Judicious-Position — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

1,107

Trades

3,940

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-04 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 52% -$102

Other

8% 51% -$3

Politics

1% 0% $0

Sports

0% 50% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:00 UTC	17	$77	73	71	+2	Up	-$2	03-27 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 22:45 UTC	32	$63	80	76	+4	Up	+$1	04-05 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$57	48	48	+0	Down	-$3	05-05 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	7	$53	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	10	$53	72	72	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 09:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 22:00 UTC	26	$52	50	47	+3	Down	+$1	04-05 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC	54	$52	53	50	+3	Down	-$1	04-05 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$50	64	64	+0	Down	$0	05-09 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:15 UTC	51	$49	49	44	+5	Down	-$1	03-24 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	3	$48	31	31	+0	Yes	+$8	06-21 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$47	50	32	+19	Down	+$6	05-05 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	7	$47	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	07-02 05:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	9	$46	167	167	+0	Down	-$4	05-10 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	8	$46	47	47	+0	Up	-$4	05-06 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:05 UTC	4	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	07-02 07:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	8	$44	37	37	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 08:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$42	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	08-01 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	4	$42	51	51	+0	No	+$2	06-30 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 17:15 UTC	43	$41	40	38	+2	Up	+$1	04-04 17:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC	42	$40	38	36	+2	Up	-$1	03-24 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	6	$40	53	53	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$38	40	28	+11	Up	-$1	05-05 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:45 UTC	39	$37	37	33	+4	Down	-$1	03-24 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC	39	$36	38	35	+3	Up	-$2	04-04 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC	36	$34	35	33	+2	Down	-$1	03-24 16:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$33	22	22	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 08:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$32	117	21	+96	Down	-$8	05-09 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 07:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2a988a…
08-04 07:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x36722e…
08-01 09:47:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	31	66¢	$21	0x54ee16…
08-01 09:44:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa1eebb…
08-01 09:39:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x813f64…
07-23 18:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x68d782…
07-06 10:56:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x7530a9…
07-04 17:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x972fed…
07-02 15:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x80e921…
07-02 15:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe12c90…
07-02 07:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1f3e4b…
07-02 07:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc02dc6…
07-02 07:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x3c9281…
07-02 07:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xbf9f1a…
07-02 07:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x83ec01…
07-02 07:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1f8cd5…
07-02 05:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xb9ade5…
07-02 05:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8c7e24…
07-02 05:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x49b073…
07-02 05:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x2e9818…
07-02 05:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xf3a4bb…
07-02 05:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x394627…
07-02 05:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x141119…
07-02 05:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x43e641…
07-02 05:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0f0b90…
07-01 16:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x82c476…
07-01 16:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc224d1…
07-01 11:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x4ac58b…
07-01 10:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x5b3653…
07-01 05:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd63931…
06-30 18:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0xa3ba2b…
06-30 18:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x9ac1ca…
06-30 18:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x7fa8fd…
06-30 18:46:01	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0x747e99…
06-30 18:34:53	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6882e1…
06-30 16:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x5177d4…
06-30 12:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0xad2f78…
06-30 07:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x6d56ae…
06-29 18:54:29	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xe1ed57…
06-29 18:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xda208a…
06-29 18:44:04	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcabd63…
06-29 06:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbe5bcb…
06-28 15:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x843925…
06-28 14:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xffe127…
06-28 14:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x44edb6…
06-28 14:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x91ba58…
06-28 14:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x62e530…
06-28 14:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x1561a4…
06-28 14:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8f405a…
06-28 14:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf95c6b…
06-28 14:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x5ca24e…
06-28 14:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x9b97b6…
06-28 14:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5ae88f…
06-28 14:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x842b2a…
06-28 14:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x46ae73…
06-28 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x22f95a…
06-27 07:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x88d35a…
06-26 12:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x0cb12a…
06-26 12:52:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2325c0…
06-26 12:50:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa0393d…
06-25 19:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x2d037b…
06-25 19:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa35ce5…
06-25 13:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3691ac…
06-25 13:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xa276c1…
06-25 09:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$10	0xc96153…
06-25 09:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x12522e…
06-25 08:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x68322f…
06-23 21:55:28	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x0fcb58…
06-23 21:43:31	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x829049…
06-23 21:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x919d28…
06-23 21:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0x58898d…
06-23 21:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4dcb15…
06-23 20:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x91aa02…
06-23 20:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3aedac…
06-23 15:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xbb4c9d…
06-23 15:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x588e45…
06-23 14:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x71ece3…
06-23 14:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdbeaa8…
06-23 13:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x1c688e…
06-23 13:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5cfe46…
06-23 13:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xf9255e…
06-23 13:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x23124f…
06-23 13:41:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7becce…
06-23 11:29:20	Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdc4606…
06-23 09:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xecfbb3…
06-22 07:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8b2bb1…
06-21 21:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc34d17…
06-21 20:58:52	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x697f5c…
06-21 20:32:25	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb6ec65…
06-21 15:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0x8fd65c…
06-21 13:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c2ab8…
06-20 18:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x7d5340…
06-20 14:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x2f4239…
06-20 12:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd7b138…
06-20 12:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x577161…
06-20 12:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf1a500…
06-19 14:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x844fc9…
06-19 10:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6b4235…
06-18 11:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xca88fe…
06-18 06:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x57c2bb…