Dual-Sensibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

214

Trades

1,170

lifetime

Volume

$9.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-09 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% +$255

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$119	149	0	+149	Up	+$30	05-13 01:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	05-17 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	9	$91	75	75	+0	open	—	05-14 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$90	110	0	+110	Up	+$20	05-13 09:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	12	$83	60	60	+0	open	—	05-14 11:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$77	91	91	+0	open	—	05-14 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$65	74	74	+0	open	—	05-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$60	80	0	+80	Down	$-60	05-11 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$60	73	0	+73	Down	+$13	05-11 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$60	73	0	+73	Down	$-60	05-11 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$58	81	0	+81	Up	+$23	05-13 09:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$58	68	68	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$53	68	68	+0	open	—	05-17 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$51	68	68	+0	open	—	05-14 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	Up	+$15	05-13 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Down	+$29	05-13 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	05-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	05-14 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$50	75	0	+75	Up	+$25	05-13 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$50	76	0	+76	Up	+$26	05-13 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	05-16 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-17 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$50	132	0	+132	Up	$-50	05-13 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$50	116	0	+116	Down	+$66	05-13 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-13 21:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-17 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$50	62	0	+62	Down	$-50	05-13 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-14 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$50	122	0	+122	Up	$-50	05-13 22:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	05-17 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:16:45	sol updown 5m 1781014500	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x57e298…
06-09 14:02:39	sol updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4aed80…
06-09 13:56:46	eth updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xefee80…
06-09 13:53:42	eth updown 5m 1781013000	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x15aeed…
06-09 13:35:42	eth updown 5m 1781012100	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9a842…
06-09 13:29:06	sol updown 5m 1781011500	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x492110…
06-09 13:16:40	sol updown 5m 1781010900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd56d4f…
06-09 13:12:43	sol updown 5m 1781010600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x040a5f…
06-09 12:39:31	sol updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe26ba5…
06-09 12:36:25	sol updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8eca60…
06-09 12:33:37	sol updown 5m 1781008200	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d6f7a…
06-09 12:25:18	sol updown 5m 1781007900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9075fe…
06-09 12:22:06	sol updown 5m 1781007600	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfc8386…
06-09 12:19:43	sol updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1c6bf5…
06-09 12:16:16	sol updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf90e18…
06-09 12:09:45	sol updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbe4ae7…
06-09 12:07:40	sol updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6802b8…
06-03 05:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xefcd14…
06-03 04:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf5a3dd…
06-02 23:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x11cb24…
06-02 17:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x88ed42…
06-02 06:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7f213d…
06-02 00:48:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xace1a4…
06-02 00:48:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x62d031…
06-01 20:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe20240…
06-01 14:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9879af…
06-01 09:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x17035a…
05-31 11:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa61165…
05-31 10:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b87a9…
05-31 10:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5b1613…
05-31 06:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x83c41c…
05-29 21:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7e5c2a…
05-29 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x530fc7…
05-29 05:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbeafe6…
05-29 05:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x96b3c0…
05-29 02:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x63385c…
05-29 02:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5b268c…
05-28 21:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xce3520…
05-28 19:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3d8826…
05-27 08:10:18	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x97b721…
05-27 08:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfc613c…
05-27 07:53:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb23ac4…
05-27 07:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x242fc1…
05-27 07:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc5fdad…
05-27 07:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbd07d…
05-27 06:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x706805…
05-27 05:35:21	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcec54d…
05-27 05:35:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x57d004…
05-27 05:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd91164…
05-27 05:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x35d4de…
05-27 05:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2f438e…
05-27 05:25:13	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe8c07c…
05-27 05:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5c6fbe…
05-27 05:22:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x576f33…
05-27 04:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x3ac5ef…
05-27 04:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x189754…
05-27 04:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x404845…
05-27 04:50:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc4d699…
05-27 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc715d9…
05-27 04:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xed94a9…
05-27 04:35:12	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8dce97…
05-27 04:30:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8f6a3a…
05-27 03:23:36	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x2664c0…
05-27 03:15:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x959a16…
05-27 03:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x2865e2…
05-27 03:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb467df…
05-27 03:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8f8a31…
05-27 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x81781f…
05-27 02:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd04c69…
05-27 02:40:14	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2ef824…
05-27 02:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb81780…
05-27 02:20:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xde5853…
05-27 02:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb18dee…
05-27 02:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcbd270…
05-27 02:10:25	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd893c2…
05-27 02:10:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc0b6fe…
05-27 01:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2ff97f…
05-27 01:50:25	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa50275…
05-27 01:20:10	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x26dd58…
05-27 00:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7442af…
05-27 00:55:43	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf575df…
05-27 00:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x641cc7…
05-27 00:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3d56ba…
05-27 00:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x17f606…
05-27 00:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7c6692…
05-27 00:20:28	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf8699e…
05-27 00:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa975da…
05-26 23:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19aa6e…
05-26 22:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa8ee42…
05-26 21:51:43	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x836c09…
05-26 21:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xed4697…
05-26 21:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x9f6d43…
05-26 20:54:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb1ae1f…
05-26 16:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4fa01f…
05-26 16:40:14	hype updown 5m 1779813600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6e3b38…
05-26 16:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x998636…
05-26 16:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf7869f…
05-26 16:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9f1839…
05-26 16:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaff303…
05-26 16:20:11	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa661c7…