Judicious-Position — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

120

Trades

3,845

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-01 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-8

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774623600	17	$77	73	71	+2	open	—	03-27 15:04
btc updown 15m 1775429100	32	$63	80	76	+4	open	—	04-05 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$57	48	48	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	7	$53	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	10	$53	72	72	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 09:53
btc updown 15m 1775426400	26	$52	50	47	+3	open	—	04-05 22:12
btc updown 15m 1775403000	54	$52	53	50	+3	open	—	04-05 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$50	64	64	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 19:42
btc updown 15m 1774372500	51	$49	49	44	+5	open	—	03-24 17:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$47	50	32	+19	Down	+$6	05-05 09:44
btc updown 5m 1782970200	7	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	07-02 05:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	9	$46	167	167	+0	Down	$-4	05-10 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	8	$46	47	47	+0	Up	$-4	05-06 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 06:48
btc updown 5m 1782975900	4	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	07-02 07:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	8	$44	37	37	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 08:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$42	31	31	+0	open	—	08-01 09:47
btc updown 15m 1775322900	43	$41	40	38	+2	open	—	04-04 17:17
btc updown 15m 1774375200	42	$40	38	36	+2	open	—	03-24 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	6	$40	53	53	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$38	40	28	+11	Up	$-1	05-05 06:44
btc updown 15m 1774370700	39	$37	37	33	+4	open	—	03-24 16:55
btc updown 15m 1775320200	39	$36	38	35	+3	open	—	04-04 16:37
btc updown 15m 1774369800	36	$34	35	33	+2	open	—	03-24 16:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$33	22	22	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 08:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$32	117	21	+96	Down	$-8	05-09 20:06
btc updown 15m 1774376100	34	$32	32	31	+2	open	—	03-24 18:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$32	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:47:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	31	66¢	$21	0x54ee16…
08-01 09:44:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa1eebb…
08-01 09:39:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x813f64…
07-23 18:22:28	btc updown 5m 1784830800	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x68d782…
07-06 10:56:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x7530a9…
07-04 17:47:10	btc updown 5m 1783187100	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x972fed…
07-02 15:03:52	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x80e921…
07-02 15:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe12c90…
07-02 07:11:14	btc updown 5m 1782976200	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1f3e4b…
07-02 07:11:13	btc updown 5m 1782976200	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc02dc6…
07-02 07:09:44	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x3c9281…
07-02 07:09:23	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xbf9f1a…
07-02 07:09:01	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x83ec01…
07-02 07:08:25	btc updown 5m 1782975900	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1f8cd5…
07-02 05:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xb9ade5…
07-02 05:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8c7e24…
07-02 05:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x49b073…
07-02 05:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x2e9818…
07-02 05:32:25	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xf3a4bb…
07-02 05:30:32	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x394627…
07-02 05:30:32	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x141119…
07-02 05:28:46	btc updown 5m 1782969900	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x43e641…
07-02 05:26:53	btc updown 5m 1782969900	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0f0b90…
06-28 15:08:20	btc updown 5m 1782659100	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x843925…
06-28 14:49:59	btc updown 5m 1782657900	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xffe127…
06-28 14:46:41	btc updown 5m 1782657900	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x91ba58…
06-28 14:42:40	btc updown 5m 1782657600	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x62e530…
06-28 14:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782657000	Down	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x1561a4…
06-28 14:32:05	btc updown 5m 1782657000	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8f405a…
06-28 14:13:23	btc updown 5m 1782655800	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf95c6b…
06-28 14:13:23	btc updown 5m 1782655800	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x5ca24e…
06-28 14:13:22	btc updown 5m 1782655800	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x9b97b6…
06-28 14:10:19	btc updown 5m 1782655800	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5ae88f…
06-28 14:03:20	btc updown 5m 1782655200	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x842b2a…
06-28 14:02:46	btc updown 5m 1782655200	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x46ae73…
06-26 12:52:13	btc updown 5m 1782478200	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2325c0…
06-26 12:50:38	btc updown 5m 1782478200	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa0393d…
06-23 21:05:59	btc updown 5m 1782248700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x919d28…
06-23 21:02:04	btc updown 5m 1782248400	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0x58898d…
06-23 21:01:25	btc updown 5m 1782248400	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4dcb15…
06-23 20:56:23	btc updown 5m 1782248100	Up	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x91aa02…
06-23 20:55:29	btc updown 5m 1782248100	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3aedac…
06-23 15:17:22	btc updown 5m 1782227700	Down	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xbb4c9d…
06-23 15:16:56	btc updown 5m 1782227700	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x588e45…
06-23 14:08:17	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x71ece3…
06-23 14:07:25	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdbeaa8…
06-23 13:51:22	btc updown 5m 1782222600	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x1c688e…
06-23 13:50:52	btc updown 5m 1782222600	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5cfe46…
06-23 13:46:28	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xf9255e…
06-23 13:45:40	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x23124f…
06-23 13:41:14	btc updown 5m 1782222000	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7becce…
06-17 20:24:20	sol updown 5m 1781727600	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd44dc6…
06-02 19:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x585e8c…
06-02 19:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf1414f…
05-26 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xc6f5cc…
05-19 19:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x17cee5…
05-19 19:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xdce1a1…
05-19 19:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xd1efca…
05-19 19:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0903ae…
05-19 19:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x58ec0e…
05-19 19:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf8fb02…
05-19 19:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0028b3…
05-19 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0df144…
05-19 19:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2f3cb5…
05-19 19:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7e2902…
05-18 19:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x34d7f5…
05-18 19:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc528d6…
05-18 19:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcf53f9…
05-18 19:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6f1ac7…
05-18 19:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x8e1416…
05-18 19:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x604bb5…
05-18 19:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2038c3…
05-18 19:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xadac26…
05-18 19:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xfae0ac…
05-18 19:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x62805b…
05-15 11:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe8e968…
05-15 11:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2f3027…
05-15 11:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xd173a6…
05-15 11:10:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe281ef…
05-15 10:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x9fa1cd…
05-15 10:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe26c8f…
05-15 10:52:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x81be1b…
05-15 10:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x667d1f…
05-13 18:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0xaa6d06…
05-13 18:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x1ec378…
05-13 16:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xd032a6…
05-13 16:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x11049f…
05-13 10:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x99106d…
05-13 10:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x139b65…
05-13 10:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x52b407…
05-12 08:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb79bfa…
05-12 08:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xd7b527…
05-12 08:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x27f58b…
05-12 08:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xafcf0b…
05-12 08:25:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9aa03c…
05-12 07:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5a5c20…
05-12 07:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x435401…
05-12 07:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x0f6ee9…
05-12 07:22:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf76f03…
05-12 07:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x358e41…