Lucky-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

323

Trades

20,939

lifetime

Volume

$122.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-29 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% +$122

Sports

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 1222 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776706200	56	$701	543	442	+101	open	—	04-20 17:45
btc updown 15m 1776827700	21	$481	574	305	+269	open	—	04-22 03:19
btc updown 15m 1776704400	38	$442	358	233	+125	open	—	04-20 17:10
btc updown 15m 1776825900	16	$433	424	320	+104	open	—	04-22 02:50
btc updown 15m 1776705300	35	$432	372	224	+148	open	—	04-20 17:29
btc updown 15m 1776727800	21	$413	904	0	+904	open	—	04-20 23:37
btc updown 15m 1775980800	31	$390	807	0	+807	open	—	04-12 08:14
btc updown 15m 1776738600	24	$385	661	0	+661	open	—	04-21 02:34
btc updown 15m 1775998800	27	$344	579	0	+579	open	—	04-12 13:10
btc updown 15m 1776216600	21	$302	642	0	+642	open	—	04-15 01:37
btc updown 15m 1776784500	26	$278	598	325	+274	open	—	04-21 15:27
btc updown 15m 1776198600	28	$272	558	0	+558	open	—	04-14 20:34
btc updown 15m 1775849400	27	$269	530	0	+530	open	—	04-10 19:40
btc updown 15m 1776789900	27	$269	599	0	+599	open	—	04-21 16:54
btc updown 15m 1776717000	27	$268	609	0	+609	open	—	04-20 20:40
btc updown 15m 1776787200	26	$264	556	0	+556	open	—	04-21 16:12
btc updown 15m 1776721500	26	$264	614	0	+614	open	—	04-20 21:56
btc updown 15m 1775999700	30	$264	585	0	+585	open	—	04-12 13:24
btc updown 15m 1775772900	25	$263	605	0	+605	open	—	04-09 22:22
btc updown 15m 1776788100	26	$263	562	0	+562	open	—	04-21 16:28
btc updown 15m 1775772000	29	$263	584	0	+584	open	—	04-09 22:10
btc updown 15m 1775952900	17	$262	461	0	+461	open	—	04-12 00:19
btc updown 15m 1776015900	25	$262	629	0	+629	open	—	04-12 17:55
btc updown 15m 1776352500	48	$261	503	0	+503	open	—	04-16 15:27
btc updown 15m 1776212100	45	$261	541	0	+541	open	—	04-15 00:25
btc updown 15m 1776876300	24	$260	695	0	+695	open	—	04-22 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776081600	25	$260	535	0	+535	open	—	04-13 12:04
btc updown 15m 1775950200	29	$260	575	0	+575	open	—	04-11 23:43
btc updown 15m 1775840400	28	$259	624	0	+624	open	—	04-10 17:08
btc updown 15m 1776744900	24	$258	603	0	+603	open	—	04-21 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 12:00:41	btc updown 15m 1782734400	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x0ccde2…
06-29 12:00:28	btc updown 15m 1782734400	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x421732…
06-29 11:55:16	btc updown 15m 1782733500	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xc5f1b4…
06-29 11:55:13	btc updown 15m 1782733500	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x56a377…
06-29 11:55:08	btc updown 15m 1782733500	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x851949…
06-29 11:55:05	btc updown 15m 1782733500	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x263253…
06-29 11:20:17	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x14af24…
06-29 11:20:13	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x10c5db…
06-29 11:20:08	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x87e67b…
06-29 11:20:07	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xda0f57…
06-29 10:55:14	btc updown 15m 1782729900	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x631045…
06-29 10:55:11	btc updown 15m 1782729900	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x8eaa1e…
06-29 10:55:08	btc updown 15m 1782729900	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x8d277e…
06-29 10:55:05	btc updown 15m 1782729900	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x2088f2…
06-29 10:35:13	btc updown 15m 1782729000	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5faa33…
06-29 10:35:08	btc updown 15m 1782729000	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x528bd6…
06-29 10:35:05	btc updown 15m 1782729000	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x38a5d0…
06-29 10:00:35	btc updown 15m 1782727200	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xe55990…
06-29 09:50:14	btc updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x192c02…
06-29 09:50:11	btc updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x85efb3…
06-29 09:50:07	btc updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf68c07…
06-29 09:50:05	btc updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb0aabe…
06-29 09:35:43	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0xc3d5e8…
06-29 09:30:38	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xaede7f…
06-29 09:30:37	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x098205…
06-29 09:30:35	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf66c5e…
06-29 09:30:34	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xc5539e…
06-29 09:20:16	btc updown 15m 1782724500	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7208d9…
06-29 09:20:11	btc updown 15m 1782724500	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x1c2a2f…
06-29 09:20:08	btc updown 15m 1782724500	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0xf5303e…
06-29 09:20:05	btc updown 15m 1782724500	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x690c13…
06-29 09:05:14	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xf24ea5…
06-29 09:05:11	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x878b6b…
06-29 09:05:08	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x3ed74d…
06-29 09:05:05	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x05c1b7…
06-29 08:40:14	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xeb835d…
06-29 08:40:11	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8c1329…
06-29 08:40:08	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x35e621…
06-29 08:40:05	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x4ac1e3…
06-29 08:25:14	btc updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x27eae5…
06-29 08:25:13	btc updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x04da6e…
06-29 08:25:08	btc updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x78d786…
06-29 08:25:05	btc updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x24ad99…
06-29 08:10:16	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0xd37dbf…
06-29 08:10:11	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x482eb6…
06-29 08:10:08	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x1a475b…
06-29 08:10:05	btc updown 15m 1782720000	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x56b024…
06-29 07:35:11	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x3f5907…
06-29 07:35:08	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0xd539f6…
06-29 07:35:05	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x950b62…
06-29 07:25:14	btc updown 15m 1782717300	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x5e2411…
06-29 07:25:11	btc updown 15m 1782717300	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x3b4654…
06-29 07:25:07	btc updown 15m 1782717300	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xb1581c…
06-29 07:25:05	btc updown 15m 1782717300	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x94c18e…
06-29 07:05:16	btc updown 15m 1782716400	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xef5621…
06-29 07:05:11	btc updown 15m 1782716400	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe8b347…
06-29 07:05:08	btc updown 15m 1782716400	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb56b0c…
06-29 07:05:05	btc updown 15m 1782716400	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0xfba97d…
06-29 06:05:16	btc updown 15m 1782712800	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x1dbe47…
06-29 06:05:11	btc updown 15m 1782712800	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x0a3473…
06-29 06:05:07	btc updown 15m 1782712800	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xb53ec4…
06-29 06:05:05	btc updown 15m 1782712800	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x921ae3…
06-29 05:50:14	btc updown 15m 1782711900	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x53aa8b…
06-29 05:50:11	btc updown 15m 1782711900	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xf20752…
06-29 05:50:11	btc updown 15m 1782711900	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4d8f59…
06-29 05:50:05	btc updown 15m 1782711900	Up	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x0c8a7e…
06-29 05:20:16	btc updown 15m 1782710100	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x99449e…
06-29 05:20:11	btc updown 15m 1782710100	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x67cdee…
06-29 05:20:07	btc updown 15m 1782710100	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x38e554…
06-29 05:20:05	btc updown 15m 1782710100	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x808bd5…
06-29 05:00:29	btc updown 15m 1782709200	Up	SELL	48	44¢	$21	0xf295dd…
06-29 05:00:19	btc updown 15m 1782709200	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x2c3908…
06-29 05:00:16	btc updown 15m 1782709200	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xed4593…
06-29 05:00:14	btc updown 15m 1782709200	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xbb51dc…
06-29 05:00:13	btc updown 15m 1782709200	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x3c2ef3…
06-29 04:35:16	btc updown 15m 1782707400	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0xddd1a2…
06-29 04:35:13	btc updown 15m 1782707400	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xafbf14…
06-29 04:35:07	btc updown 15m 1782707400	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x9da8bf…
06-29 04:35:07	btc updown 15m 1782707400	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x5b1f75…
06-29 03:35:16	btc updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x797ef3…
06-29 03:35:11	btc updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x1d3d53…
06-29 03:35:08	btc updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x64a6be…
06-29 03:35:05	btc updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x7a05a1…
06-29 03:00:26	btc updown 15m 1782702000	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xff773f…
06-29 03:00:25	btc updown 15m 1782702000	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x5abab2…
06-29 03:00:22	btc updown 15m 1782702000	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf66c0b…
06-29 01:55:08	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x5c3393…
06-29 01:55:05	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x0badff…
06-29 00:40:16	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xb48877…
06-29 00:40:13	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x8210c9…
06-29 00:40:08	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x5fa249…
06-29 00:40:05	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xd88968…
06-28 23:35:17	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xca5bf0…
06-28 23:35:13	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x355325…
06-28 23:35:08	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x99c7bb…
06-28 23:35:05	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0xe658e8…
06-28 22:52:17	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Up	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0x3ce24f…
06-28 22:45:23	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x2025d7…
06-28 22:45:22	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0xd728ab…
06-28 22:45:19	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xe28875…