Grown-Portion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$1.51K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

51% 71% +$699

Crypto

47% 86% +$1,863

Politics

2% 100% +$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-460	-$437	98¢	$-452	-$15	07-25 15:32
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-426	-$411	97¢	$-415	-$4	08-03 19:54
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-400	-$360	96¢	$-386	-$26	06-17 11:11
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	+315	$248	82¢	$258	+$9	11-03 08:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	16	$3.8K	4,585	0	+4,585	open	—	10-06 09:51
Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,163	426	+737	open	—	10-22 07:20
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.3K	1,610	392	+1,218	open	—	10-11 07:54
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.2K	1,030	758	+273	open	—	11-02 17:37
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?	15	$1.1K	1,322	192	+1,130	No	+$302	09-12 06:26
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$272	03-10 21:39
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	4	$913	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	10-12 22:46
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	5	$878	633	292	+341	No	+$41	06-21 11:37
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	5	$834	500	500	-0	Yes	+$163	08-06 18:46
Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	4	$702	200	742	-542	Yes	+$52	05-06 11:44
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	12	$610	901	461	+439	Yes	-$10	09-01 18:41
will the bitcoin volatility index hit 55 by august 31	4	$608	759	0	+759	No	+$151	08-17 13:23
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	6	$542	689	0	+689	No	+$147	01-13 13:04
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	5	$503	750	0	+750	open	—	10-16 16:06
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$489	300	300	+0	open	—	07-08 16:13
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	1	$469	621	0	+621	open	—	10-02 05:52
Blue tsunami in 2026?	34	$469	651	290	+361	open	—	10-29 09:34
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$437	0	460	-460	open	—	07-25 15:32
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	3	$434	524	0	+524	open	—	07-01 08:27
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$413	274	274	+0	Gold	+$13	01-14 17:26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	5	$411	0	426	-426	open	—	08-03 19:54
will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by august 31	4	$411	447	0	+447	No	+$36	08-17 18:30
will rho labs launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174513381	1	$400	445	0	+445	No	+$45	07-20 11:09
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	2	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$13	02-26 16:44
will hyperliquid reach 48 in february	3	$371	200	200	+0	No	+$27	02-24 17:51
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$360	0	400	-400	open	—	06-17 11:11
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	6	$342	400	0	+400	Yes	+$58	01-30 06:52
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$330	84	254	-170	No	+$2	06-13 08:51
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	5	$318	392	0	+392	open	—	11-04 08:00
will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by august 31	9	$263	221	140	+81	No	+$16	08-20 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:00:12	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x839a0b…
11-03 20:59:36	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x065e69…
11-03 13:47:28	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by November 30?	No	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0x3be435…
11-03 13:46:33	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by November 30?	No	BUY	282	88¢	$248	0xf526a3…
11-03 08:33:21	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by November 30?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xe74e18…
11-03 08:28:48	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	315	79¢	$248	0x87b646…
11-02 20:59:33	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x7763a7…
11-02 17:37:10	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x4aa7b5…
11-02 16:21:24	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	72	82¢	$59	0xd62e93…
11-02 14:19:55	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0xa5c50b…
10-29 09:36:04	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by October 31?	No	BUY	97	83¢	$81	0xa21bd1…
10-29 09:34:34	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	214	40¢	$86	0x872f28…
10-24 09:44:12	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31?	No	BUY	158	90¢	$142	0xcb63bb…
10-23 08:18:48	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?	No	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0x990e97…
10-23 08:16:30	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	245	76¢	$185	0x4099e7…
10-22 07:20:32	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	426	96¢	$409	0xbe1540…
10-21 09:30:03	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?	No	BUY	91	86¢	$78	0x09e26a…
10-19 10:07:09	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	625	87¢	$545	0x38dca3…
10-17 14:08:00	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0xa8af3f…
10-16 16:06:45	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x659e0d…
10-14 18:44:30	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by october 31	Yes	BUY	219	10¢	$22	0x95a622…
10-14 12:03:47	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3d1573…
10-13 14:46:34	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	69¢	$97	0x5dfe0b…
10-12 22:46:56	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	277	81¢	$224	0xb8bb18…
10-12 15:01:36	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by October 31?	No	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0x8fb0b1…
10-12 14:59:21	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	261	66¢	$172	0xb7bc8f…
10-12 08:38:27	Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0x38a30f…
10-12 08:37:52	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	195	59¢	$115	0x48baac…
10-12 08:36:06	Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	43¢	$45	0x2bd638…
10-11 07:56:16	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31?	No	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xe388a0…
10-11 07:54:40	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	615	74¢	$455	0xd032a7…
10-11 07:53:48	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	603	72¢	$433	0x923e2f…
10-11 07:53:01	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	298	83¢	$249	0x319fd4…
10-09 01:08:38	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6bc4ca…
10-07 21:06:13	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by October 31?	No	BUY	287	81¢	$233	0xf90c7c…
10-06 09:51:45	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	309	81¢	$249	0x416890…
10-05 07:33:10	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	517	82¢	$425	0xa1db46…
10-05 07:31:55	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	28¢	$65	0xe4255a…
10-04 15:29:44	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	293	84¢	$246	0xa1b707…
10-04 13:11:40	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0x00a85f…
10-03 08:54:15	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	78¢	$108	0x1486e1…
10-02 16:19:54	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	115	68¢	$78	0x118155…
10-02 16:18:29	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by October 31?	No	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0xb1c480…
10-02 16:17:32	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by October 31?	No	BUY	76	90¢	$68	0x813749…
10-02 16:16:44	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0xdcbc2d…
10-02 16:15:09	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by October 31?	No	BUY	215	70¢	$150	0x7f37ba…
10-02 16:14:51	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by October 31?	No	BUY	309	69¢	$214	0x88cc62…
10-02 13:29:47	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	129	77¢	$99	0x3fbe5e…
10-02 13:24:57	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xc0e9e9…
10-02 05:52:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	621	76¢	$469	0xe3e6b0…
10-01 12:50:30	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0xb98103…
10-01 12:50:12	Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x88540c…
09-30 14:11:56	Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x96158a…
09-25 09:52:14	Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	147	62¢	$91	0x1f63da…
09-22 12:21:49	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c787d…
09-21 10:04:06	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	83¢	$333	0x1ade49…
09-21 10:03:09	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x40d3fa…
09-21 10:02:44	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	73¢	$146	0x73b512…
09-21 00:52:55	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xef1ff3…
09-20 14:24:10	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc742f8…
09-20 06:08:40	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe9ee21…
09-20 06:08:39	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	65¢	$68	0xd0f58c…
09-20 06:08:39	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0xbe2cd3…
09-15 19:38:36	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0x9418bd…
09-15 13:48:45	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x0cf033…
09-15 05:14:04	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,111	80¢	$887	0x61b75b…
09-14 06:25:07	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	470	75¢	$353	0xe4bea7…
09-12 06:26:37	Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	155	87¢	$134	0x9b5ccc…
09-11 03:22:19	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf2e916…
09-11 03:22:16	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	40¢	$31	0xe6b106…
09-10 17:02:16	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x7230b9…
09-09 17:51:48	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0xcfdfd3…
09-02 20:31:27	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	75¢	$262	0x2de028…
09-01 18:41:37	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x141ab6…
08-31 21:22:27	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3f6d63…
08-31 21:21:36	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x33e281…
08-31 21:21:21	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x403e73…
08-29 07:06:03	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31?	No	BUY	127	89¢	$114	0x7cbe43…
08-27 16:11:25	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31?	No	BUY	245	10¢	$25	0xbfeb8c…
08-27 12:59:36	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	75¢	$318	0xfaa9d6…
08-27 12:59:28	will zcash dip to 700 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	392	75¢	$292	0x131602…
08-21 08:51:40	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1f701f…
08-21 08:51:24	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	Yes	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0xa31e10…
08-20 15:14:34	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by august 31	No	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0x013d66…
08-19 15:56:12	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by august 31	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0xbe5b10…
08-19 15:49:12	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x389a16…
08-19 06:13:30	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by august 31	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x3617e8…
08-18 18:04:00	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by august 31	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x80d723…
08-18 14:20:25	will reya launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x1c1d63…
08-18 11:35:37	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by august 31	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x1d7aaf…
08-18 11:29:01	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	No	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0x3c2a36…
08-18 08:25:55	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	No	BUY	105	46¢	$48	0x3b1d34…
08-17 18:30:42	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by august 31	No	BUY	291	93¢	$270	0x876851…
08-17 16:59:19	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 45 by august 31	No	BUY	86	42¢	$36	0x32023a…
08-17 13:26:37	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xe751e0…
08-17 13:23:03	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 55 by august 31	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x880f67…
08-17 13:22:24	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	No	BUY	233	67¢	$156	0x1dd784…
08-14 16:16:55	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 55 by august 31	No	BUY	447	80¢	$359	0xf4680b…
08-14 16:10:16	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x398bdc…
08-14 12:42:42	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xa1725a…