:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe04a8c…
11-09 09:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf678ac…
11-09 09:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x88d26d…
11-09 09:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x872461…
11-09 09:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4b0b04…
11-09 09:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x529483…
11-09 09:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x62cad2…
11-09 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x3be6ce…
11-09 09:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xf81f6d…
11-09 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5644cc…
11-09 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x318500…
11-09 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x87eb31…
11-09 09:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xb4aca5…
11-09 09:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3f85cf…
11-09 09:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x05201a…
11-09 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x4127a1…
11-09 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x1b9bb8…
11-09 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x02bc61…
11-09 09:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x456da4…
11-09 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xf11cec…
11-09 09:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x342e0b…
11-09 09:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x8a1ca3…
11-09 09:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd64baf…
11-09 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x92365a…
11-09 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x333e55…
11-09 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc69831…
11-09 08:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6154b4…
11-09 08:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x144598…
11-09 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0xfd936a…
11-09 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xbd7fe6…
11-09 08:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2e0d2a…
11-09 08:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x9f8bc3…
11-09 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xb577c4…
11-09 08:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbe2bea…