Lucky-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

323

Trades

20,788

lifetime

Volume

$121.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-06 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% +$122

Sports

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 1829 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776706200	56	$701	543	442	+101	open	—	04-20 17:45
btc updown 15m 1776827700	21	$481	574	305	+269	open	—	04-22 03:19
btc updown 15m 1776704400	38	$442	358	233	+125	open	—	04-20 17:10
btc updown 15m 1776825900	16	$433	424	320	+104	open	—	04-22 02:50
btc updown 15m 1776705300	35	$432	372	224	+148	open	—	04-20 17:29
btc updown 15m 1776727800	21	$413	904	0	+904	open	—	04-20 23:37
btc updown 15m 1775980800	31	$390	807	0	+807	open	—	04-12 08:14
btc updown 15m 1776738600	24	$385	661	0	+661	open	—	04-21 02:34
btc updown 15m 1775998800	27	$344	579	0	+579	open	—	04-12 13:10
btc updown 15m 1776216600	21	$302	642	0	+642	open	—	04-15 01:37
btc updown 15m 1776784500	26	$278	598	325	+274	open	—	04-21 15:27
btc updown 15m 1776198600	28	$272	558	0	+558	open	—	04-14 20:34
btc updown 15m 1775849400	27	$269	530	0	+530	open	—	04-10 19:40
btc updown 15m 1776789900	27	$269	599	0	+599	open	—	04-21 16:54
btc updown 15m 1776717000	27	$268	609	0	+609	open	—	04-20 20:40
btc updown 15m 1776787200	26	$264	556	0	+556	open	—	04-21 16:12
btc updown 15m 1776721500	26	$264	614	0	+614	open	—	04-20 21:56
btc updown 15m 1775999700	30	$264	585	0	+585	open	—	04-12 13:24
btc updown 15m 1775772900	25	$263	605	0	+605	open	—	04-09 22:22
btc updown 15m 1776788100	26	$263	562	0	+562	open	—	04-21 16:28
btc updown 15m 1775772000	29	$263	584	0	+584	open	—	04-09 22:10
btc updown 15m 1775952900	17	$262	461	0	+461	open	—	04-12 00:19
btc updown 15m 1776015900	25	$262	629	0	+629	open	—	04-12 17:55
btc updown 15m 1776352500	48	$261	503	0	+503	open	—	04-16 15:27
btc updown 15m 1776212100	45	$261	541	0	+541	open	—	04-15 00:25
btc updown 15m 1776876300	24	$260	695	0	+695	open	—	04-22 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776081600	25	$260	535	0	+535	open	—	04-13 12:04
btc updown 15m 1775950200	29	$260	575	0	+575	open	—	04-11 23:43
btc updown 15m 1775840400	28	$259	624	0	+624	open	—	04-10 17:08
btc updown 15m 1776744900	24	$258	603	0	+603	open	—	04-21 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:40:16	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xf6cf3d…
06-06 17:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xfacd98…
06-06 17:40:07	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x45d192…
06-06 17:40:04	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x044605…
06-06 17:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0xd483a2…
06-06 17:05:12	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x153531…
06-06 17:05:07	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xb49aee…
06-06 17:05:04	btc updown 15m 1780765200	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xdce65d…
06-06 16:40:16	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xba3070…
06-06 16:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xebb88d…
06-06 16:40:07	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x9435b7…
06-06 16:40:04	btc updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x82aa8c…
06-06 16:25:13	btc updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xf114ae…
06-06 16:25:10	btc updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x3d2eb4…
06-06 16:25:07	btc updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x87c5f1…
06-06 16:25:04	btc updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xdb38dd…
06-06 16:10:13	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xe53996…
06-06 16:10:07	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xe0ef41…
06-06 16:10:04	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x77f512…
06-06 15:01:25	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Up	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x1df0ee…
06-06 15:00:25	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xd398e0…
06-06 15:00:24	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x07e61e…
06-06 15:00:22	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xe2c49f…
06-06 15:00:21	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x95fa7f…
06-06 13:47:25	btc updown 15m 1780753500	Up	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0x04db02…
06-06 13:45:18	btc updown 15m 1780753500	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x01381d…
06-06 13:45:16	btc updown 15m 1780753500	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x5820bc…
06-06 13:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780753500	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x862847…
06-06 13:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780753500	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x72fb0d…
06-06 13:35:13	btc updown 15m 1780752600	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x0d98f7…
06-06 13:35:10	btc updown 15m 1780752600	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xa5f132…
06-06 13:35:09	btc updown 15m 1780752600	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x130916…
06-06 13:35:04	btc updown 15m 1780752600	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x4bc712…
06-06 13:20:15	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x9ae383…
06-06 13:20:13	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x234d3f…
06-06 13:20:07	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4775a4…
06-06 13:20:04	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbee062…
06-06 10:18:09	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Up	SELL	44	47¢	$21	0x5ea1f3…
06-06 10:15:25	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x40d913…
06-06 10:15:24	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0xd1b121…
06-06 10:15:22	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xb83d29…
06-06 10:15:21	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xaac0f9…
06-06 10:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780740000	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0xfb0aa2…
06-06 10:05:12	btc updown 15m 1780740000	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0xd971bd…
06-06 10:05:07	btc updown 15m 1780740000	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8780ad…
06-06 10:05:04	btc updown 15m 1780740000	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xb610de…
06-06 09:40:15	btc updown 15m 1780738200	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x5fc967…
06-06 09:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780738200	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$7	0xf2067a…
06-06 09:40:07	btc updown 15m 1780738200	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x7c417b…
06-06 09:40:07	btc updown 15m 1780738200	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x774e68…
06-06 09:20:15	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xe13727…
06-06 09:20:12	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x5c87ec…
06-06 09:20:07	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xa2d126…
06-06 09:20:04	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x390c2f…
06-06 09:05:10	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xca7f32…
06-06 09:05:07	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x010729…
06-06 09:05:04	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x3f277b…
06-06 08:20:16	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xb2d69e…
06-06 08:20:12	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xa2e4dd…
06-06 08:20:09	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xd56dec…
06-06 08:20:04	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8ffb6c…
06-06 08:05:15	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x55c363…
06-06 08:05:12	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x325685…
06-06 08:05:07	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xf2f214…
06-06 08:05:04	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x699bb0…
06-06 07:46:19	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0xea8c1f…
06-06 07:45:18	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x74902f…
06-06 07:45:16	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x3a61f8…
06-06 07:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xb3b598…
06-06 07:45:12	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xf6d700…
06-06 06:25:13	btc updown 15m 1780726500	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x21b5b1…
06-06 06:25:04	btc updown 15m 1780726500	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x7fa8c9…
06-06 05:35:15	btc updown 15m 1780723800	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x7d28b0…
06-06 05:35:12	btc updown 15m 1780723800	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x069d3a…
06-06 05:35:07	btc updown 15m 1780723800	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x440f29…
06-06 05:35:04	btc updown 15m 1780723800	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x710d82…
06-06 05:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780722000	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x57f15f…
06-06 05:05:12	btc updown 15m 1780722000	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x45002d…
06-06 05:05:07	btc updown 15m 1780722000	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x00fb8f…
06-06 05:05:06	btc updown 15m 1780722000	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x38b897…
06-06 03:55:15	btc updown 15m 1780717500	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0xc02fbb…
06-06 03:55:10	btc updown 15m 1780717500	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xfe02a6…
06-06 03:55:07	btc updown 15m 1780717500	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x98de82…
06-06 03:55:06	btc updown 15m 1780717500	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x6261b1…
06-06 03:25:15	btc updown 15m 1780715700	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xbaeefc…
06-06 03:25:10	btc updown 15m 1780715700	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xfeb626…
06-06 03:25:07	btc updown 15m 1780715700	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5d1251…
06-06 03:25:06	btc updown 15m 1780715700	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8013c8…
06-06 02:30:45	btc updown 15m 1780713000	Up	SELL	38	46¢	$18	0x686d83…
06-06 02:30:16	btc updown 15m 1780713000	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x910574…
06-06 02:30:13	btc updown 15m 1780713000	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x478f48…
06-06 02:30:12	btc updown 15m 1780713000	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xde78a6…
06-06 02:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780711200	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x0c3fcc…
06-06 02:05:13	btc updown 15m 1780711200	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9b3921…
06-06 02:05:09	btc updown 15m 1780711200	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x7e16e1…
06-06 02:05:06	btc updown 15m 1780711200	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x2af5be…
06-06 01:35:16	btc updown 15m 1780709400	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x1932cd…
06-06 01:35:12	btc updown 15m 1780709400	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xafb050…
06-06 01:35:07	btc updown 15m 1780709400	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x91b4c3…
06-06 01:35:04	btc updown 15m 1780709400	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x2464e6…