Bumpy-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$514

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

430

Trades

612

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$72

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-07 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

76% 31% -$482

Sports

18% 40% +$213

Crypto

3% 27% -$194

Politics

2% 60% -$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+3,168	$100	2¢	$65	-$35	11-04 22:37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+167	$30	4¢	$8	-$22	10-06 09:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	4	$681	1,164	975	+189	Belgium	+$427	07-01 22:37
Will France win on 2026-10-05?	2	$468	400	400	+0	Yes	+$268	10-05 20:30
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	5	$438	916	358	+557	Argentina	+$234	07-15 20:57
will senegal win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	5	$419	503	324	+179	Yes	+$113	01-18 21:45
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$341	308	308	+0	Carlos Prates	+$21	05-02 13:52
fl1 tou rcl 2026 01 02 rcl	2	$291	242	242	+0	Yes	+$131	01-02 21:17
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$276	502	0	+502	Yes	+$226	05-30 14:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	1	$240	358	0	+358	Yes	+$118	09-20 19:12
acn mli sen 2026 01 09 sen	2	$238	161	161	+0	Yes	+$58	01-09 17:14
fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$204	164	160	+3	Racing Club de Lens	+$88	04-24 20:16
ucl olm1 liv1 2026 01 21 liv1	4	$203	140	140	+0	Yes	+$66	01-21 21:34
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$136	06-14 21:49
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$175	359	0	+359	Yes	+$184	06-29 18:50
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	2	$165	97	97	+0	Yes	+$25	01-21 21:36
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	2	$158	382	0	+382	No	+$224	02-10 21:58
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$153	129	129	+0	No	-$7	01-14 15:42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	2	$150	1,008	0	+1,008	No	-$150	05-05 19:53
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$145	1,772	0	+1,772	England	-$145	07-18 21:50
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$140	275	0	+275	England	+$135	07-05 22:30
ucl olm1 liv1 2026 01 21 draw	4	$132	232	232	+0	No	+$16	01-21 20:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$130	211	0	+211	No	-$130	11-02 23:32
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	1	$130	419	0	+419	Movsar Evloev	-$130	03-21 22:34
ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 bay	3	$127	68	68	+0	Yes	+$7	01-21 21:37
ucl cfc1 paf1 2026 01 21 cfc1	2	$124	68	68	+0	Yes	+$4	01-21 21:37
cde tou ami 2026 02 04 tou	2	$122	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	02-04 21:07
ucl spo1 psg1 2026 01 20 psg1	2	$122	220	0	+220	No	-$122	01-20 21:30
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$120	353	0	+353	Switzerland	-$120	07-02 21:26
acn mar tan 2026 01 04 mar	1	$120	138	0	+138	Yes	+$18	01-04 15:53
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	2	$114	109	109	+0	Yes	+$44	10-22 18:16
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$110	164	0	+164	Yes	+$54	06-15 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 14:19:34	Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xecc238…
11-06 21:03:24	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0xf89b2c…
11-06 20:40:03	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0x260d4d…
11-06 19:25:22	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	392	17¢	$67	0x1f9263…
11-06 19:24:46	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x3b3ee6…
11-04 23:11:52	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x466b7c…
11-04 23:09:10	Will Afghanistan win?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x93f74c…
11-04 23:08:48	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0x8b23dd…
11-04 23:00:45	Toledo vs. Sacramento State	Sacramento State	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xc8cefa…
11-04 22:37:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,168	3¢	$100	0x43be10…
11-04 21:53:12	Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xf12b12…
11-04 21:52:49	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	893	3¢	$25	0x246d5a…
11-04 21:52:22	Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	216	7¢	$15	0x84af92…
11-04 21:51:54	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x5a5842…
11-04 20:36:03	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	317	12¢	$38	0x37db91…
11-02 23:32:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	61¢	$130	0x878d85…
11-02 21:33:28	Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x00afe3…
11-02 21:32:46	Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x58e394…
10-24 19:08:05	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x851ade…
10-24 18:47:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x5472da…
10-23 19:46:38	Spread: En Avant Guingamp (-2.5)	En Avant Guingamp	BUY	600	10¢	$60	0xd224a7…
10-23 19:39:33	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	733	4¢	$30	0x7c827e…
10-22 20:34:32	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x162d61…
10-22 20:32:57	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x3fb433…
10-22 20:30:59	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x75164a…
10-22 18:42:50	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xf20c10…
10-22 18:19:29	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x717299…
10-22 18:16:56	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xb41462…
10-22 18:16:24	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	109	72¢	$79	0x8bfb17…
10-22 16:37:02	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x2272f7…
10-22 16:36:45	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0xcb801b…
10-21 21:51:03	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xf4fc63…
10-20 22:16:14	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0xc53780…
10-20 22:15:41	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xe03a04…
10-19 22:02:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xe56743…
10-19 22:02:16	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xcaed7b…
10-19 22:01:36	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0xce24ca…
10-19 22:00:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xccc307…
10-19 22:00:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,029	5¢	$51	0xc8c00e…
10-17 09:52:21	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x6605b3…
10-17 09:48:21	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xdc9907…
10-17 09:47:36	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xb2e2d7…
10-16 18:29:54	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0xdc14ba…
10-16 17:50:51	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	143	42¢	$60	0x45d0ef…
10-14 21:23:42	Will IR Tanger win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x366df8…
10-14 21:23:30	Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	259	27¢	$70	0x5d6edd…
10-14 20:33:03	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$20	0x85e82e…
10-14 20:12:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x28f449…
10-13 20:41:31	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x7b38fb…
10-13 20:40:48	Will Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xccd599…
10-13 19:39:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x9f9106…
10-13 19:34:24	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xcf635d…
10-13 19:33:22	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x3b3ac1…
10-13 19:31:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x0663ad…
10-12 16:11:27	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xfffbff…
10-12 16:08:08	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0xdfce85…
10-11 20:30:03	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	583	12¢	$70	0xfce426…
10-11 19:57:00	Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	225	8¢	$18	0xb06918…
10-09 20:16:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	625	5¢	$30	0xa75cc4…
10-09 18:25:52	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcf1b79…
10-09 15:12:21	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xad600d…
10-06 22:03:39	Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd56ac0…
10-06 22:03:14	Will United States win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd809f9…
10-06 20:24:38	Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0x35ecea…
10-06 18:23:33	Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa4ee5f…
10-06 09:12:58	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x819a0d…
10-06 09:11:40	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xf8c0b5…
10-05 22:07:50	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xc40132…
10-05 21:13:40	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	942	2¢	$20	0xc5a992…
10-05 20:30:31	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0xa404d8…
10-05 20:03:26	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xada2fc…
10-05 15:13:56	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	942	3¢	$30	0x0a678f…
10-04 02:44:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	288	8¢	$23	0xbf6c48…
10-04 01:48:16	UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	438	16¢	$70	0x821d4f…
10-04 01:26:05	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xf61dd3…
10-04 01:25:53	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	76	28¢	$21	0x2e9016…
10-04 00:57:11	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Khaos Williams	BUY	120	37¢	$45	0x0e342d…
09-30 21:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4caafa…
09-30 21:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x60117b…
09-30 21:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	342	7¢	$25	0x66be3d…
09-29 21:21:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xffa52c…
09-29 21:17:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xea90ef…
09-29 21:09:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd3de9f…
09-29 21:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfa24a1…
09-29 21:05:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3561d4…
09-29 21:03:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xd76ade…
09-29 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x8647a6…
09-29 20:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb7bfdf…
09-29 20:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	53	73¢	$39	0x218662…
09-29 20:56:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb319c8…
09-29 20:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xb9aa4b…
09-29 20:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe3d974…
09-29 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda66f0…
09-29 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d3fe1…
09-29 20:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6f4aa8…
09-29 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x389d4e…
09-29 20:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8057ea…
09-29 20:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x095768…
09-29 20:44:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0x97c3c7…
09-29 20:42:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	102	67¢	$68	0xdbbe91…