Understated-Hook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

89% 54% +$10

Politics

7% 80% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:52
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:18
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-10 12:30
Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 02:24
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-27 02:41
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:34
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:07
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 04:32
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-20 03:42
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 13:50
Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:01
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	07-01 01:39
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 01:34
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 13:02
iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	07-02 08:22
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 08:39
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-28 06:08
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 2?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-01 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-04 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 3?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-15 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 08:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-05 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 25?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 3?	17	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:46:42	Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbfe1d1…
08-01 06:59:39	Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36d443…
07-28 06:08:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff6121…
07-02 08:22:34	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3c634b…
07-01 01:39:31	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xba5374…
06-29 02:42:46	Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x60f5bf…
06-29 00:04:32	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xd80189…
06-28 08:54:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xccc1a1…
06-27 13:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x600268…
06-27 12:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6aa3b0…
06-26 17:31:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x82af99…
06-26 15:55:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1d6974…
06-26 15:55:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x85df53…
06-26 15:36:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35abd6…
06-25 12:52:28	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x56d4f8…
06-25 12:52:05	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xca8316…
06-25 08:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1c72da…
06-25 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc2f235…
06-24 16:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xaa2de3…
06-24 12:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5b3ce2…
06-23 16:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfae385…
06-23 15:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfb830b…
06-22 18:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x92f904…
06-22 18:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x43aba2…
06-22 18:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85228f…
06-22 08:39:01	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6df201…
06-22 01:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa52967…
06-21 13:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x804628…
06-21 13:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x47a558…
06-21 12:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6e0da1…
06-21 12:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 22?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x36c2b5…
06-21 12:01:23	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf16e52…
06-20 18:18:34	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc82157…
06-20 08:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x624ea1…
06-20 07:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xfb7cc3…
06-19 08:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x01bf2d…
06-19 08:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4daa59…
06-17 00:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5896f5…
06-17 00:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb788f5…
06-16 03:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x97975b…
06-16 03:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1ecfea…
06-14 23:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7adf75…
06-14 23:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7c15be…
06-14 04:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2f4910…
06-14 04:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb985b8…
06-13 08:39:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf8c827…
06-13 08:38:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1754dc…
06-12 07:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xdd055e…
06-12 07:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3ce37a…
06-11 13:22:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xdeb267…
06-11 12:10:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf128ca…
06-10 12:30:13	Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1221c2…
06-10 05:46:54	Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5efe82…
06-09 17:07:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x244ed4…
06-09 16:19:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x87033b…
06-08 13:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x800829…
06-08 13:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x5cbf8c…
06-08 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xef491b…
06-08 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2cf262…
06-08 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7359e0…
06-08 05:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x491bfb…
06-08 00:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x9ea24f…
06-07 07:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x3f0a6c…
06-07 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xad54a6…
06-07 04:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x969ae0…
06-07 04:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x28f0b6…
06-07 04:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xdaeab3…
06-07 04:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x032d3c…
06-06 12:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x179eba…
06-05 16:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcc5535…
06-05 16:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3992d8…
06-05 16:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x45f81e…
06-05 15:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa08717…
06-05 13:02:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfb5bdb…
06-05 04:12:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xdcaec3…
06-04 07:02:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xaae3da…
06-04 06:57:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x24d482…
06-04 01:34:34	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7289fe…
06-03 02:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcaa9f8…
06-03 02:24:36	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9a8939…
06-03 02:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x666f2c…
06-02 21:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xdc07ef…
06-02 21:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x996116…
06-02 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc31601…
06-02 00:29:59	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x55e5fd…
06-01 10:29:43	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x06f328…
05-31 22:34:49	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x03c910…
05-31 16:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x48769e…
05-31 16:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xbf36d9…
05-31 16:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x955b14…
05-31 08:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9cdb81…
05-30 15:46:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xfb17ba…
05-30 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xaaac7f…
05-30 07:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x02f568…
05-30 00:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x888da0…
05-30 00:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeb1b74…
05-29 20:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x677a06…
05-29 11:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x36f799…
05-29 07:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8b6208…
05-28 13:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x74022f…