Worrisome-Circumstance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

1,199

Trades

2,573

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-11 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 63% -$16

Other

3% 62% +$20

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	2	$35	20	20	+0	FURIA Esports	+$5	05-02 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:15 UTC	17	$28	46	10	+36	Down	+$2	04-05 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:50 UTC	10	$26	38	10	+27	Up	-$1	04-05 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC	13	$26	46	15	+31	Down	+$0	04-05 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC	10	$26	36	15	+20	Up	$0	04-05 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-01 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 18:30 UTC	22	$24	24	23	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:40 UTC	10	$24	36	5	+31	Up	+$1	04-05 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:25 UTC	13	$23	35	10	+24	Up	+$1	04-05 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:15 UTC	27	$23	34	20	+14	Up	-$3	03-30 01:22
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$23	16	15	+0	Yes	+$8	04-19 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 16:45 UTC	23	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:25 UTC	15	$22	36	15	+20	Up	$0	04-05 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:15 UTC	11	$22	46	0	+46	Up	+$4	04-05 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:55 UTC	11	$21	40	5	+35	Up	+$1	04-05 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:05 UTC	8	$20	31	10	+20	Down	-$1	04-05 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:00 UTC	11	$20	38	5	+33	Up	+$1	04-05 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	$0	05-04 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:05 UTC	8	$20	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	04-05 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:15 UTC	19	$19	168	168	+0	Up	-$3	03-30 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:45 UTC	9	$18	21	15	+6	Up	+$1	04-05 09:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:15 UTC	17	$18	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:05 UTC	11	$18	43	5	+38	Up	-$1	04-05 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:40 UTC	13	$18	29	10	+19	Up	-$1	04-05 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:55 UTC	9	$18	36	0	+36	Up	+$3	04-05 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:50 UTC	12	$17	35	5	+29	Up	+$0	04-05 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 23:00 UTC	17	$16	29	29	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 08:35 UTC	5	$16	14	5	+9	Up	+$2	04-05 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:45 UTC	5	$16	15	10	+5	Down	-$1	04-05 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:35 UTC	10	$16	28	10	+18	Down	-$2	04-05 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 21:55:35	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4f790c…
05-11 20:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7762a0…
05-11 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x36b357…
05-11 15:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x98b715…
05-11 14:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x78bf6a…
05-08 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6a3376…
05-08 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0a080b…
05-08 16:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xd97b2f…
05-08 16:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf3e6d3…
05-08 11:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa5e24f…
05-08 11:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1ed714…
05-08 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x38e19d…
05-08 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd7b726…
05-08 11:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa2cead…
05-08 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7a8b5a…
05-08 10:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32c229…
05-08 10:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x5f21d4…
05-08 10:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf81b49…
05-08 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x9d3393…
05-08 10:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x519fd1…
05-08 10:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa34bda…
05-08 09:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xf89031…
05-08 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf0f0b7…
05-08 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe4c59a…
05-08 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x98838d…
05-08 09:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac372c…
05-08 08:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x8296a9…
05-08 08:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfbbda6…
05-08 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xbc7c98…
05-08 08:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9cfc43…
05-08 07:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa6ea11…
05-08 07:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdc3622…
05-08 06:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x6af6bc…
05-08 06:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9dfe2c…
05-08 06:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xbb8f19…
05-08 06:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf1b6c5…
05-08 05:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf2e818…
05-08 05:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xf9b642…
05-08 05:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3f0bdd…
05-08 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf901e1…
05-08 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x022a3b…
05-08 04:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb6854a…
05-08 04:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xa93151…
05-08 04:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa80d8d…
05-08 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb776dd…
05-08 03:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd24fad…
05-08 03:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xaaf92b…
05-08 03:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4683a6…
05-08 03:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x6c3499…
05-08 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa11cb5…
05-08 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x23c08e…
05-08 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x44c5fa…
05-08 02:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x16b3ef…
05-08 02:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6f6355…
05-08 02:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1d16b8…
05-08 01:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x959a44…
05-08 01:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xc35598…
05-08 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf94af7…
05-08 01:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x21eb00…
05-08 01:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x08dfec…
05-08 01:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xcad47a…
05-08 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x316535…
05-08 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb5de65…
05-08 00:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf7fb9f…
05-08 00:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x499025…
05-08 00:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf76199…
05-08 00:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x41f51c…
05-08 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfefac9…
05-08 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xcef9c2…
05-08 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5011a8…
05-07 23:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xf3be0c…
05-07 23:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x33bb60…
05-07 23:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x906b4a…
05-07 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa95dd9…
05-07 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbfa359…
05-07 22:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x83362b…
05-07 22:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4f2c74…
05-07 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xba2af5…
05-07 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1de567…
05-07 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e7d9d…
05-07 21:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8e34e5…
05-07 21:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x796b8b…
05-07 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x19ab5a…
05-07 20:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xde7184…
05-07 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x237d62…
05-07 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xa7967d…
05-07 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6513dc…
05-07 19:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x13c95e…
05-07 19:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x587f14…
05-07 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x96ac9c…
05-07 19:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x527267…
05-07 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xd8892c…
05-07 18:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf1c8cf…
05-07 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe5d0b7…
05-07 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35f494…
05-07 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x04ca2e…
05-07 18:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xec7ca7…
05-07 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x05cf8c…
05-07 17:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8889ef…
05-07 17:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd4dbc5…