Tangible-Position — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

319

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$3.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4db17…
11-13 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x612c0f…
11-12 08:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x32b1ab…
11-11 08:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa81df8…
11-08 11:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1933fc…
11-07 10:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b5a3e…
11-06 09:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9af5d8…
11-05 00:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a0c87…
11-04 04:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaed687…
11-03 17:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee0393…
11-03 07:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x70cf09…
11-02 09:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fabf8…
10-31 17:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd08360…
10-31 04:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15c9bb…
10-30 08:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9f67e…
10-29 15:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d844c…
10-29 06:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3173f…
10-28 04:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0e58f…
10-27 15:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcc892…
10-27 07:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4c8ec…
10-26 04:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e8017…
10-24 06:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae9a99…
10-22 09:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe04b2a…
10-20 04:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1838d0…
10-19 06:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63393f…
10-18 05:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x132916…
10-17 07:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x283ad0…
10-16 04:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e9e40…
10-15 05:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ccc70…
10-14 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x113df6…
10-13 13:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8dc25a…
10-13 01:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xcc5cab…
10-12 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb7b83…
10-11 01:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x235324…
10-08 04:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51ec48…
10-07 08:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x514455…
10-06 14:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x660f87…
10-06 05:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9aa9c6…
10-04 07:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff958b…
10-03 00:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c99c4…
10-02 07:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeedc09…
10-02 03:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92398d…
10-01 05:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a58fd…
09-30 07:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfecb78…
09-29 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2289f4…
09-28 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa639d5…
09-27 10:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70dbfc…
09-26 08:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa3079…
09-25 01:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4aeda8…
09-24 01:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9588fb…
09-23 05:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164759…
09-22 01:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc2bea…
09-21 06:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59f995…
09-20 02:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b424…
09-19 05:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ad16f…
09-18 09:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x919c9e…
09-18 01:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa598a4…
09-17 00:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c22d4…
09-16 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeeced…
09-15 23:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe85d08…
09-15 01:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76ba54…
09-14 00:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823102…
09-13 12:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9cde…
09-12 03:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa926f…
09-11 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe10126…
09-10 01:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9aefda…
09-09 00:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb34ebf…
09-08 01:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b2ca…
09-07 13:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc46492…
09-07 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05d70a…
09-06 17:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ab07c…
09-06 01:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc65ec…
09-05 08:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a765e…
09-04 08:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1635a…
09-03 01:06:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330ee9…
09-02 11:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf82770…
09-01 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f815d…
08-30 00:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a14e0…
08-29 05:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd48eaf…
08-28 01:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb65d7d…
08-27 01:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x623d46…
08-26 01:06:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa10f38…
08-25 01:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5365c1…
08-24 07:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2ce21…
08-23 01:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x966eb2…
08-22 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc37ef1…
08-21 01:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x533de0…
08-20 00:15:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x939428…
08-19 00:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cd2de…
08-18 00:09:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x528338…
08-17 05:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b118f…
08-16 01:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ae17f…
08-15 01:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4e3a9…
08-14 01:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x312039…
08-13 00:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb3206…
08-12 00:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeae87d…
08-11 00:11:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd52e9…
08-10 00:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x805143…
08-09 00:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95da1a…
08-08 00:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47dc3b…