Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Politics

64% 54% -$92

Other

36% 40% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$189	150	150	+0	Yes	-$15	01-19 05:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$169	93	93	+0	No	+$13	07-24 12:55
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	3	$89	159	151	+9	No	-$73	01-22 08:15
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$72	90	0	+90	No	+$18	01-14 13:55
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$66	107	0	+107	Yes	-$66	02-01 07:37
us forces seize another oil ship by january 31 2026	1	$62	100	0	+100	Yes	+$38	01-19 11:19
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$59	100	0	+100	Yes	+$41	01-26 13:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$59	39	39	+0	No	-$1	04-15 10:09
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	2	$58	47	47	+0	No	-$2	03-14 17:30
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$55	48	48	+0	No	-$5	04-12 07:08
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	1	$55	100	0	+100	Yes	+$45	07-20 13:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$51	319	0	+319	No	-$51	10-25 23:05
will russia enter toretske by february 28	2	$50	156	0	+156	Yes	-$50	02-03 12:20
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	02-01 07:34
will infinex launch a token by february 28 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	01-21 16:03
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$48	66	0	+66	No	+$18	01-15 10:29
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	2	$47	34	34	+0	No	+$17	03-12 00:59
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	1	$45	80	0	+80	Yes	-$45	07-20 13:32
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$45	28	28	+0	No	+$5	03-08 10:35
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	2	$44	115	115	+0	Yes	-$16	03-12 14:40
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$42	59	59	+0	No	+$2	03-12 12:44
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$42	46	0	+46	No	+$4	07-14 11:54
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	4	$42	71	10	+61	Yes	-$37	01-30 08:46
will russia strike kyiv on february 1 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	02-02 19:08
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	3	$41	38	38	+0	No	+$21	03-05 12:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$40	144	0	+144	No	+$104	03-05 18:57
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	01-16 22:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$39	114	0	+114	Yes	-$39	04-03 11:09
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$38	43	0	+43	No	+$4	07-14 11:48
us forces seize another oil ship by january 24 2026	1	$38	76	0	+76	Yes	-$38	01-19 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:05:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	313	16¢	$50	0x961813…
10-25 23:04:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x59144c…
07-24 12:55:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xaccf33…
07-24 12:55:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x469bd8…
07-20 13:32:18	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xdbc0f5…
07-20 13:32:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x6e6937…
07-20 13:27:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x9ba676…
07-20 13:27:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	93	84¢	$78	0xfa86e2…
07-20 13:24:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x6dd7c5…
07-20 13:24:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xc70600…
07-14 11:59:11	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xe9da9c…
07-14 11:59:07	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	40	59¢	$23	0x19e6a3…
07-14 11:54:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7fc09e…
07-14 11:54:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x244424…
07-14 11:49:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x052ac2…
07-14 11:48:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	43	90¢	$38	0xcd300b…
05-06 13:25:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xb8326c…
05-06 13:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xf20977…
04-15 10:09:10	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x918ea6…
04-14 15:30:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4971c1…
04-12 07:08:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0x73b58d…
04-11 05:34:49	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x6945da…
04-10 11:10:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x41e70a…
04-10 11:09:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xaf7da0…
04-10 11:06:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x3c09dd…
04-10 11:05:57	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x92edee…
04-10 11:04:51	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x003cd9…
04-03 11:09:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xceb669…
04-02 17:54:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x7ba02f…
04-01 12:38:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x82eb62…
04-01 12:37:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x321e75…
04-01 12:05:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe9ad4c…
04-01 12:05:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x2bdb52…
04-01 12:02:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3ad478…
04-01 11:58:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x09b066…
04-01 10:17:27	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x40346a…
04-01 10:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x728b11…
04-01 09:26:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 460 479	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x238675…
04-01 09:25:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0xec5816…
03-25 10:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xe43e5e…
03-25 10:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$2	0xb72d10…
03-24 12:17:03	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe83f90…
03-23 19:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$4	0xb2f920…
03-23 10:15:33	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x95ff52…
03-23 10:15:21	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x275a44…
03-22 01:29:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$3	0xf5a712…
03-22 01:28:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	SELL	222	6¢	$13	0x99b2eb…
03-19 21:01:41	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xac6d25…
03-19 09:38:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcd2c2c…
03-19 09:38:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x15acbd…
03-19 09:37:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8c68d2…
03-19 09:37:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6b468b…
03-19 09:36:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x20ff0c…
03-19 09:32:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x12d99d…
03-19 09:31:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xadf72e…
03-19 09:25:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x79275f…
03-19 09:11:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe0b890…
03-19 08:46:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79e65c…
03-19 08:46:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0145de…
03-19 08:41:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xeeb7e8…
03-19 08:41:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x23158b…
03-19 07:36:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x4d34f6…
03-19 07:36:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd6bf39…
03-19 07:35:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xc43907…
03-19 06:55:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x532006…
03-19 05:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x25c5a6…
03-19 04:22:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x33a90c…
03-19 04:15:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x197fca…
03-19 04:13:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x67826c…
03-19 03:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb1213f…
03-19 02:39:41	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd02cec…
03-19 02:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa29eb3…
03-18 10:30:13	elon musk of tweets march 2026 880 919	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$0	0xeed1e5…
03-18 10:26:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	SELL	222	0¢	$0	0xb75fec…
03-18 04:36:43	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xef7f9d…
03-17 06:18:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x951f61…
03-17 06:05:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd3974f…
03-16 20:37:21	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5de579…
03-16 20:28:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	Yes	SELL	222	7¢	$16	0xe97202…
03-16 20:24:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x1cd6e8…
03-16 19:08:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x245282…
03-15 18:48:35	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$2	0xd698ea…
03-15 18:48:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa6061…
03-15 18:47:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa6037d…
03-15 18:46:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc9c9fd…
03-15 17:09:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xfd15ac…
03-14 17:30:35	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0xc98ddf…
03-13 15:29:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xcd0649…
03-13 14:27:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x3e58a0…
03-13 01:12:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x426664…
03-12 19:48:17	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xb8ee05…
03-12 14:52:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 160 179	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x4cbe0e…
03-12 14:40:57	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	SELL	115	12¢	$14	0xa9795c…
03-12 12:44:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	59	38¢	$22	0xab7247…
03-12 06:59:25	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x8689f7…
03-12 06:52:11	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4f8e95…
03-12 00:59:21	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x4184c4…
03-11 18:26:59	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xe1d78a…
03-11 11:50:33	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x6bc255…
03-11 03:54:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x539b60…