Adored-Negotiation-Duck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

702

Trades

5,121

lifetime

Volume

$8.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-15 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 66% -$93

Other

2% 9% -$8

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	190	$264	256	252	+4	Down	-$11	06-04 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:55 UTC	92	$147	1,145	934	+210	Down	-$5	06-04 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:35 UTC	80	$124	78	77	+1	Up	+$6	06-04 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:25 UTC	61	$123	86	85	+0	Down	+$2	06-04 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	82	$104	90	89	+1	Down	-$16	06-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	58	$91	48	48	+0	Down	+$5	06-04 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	71	$86	208	0	+208	Up	+$48	05-29 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	72	$85	260	0	+260	Down	+$34	05-29 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	72	$83	169	0	+169	Down	+$7	05-29 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	65	$77	196	0	+196	Up	-$11	05-29 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	62	$77	304	0	+304	Down	-$9	05-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	57	$70	152	0	+152	Up	-$8	05-29 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	56	$69	141	0	+141	Up	-$6	05-29 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	57	$69	301	0	+301	Up	-$11	05-29 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	54	$68	160	0	+160	Up	+$31	05-29 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	54	$67	185	0	+185	Down	-$6	05-29 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	57	$67	143	0	+143	Up	+$19	05-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	50	$64	125	0	+125	Up	-$1	05-29 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	41	$64	94	94	+0	Down	-$6	06-04 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	50	$62	173	0	+173	Up	-$5	05-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	49	$61	124	0	+124	Up	+$4	05-29 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	40	$60	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	06-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	45	$59	142	0	+142	Up	-$7	05-29 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$58	151	151	+0	Up	+$38	05-29 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	48	$58	132	0	+132	Down	+$2	05-29 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	42	$56	222	0	+222	Up	-$11	05-29 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	43	$53	109	0	+109	Up	-$8	05-29 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	34	$50	28	28	+0	Up	$0	06-04 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	40	$50	158	0	+158	Up	+$15	05-29 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	43	$50	112	0	+112	Down	-$4	05-29 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 02:46:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfe5cad…
07-15 02:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x94bcdb…
07-15 02:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf6a620…
07-15 02:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1992ea…
07-15 02:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1de736…
07-15 01:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x53de65…
07-15 01:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb12e65…
07-14 22:12:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7e0bce…
07-06 09:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdd201a…
07-05 07:22:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x30ee9b…
07-05 04:32:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x4d71db…
07-05 04:21:02	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x29ef48…
07-05 03:51:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x6570d4…
07-05 03:51:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x00a7d1…
07-05 03:23:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xed0915…
07-05 02:38:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x3ed84c…
07-05 01:45:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xc82f5c…
07-05 01:37:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe3289b…
07-05 01:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9bb3e2…
07-04 18:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x92b8eb…
07-04 18:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x99b7b2…
07-04 18:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6fe36d…
07-04 18:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xf9dcb5…
07-04 18:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x8964ac…
07-04 18:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xf4d373…
07-04 18:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x34e8ed…
07-04 17:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xbf21eb…
07-04 17:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xa95f48…
07-04 17:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x8f2690…
07-04 17:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xe1b698…
07-04 17:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xb88d6b…
07-04 17:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x38504d…
07-04 17:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe4e3d8…
07-04 17:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x4e79c5…
07-04 17:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf0c386…
07-04 17:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x721e09…
07-04 17:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x2f448c…
07-04 17:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x13ca68…
07-04 17:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6ddbd1…
07-04 17:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x738bba…
07-04 17:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x316110…
07-04 17:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x5d7d51…
07-04 16:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc35e03…
07-04 16:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc00102…
07-04 16:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xf877fb…
07-04 16:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x367564…
07-04 15:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x8b24bd…
07-04 15:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xdf77dd…
07-04 15:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xb4d0d2…
07-04 15:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2abeaf…
07-04 15:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x9c8e26…
07-04 15:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xa75cc1…
07-04 15:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x948995…
07-04 15:33:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x687100…
07-04 14:54:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xc42c7b…
07-04 14:52:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc10632…
07-04 14:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x567652…
07-04 14:29:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x251323…
07-04 14:27:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9acad7…
07-04 13:30:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x4e7bed…
07-04 13:07:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xd49b2b…
07-04 12:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xe4b316…
07-04 12:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x0fe5f0…
07-04 12:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xfee7cf…
07-04 12:22:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xc6d7e8…
07-04 11:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xf9b3d3…
07-04 10:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xaa6db2…
07-04 10:41:59	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x04d2d8…
07-04 10:26:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xffe772…
07-04 09:37:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xb75d99…
07-04 09:37:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x3d3f15…
07-04 09:37:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xaff458…
07-04 09:36:52	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x9eb116…
07-04 09:36:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xc73683…
07-04 09:36:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x4f2970…
07-04 09:36:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x41f8df…
07-04 09:36:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x6f33e1…
07-04 09:36:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x5745ae…
07-04 09:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xd701ce…
07-04 09:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x16f428…
07-04 09:34:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x7c9004…
07-04 09:34:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x2348c1…
07-04 09:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf0060b…
07-04 09:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe91746…
07-04 09:34:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xfcdde3…
07-04 09:34:31	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xbc3245…
07-04 09:34:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe3341c…
07-04 09:34:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x97437d…
07-04 09:34:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x8b247a…
07-04 09:34:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x0816b0…
07-04 09:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xb57f22…
07-04 09:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x35e6d3…
07-04 09:34:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xeeb00a…
07-04 09:34:20	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x915a5a…
07-04 09:34:20	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x58a2f6…
07-04 09:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xebbbc8…
07-04 09:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x545ca1…
07-04 09:34:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x2a973e…
07-04 09:34:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x946e2b…
07-04 09:34:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xd06c49…