Violet-East — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$9.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 50% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		+30	$2	3¢	$1	$-1	06-22 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$571	660	471	+189	open	—	05-09 04:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$369	378	378	+0	No	+$0	05-10 06:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$365	194	194	+0	open	—	05-12 17:37
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$361	188	188	+0	open	—	04-11 17:22
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	5	$356	180	180	+0	open	—	04-26 23:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	6	$340	172	172	+0	open	—	04-30 18:45
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$322	167	167	+0	open	—	04-09 17:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$264	139	139	+0	open	—	03-30 06:48
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$217	116	116	+0	open	—	04-10 01:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	12	$216	446	446	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:52
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$207	105	105	+0	open	—	03-20 01:00
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	03-25 18:13
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$197	291	291	+0	open	—	04-05 19:48
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	6	$192	174	174	+0	open	—	03-26 20:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$190	97	97	+0	No	+$0	05-08 14:45
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 08:39
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	3	$188	96	96	+0	No	+$0	04-19 00:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$188	95	95	+0	open	—	04-15 08:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$187	95	95	+0	open	—	04-27 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	2	$186	95	95	+0	open	—	04-26 09:21
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$186	94	94	+0	open	—	04-26 17:20
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	2	$186	95	95	+0	open	—	04-21 00:12
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$185	94	94	+0	open	—	03-31 22:22
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 14:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$184	97	97	+0	open	—	04-24 02:50
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$183	96	96	+0	open	—	03-31 05:48
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	5	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	03-24 15:16
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$177	93	93	+0	open	—	04-08 16:41
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$174	89	89	+0	open	—	04-04 00:24
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	04-04 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:26:58	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe09c82…
06-22 04:29:07	nvda close above 195 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x571cfa…
06-08 08:23:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x6ae001…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x66a559…
05-19 05:23:55	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x83898a…
05-19 05:23:55	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x7e6b6e…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x507200…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x025321…
05-13 14:47:47	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc6488e…
05-13 14:47:47	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7d7d34…
05-13 10:57:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x854d91…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8ca39b…
05-13 03:24:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6164a8…
05-13 03:24:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x452954…
05-13 00:35:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0xfdb11d…
05-12 17:37:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	101	95¢	$96	0x8e888a…
05-12 14:39:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x18b2c3…
05-11 15:14:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	93	94¢	$87	0xc621fe…
05-11 10:04:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	93	94¢	$87	0x202f2e…
05-10 06:38:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	4¢	$7	0x7d135c…
05-10 05:18:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0xdf3fda…
05-10 05:18:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x07b1ed…
05-09 18:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x0a0389…
05-09 18:14:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0x3c9eba…
05-09 14:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$88	0x33068b…
05-09 13:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	93	96¢	$89	0xefc7f1…
05-09 12:03:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0xcaa62e…
05-09 04:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0xdc0f28…
05-09 01:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x51612d…
05-08 18:29:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$5	0x8b2383…
05-08 14:45:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xd28c6d…
05-08 14:44:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x0efef5…
05-08 05:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	184	3¢	$6	0x8f5466…
05-08 02:52:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x8392f2…
05-08 02:52:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0x170666…
05-07 21:59:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0x3fb24a…
05-07 20:45:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xd4613d…
05-07 03:55:19	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xaa68c2…
05-07 03:55:19	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x2994d9…
05-06 21:09:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xd86007…
05-06 19:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xb8e624…
05-06 17:05:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa67f8f…
05-06 06:52:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x6d5969…
05-06 06:35:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf9494f…
05-06 06:35:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	3¢	$4	0xdb6cf5…
05-06 05:02:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0x863619…
05-05 14:43:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	88	96¢	$85	0xd97357…
05-05 11:43:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0x677030…
05-03 23:02:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x203a6c…
05-03 23:02:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x1f8027…
05-03 17:59:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x9f2c5f…
05-03 14:57:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0x25f03b…
05-03 13:15:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x063b64…
05-03 04:56:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$5	0x96ccc9…
05-03 04:56:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x6306c6…
05-03 02:23:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	4¢	$6	0xe1a521…
04-30 18:45:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdbf020…
04-30 18:45:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x397333…
04-30 15:14:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x19413b…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x85b976…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1cce5c…
04-30 07:44:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x8647b7…
04-28 02:04:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc9e21…
04-27 13:35:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0xb260c7…
04-27 13:35:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0e974b…
04-27 10:46:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x820044…
04-27 10:46:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x262c2d…
04-27 10:43:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$94	0x03e0ad…
04-27 07:58:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0xa1c8af…
04-26 23:59:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xe9de8b…
04-26 23:59:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7e9132…
04-26 19:22:28	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xf15b69…
04-26 17:20:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x94b449…
04-26 15:01:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x28c3d4…
04-26 09:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x4ceeb0…
04-26 07:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x447251…
04-26 00:33:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xeb166d…
04-26 00:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x1b575e…
04-26 00:33:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x199ffb…
04-25 20:55:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x4a461e…
04-25 15:28:34	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x8441df…
04-25 15:28:34	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	1¢	$3	0x2dae32…
04-25 13:11:46	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x38fe62…
04-25 13:11:44	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0x9cc030…
04-25 13:11:44	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x9a17f4…
04-25 10:28:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xca614d…
04-25 09:11:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xfdfeee…
04-25 01:17:00	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xd951f7…
04-24 22:22:12	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xcf032b…
04-24 22:22:12	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x575ae6…
04-24 14:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x95985d…
04-24 11:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd4ce29…
04-24 02:50:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	97	95¢	$92	0x0aaf55…
04-24 02:49:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0x6aef27…
04-23 22:30:34	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x312632…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x111719…
04-23 10:16:26	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0x1c4859…
04-23 08:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xda5f78…
04-23 08:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$1	0x997236…
04-22 19:04:52	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	5¢	$8	0x3e0d30…