Obvious-Bun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

306

Trades

7,964

lifetime

Volume

$72.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-10 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 68% $-129

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	46	$2.9K	3,409	0	+3,409	open	—	05-01 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	30	$2.1K	2,676	0	+2,676	open	—	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	32	$1.6K	48,533	0	+48,533	open	—	05-01 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	29	$1.4K	1,465	0	+1,465	open	—	05-01 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	37	$1.3K	15,361	0	+15,361	open	—	05-01 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	25	$1.1K	2,154	0	+2,154	open	—	05-01 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	25	$716	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	05-01 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	17	$483	584	0	+584	open	—	05-01 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	24	$478	722	0	+722	open	—	05-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	14	$475	765	0	+765	open	—	05-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$404	486	0	+486	open	—	05-01 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	32	$402	484	241	+243	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	16	$402	518	0	+518	open	—	05-01 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	11	$380	530	0	+530	open	—	05-01 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$375	652	0	+652	open	—	05-01 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$356	386	0	+386	open	—	05-01 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	9	$341	447	0	+447	open	—	05-01 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$335	722	0	+722	open	—	05-01 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	13	$280	364	0	+364	open	—	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$269	329	0	+329	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	9	$255	390	0	+390	open	—	05-01 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	22	$221	360	110	+250	open	—	05-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	15	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	05-04 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	7	$206	477	0	+477	open	—	05-01 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$194	213	212	+1	open	—	05-01 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$160	494	0	+494	open	—	05-01 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	12	$160	486	0	+486	open	—	05-04 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$160	175	0	+175	open	—	05-01 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	31	$155	272	0	+272	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	18	$154	182	43	+138	open	—	05-04 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6649bd…
05-10 10:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x135247…
05-10 10:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5b2532…
05-10 10:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x525301…
05-10 10:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa7a623…
05-10 10:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7fd4eb…
05-10 10:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x797288…
05-10 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x17f23c…
05-10 10:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x23987c…
05-10 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7de678…
05-10 09:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x19c144…
05-10 09:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf7d724…
05-10 09:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xceb911…
05-10 09:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4ba812…
05-10 09:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x81dcab…
05-10 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5b982a…
05-10 09:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf49aec…
05-10 09:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6187dc…
05-10 09:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3ffe1c…
05-10 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3f8f28…
05-10 09:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa84fa7…
05-10 08:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf15107…
05-10 08:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe7af13…
05-10 08:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa5ccb2…
05-10 08:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x970fb5…
05-10 08:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc7a2bc…
05-10 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd48eff…
05-10 08:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9dac85…
05-10 08:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2e18da…
05-10 08:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x13000e…
05-10 08:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x561dc3…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x511a00…
05-10 08:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfad389…
05-10 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12fe1c…
05-10 08:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x56b9a1…
05-10 08:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x43b280…
05-10 08:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x267bad…
05-10 08:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb5f3bf…
05-10 08:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x077c54…
05-10 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x712d17…
05-10 07:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x957f2d…
05-10 07:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeefe88…
05-10 07:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x99a153…
05-10 07:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8b58fc…
05-10 07:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x82c8db…
05-10 07:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x66a2ba…
05-10 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x323331…
05-10 07:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x897ad1…
05-10 07:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3d671d…
05-10 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x65c5e9…
05-10 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2ee868…
05-10 07:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x769dcb…
05-10 07:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa43f8c…
05-10 06:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe5e11e…
05-10 06:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x18dc1f…
05-10 06:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb8a40d…
05-10 06:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e89b5…
05-10 06:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc23649…
05-10 06:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5ee6d4…
05-10 06:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9a53b0…
05-10 06:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6b78ff…
05-10 06:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x84cc0f…
05-10 06:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe918f0…
05-10 06:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x646e1a…
05-10 06:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf9bb55…
05-10 06:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe6e5da…
05-10 06:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9e1870…
05-10 06:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x80c9d1…
05-10 05:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x46fd8b…
05-10 05:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcf2ea3…
05-10 05:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcc8060…
05-10 05:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd2a852…
05-10 05:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7e78a0…
05-10 05:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf1ad2c…
05-10 05:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9bed0d…
05-10 05:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x926377…
05-10 05:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1316a5…
05-10 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x026c7a…
05-10 05:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x174003…
05-10 05:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x168fcf…
05-10 05:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb68b58…
05-10 05:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x93cb83…
05-10 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf7001e…
05-10 04:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4c99c2…
05-10 04:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x52b840…
05-10 04:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6cb06…
05-10 04:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x093708…
05-10 04:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x78f89a…
05-10 04:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x49c96e…
05-10 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xffc403…
05-10 04:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x451e02…
05-10 04:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4a07a7…
05-10 04:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4c5722…
05-10 04:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe065e9…
05-10 04:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf92e1c…
05-10 03:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x453cea…
05-10 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x19ccdf…
05-10 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdc6033…
05-10 03:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x893a2a…
05-10 03:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf22acd…