Early-Decision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$754

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-19 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776411300	6	$44	57	54	+3	open	—	04-17 07:39
btc updown 5m 1776427500	3	$26	26	13	+14	open	—	04-17 12:08
btc updown 5m 1776410700	4	$23	42	13	+29	open	—	04-17 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776411900	4	$23	35	13	+22	open	—	04-17 07:47
btc updown 5m 1776412200	4	$22	30	29	+1	open	—	04-17 07:53
btc updown 5m 1776425400	3	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	04-17 11:33
btc updown 5m 1776412800	4	$18	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 08:03
btc updown 5m 1776423300	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 10:58
btc updown 5m 1776775500	4	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	04-21 12:49
btc updown 5m 1776420300	3	$14	37	0	+37	open	—	04-17 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776429000	2	$12	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 12:31
btc updown 5m 1776424200	2	$12	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776425100	2	$12	43	0	+43	open	—	04-17 11:29
btc updown 5m 1776422400	2	$12	26	0	+26	open	—	04-17 10:42
btc updown 5m 1776422700	2	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	04-17 10:48
btc updown 5m 1776423600	2	$11	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:03
btc updown 5m 1776425700	2	$11	34	0	+34	open	—	04-17 11:38
btc updown 5m 1776424500	2	$11	38	0	+38	open	—	04-17 11:18
btc updown 5m 1776426600	2	$11	36	0	+36	open	—	04-17 11:52
btc updown 5m 1776423900	2	$11	33	0	+33	open	—	04-17 11:08
btc updown 5m 1776424800	2	$11	31	0	+31	open	—	04-17 11:24
btc updown 5m 1776423000	2	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	04-17 10:54
btc updown 5m 1776426300	2	$11	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 11:48
btc updown 5m 1776408000	2	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-17 06:43
btc updown 5m 1776428100	2	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	04-17 12:19
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	2	$11	75	70	+5	open	—	04-15 09:21
btc updown 5m 1776366600	4	$11	12	12	+1	open	—	04-16 19:12
btc updown 5m 1776366300	4	$11	13	12	+1	open	—	04-16 19:09
btc updown 5m 1776428400	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-17 12:24
btc updown 5m 1776430200	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-17 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 07:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x25b1a6…
05-19 07:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x500b1b…
05-19 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1eee0a…
05-19 03:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2f7512…
05-15 11:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x58c182…
05-15 11:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x47edc1…
05-15 11:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x0e1c15…
05-15 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb0852f…
05-15 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x494e54…
05-08 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5d3141…
05-08 09:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2f0fca…
05-08 09:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x779e6e…
05-08 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x875d47…
05-08 09:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2914c8…
05-08 09:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd186ad…
05-08 09:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb293bb…
05-08 09:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0ed87c…
05-08 09:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d2f05…
05-08 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x72f150…
05-08 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x49de07…
05-08 08:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x15f43b…
05-08 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe3af02…
05-08 07:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75ba89…
05-05 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4cc83f…
05-05 08:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x99104d…
05-05 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x2ce766…
05-05 08:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15722c…
05-05 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xff176d…
05-05 08:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x325909…
05-05 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c9e77…
05-05 08:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x434cbf…
05-05 08:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9c48ff…
05-05 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x76418f…
05-05 07:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79851f…
05-05 07:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0b7362…
05-05 07:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdf404d…
05-02 12:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x85c147…
05-02 12:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7ddbee…
05-02 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaf8e55…
05-02 12:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfccbde…
05-02 12:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x936f29…
05-02 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x06469c…
05-02 12:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x869edb…
05-02 12:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c15c0…
05-02 12:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e885f…
05-02 06:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x11d7dc…
05-02 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb8c059…
05-02 06:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb44a10…
05-02 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7e86a2…
05-02 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe87538…
05-02 05:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8e8213…
05-02 05:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xaa1aa3…
05-02 05:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5dfe4d…
05-02 05:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb4f5f3…
05-02 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcb02ac…
05-02 05:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc0b82f…
05-02 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x15ddcf…
04-29 05:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdc7276…
04-29 04:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf1ad16…
04-29 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x168c0e…
04-26 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1b9b38…
04-26 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x39087d…
04-26 16:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb53fa0…
04-26 16:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e813a…
04-21 13:30:12	btc updown 5m 1776778200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x574e32…
04-21 13:05:46	btc updown 5m 1776776700	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3a1255…
04-21 13:05:02	btc updown 5m 1776776700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88a8fa…
04-21 13:00:02	btc updown 5m 1776776400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab5279…
04-21 12:54:00	btc updown 5m 1776776100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12ba1c…
04-21 12:49:34	btc updown 5m 1776775500	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa0172a…
04-21 12:49:08	btc updown 5m 1776775500	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xcd5bb9…
04-21 12:46:04	btc updown 5m 1776775500	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfc0bcf…
04-21 12:45:02	btc updown 5m 1776775500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7dcf1f…
04-21 12:40:10	btc updown 5m 1776775200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x539e29…
04-21 12:32:50	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x619b80…
04-21 12:30:58	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd94923…
04-21 12:30:12	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6cf384…
04-21 12:04:24	btc updown 5m 1776772800	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc30078…
04-21 12:01:06	btc updown 5m 1776772800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x949379…
04-19 16:15:40	btc updown 5m 1776615300	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xba83be…
04-19 16:15:10	btc updown 5m 1776615300	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x445558…
04-19 16:01:22	btc updown 5m 1776614400	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa86b65…
04-19 15:59:36	btc updown 5m 1776614400	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x17d08c…
04-18 07:53:18	btc updown 5m 1776498600	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0311e9…
04-18 07:52:06	btc updown 5m 1776498600	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x704b60…
04-17 12:58:12	btc updown 5m 1776430500	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd8e51b…
04-17 12:53:40	btc updown 5m 1776430200	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7e9737…
04-17 12:43:14	btc updown 5m 1776429600	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7676a0…
04-17 12:31:08	btc updown 5m 1776429000	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x628543…
04-17 12:30:40	btc updown 5m 1776429000	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x57e212…
04-17 12:28:06	btc updown 5m 1776428700	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0d43d2…
04-17 12:24:48	btc updown 5m 1776428400	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3ff6ea…
04-17 12:19:14	btc updown 5m 1776428100	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe0f6c1…
04-17 12:18:48	btc updown 5m 1776428100	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8621f0…
04-17 12:08:04	btc updown 5m 1776427500	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x03d742…
04-17 12:07:40	btc updown 5m 1776427500	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x84b293…
04-17 12:07:04	btc updown 5m 1776427500	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7e7b72…
04-17 11:56:38	btc updown 5m 1776426900	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4c0d45…
04-17 11:52:50	btc updown 5m 1776426600	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x911c11…
04-17 11:52:10	btc updown 5m 1776426600	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x77f486…